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2019 Victoria Derby Futures Tips & Best Bets - Will Shadow be the punters Hero?

01 Nov 2019
justin-darcy
Justin Darcy 01 Nov 2019
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Justin Darcy has provided his top tips for this years Victoria Derby.
2019 Victoria Derby Futures Tips & Best Bets
Extra Brut was way too powerful in last years Victoria Derby. (Getty Images)

2019 Victoria Derby Futures Tips

The Victoria Derby is one of Australia's oldest races as well as most prestigious.

Carrying a purse worth $2.5 million over the trip of 2500m, some of Australia's and New Zealand's top middle distance and staying type horses have been successful in the event.

Recently we have seen Preferment go on to claim some of the riches in Australia after his Derby victory as well as Efficient go on to claim a Melbourne Cup.

A true test for these young three-year-olds, Shadow Hero, Quick Thinker and Adelaide Ace look true stayers of the field.

Victoria Derby Odds

Horses
Odds
Shadow Hero$3.00
Quick Thinker$8.00
Adelaide Ace$11.00
Huntly Castle$14.00
Just Thinkin' $15.00
Power Scheme$15.00
Serengeti$15.00
Odds provided by Ladbrokes and were correct as of 4/10/19 - 2.00pm

Victoria Derby Futures Best Bet: Shadow Hero @ $3

A dominant winner of the Group Three Gloaming Stakes, this son of Pierro will head to the Spring Champion Stakes before tackling the Victoria Derby.

As he steps out in trip, you would only imagine that he would improve and firm in this market.

We may see him in the Vase on Cox Plate day which has shown to be a very common lead up after the Spring Champion, into the Derby.

He will start short in the Spring Champion and if he can take that event out, he is the horse to beat coming into this race.

Victoria Derby Futures Best Bet: Shadow Hero - $3 via Ladbrokes

Victoria Derby Futures Value Bet: Skiddaw @ $21

He may not have the class of some of his rivals that he will face over a staying trip, but he has an explosive turn of foot.

It is not often you see a son of Hinchinbrook look a stayer, but after his last win at Caulfield on September 21, he was strong through the line coming down the middle of the track.

I am not quite convinced he will stay the whole 2500m trip, he seems more like a 2000m horse, but most of the horses in the Derby will not be natural stayers which brings him back into conclusions.

At $21, he looks good value for a horse that the stable have signalled they are heading this way.

Victoria Derby Futures Value Bet: Skiddaw - $21 via Ladbrokes

What time is the first race on Victoria Derby Day?

The first race will be at approximately 12.30pm.

What time is the Victoria Derby?

The Victoria Derby will be run at approximately 5.00pm.

How can I live stream the Victoria Derby?

Visit our live streaming hub for all the information on how to live stream the Victoria Derby and all other Australian horse races.

GB

Verdict

We will be backing Shadow Hero with majority of the budget for this race and we will just have a small bet on Skiddaw at those odds.

This is a high confidence race and we're backing Shadow Hero to deliver for the punters.

Best Bet: Shadow Hero @2/1 at Neds - 17 Units
Value Bet: Skiddaw @20/1 at Ladbrokes Australia - 3 Units
Shadow Hero
@2/1 - 17 Units
Take it to the Neds Level
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Bet at Neds
Skiddaw
@20/1 - 3 Units
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

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Bet at Ladbrokes Australia

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