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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Tips - Phoenix add to the slow-burn of Tassie’s title defence

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Last updated: 24 Jan 2025
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Jeremy Darke 24 Jan 2025
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  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 18 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 5:30 PM AEDT at State Basketball Centre
  • S.E.M are set to cover as the favourites with Matt Hurt scoring 20+ points.
  • Preview, stats, head-to-head, team news & more
Tips and preview for Saturday's NBL game.

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Tips


South East Melbourne will take one step closer to booking their place in the play-in while putting the JackJumpers title defence in even more jeopardy when they take a convincing win as Matt Hurt will star with another 20+ point games against Tassie.
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers NBL25 Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News
  • Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions

The Phoenix will be out to make a statement against Tasmania after their first underwhelming performance in a couple of months in their loss to Sydney on Wednesday. 

The matchup against the JackJumpers is the perfect opportunity considering the injuries that the former champions are carrying and also the dominance they have had over the organisation over the past couple of seasons. 

The JackJumpers have big-man problems and the Phoenix have their MVP-candidate Matt Hurt to muscle his way through their softer defence in the paint just as he has done in both games this season against Tasmania where he has average 22 points and 6 rebounds.

  • South East Melbourne have won 5 of the past 6 matches against Tasmania, including both matches in NBL25.
  • Tasmania have scored 77 points or less in their past 3 matches. 
  • South East Melbourne scores the second-most points in the paint in the NBL per game (43.8PIP).
  • Matt Hurt has scored 20+ points in both games against the JackJumpers this season.

Head to Head 


2024/25 Match Results
05/01/25: Tasmania 91 - 105 South East Melbourne
01/11/24: Tasmania 77 - 79 South East Melbourne

2023/24 Season Series
South East Melbourne won 2-1

Offensive & Defensive Rankings
SEM OffRankStatRankTAS Def
953PPG186.3
41.44RPG742.1
46.4%5FG%545.3%
34.1%93P%131.0%
10.83TOV412.3

SEM DefRankStatRankTAS Off
913PPG1083.8
41.56RPG840
45.3%4FG%942.9%
35.5%63P%734.2%
12.43TOV712.4

South East Melbourne Phoenix Form & Team News


The Phoenix put in an uncharacteristic performance in their 103-92 loss to Sydney on Wednesday night, getting out of the blocks slowly, being trapped by the tight defence of the Sydney Kings. 

It was the first time in 12 matches that South East Melbourne have scored less than 99 points, highlighting the old saying of ‘Defence wins championships’ as the number two defence in the league through the Phoenix off course in a game that they never led. 

Despite the hiccup against Sydney, S.E.M are still a dark horse for the championship. The Phoenix boast the league’s third-ranked offence and defence in relation to points for and points against. 

If Josh King can get more consistency out of his stars, especially Jordan Hunter in the center, they will go long in the playoffs in NBL25.

Tasmania JackJumpers Form & Team News


The JackJumpers are clinging onto the final spot in the play-in with four games left to play this season, likely needing two more wins to secure their place in the postseason. 

With players going down left, right and center Tassie have lost 5 of their past 6 matches, all by margins of 5 points or more. Their defence has held them in matches for the most part but a lack of depth on their bench has hurt them considerably late in the contest. 

Missing their bigs to injury has allowed their opponents to muscle them down low which eventually frees up space all over the floor. Despite being the hardest team to shoot against from the three-point line (30.8 O3P%), the JackJumpers are often getting beat heavily in the paint, ranked 7th in the league with 41.9 opposition points in the are per game while being ranked second last on offence with 35.0 point in the paint of their own. 

South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers Frequently Asked Questions

What time does South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers start?

Tip-off between South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers is at 5:30 PM AEDT, Saturday, January 25

What channel is South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers on?

You can watch South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

South East Melbourne will take one step closer to booking their place in the play-in while putting the JackJumpers title defence in even more jeopardy when they take a convincing win as Matt Hurt will star with another 20+ point games against Tassie.
Best Bet1: S.E Melbourne -6.5 Handicap/Line $1.92 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Tasmania Under 89.5 Team Total $1.82 at Betr - 3 Units
Best Bet3: Matt Hurt 20+ Player Points $1.72 at picklebet - 2 Units
S.E Melbourne -6.5
Handicap/Line
$1.92 - 2 Units
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Tasmania Under 89.5
Team Total
$1.82 - 3 Units
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