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Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks NBL25 Tips - Hawks to swoop to victory on the road in Adelaide

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Last updated: 08 Nov 2024
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Ryan Tucker 08 Nov 2024
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  • Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 8 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 4:30 PM AEDT at Adelaide Entertainment Centre
  • Illawarra Hawks aim for revenge against Adelaide 36ers in Round 8.
  • Hawks lead the league with 98.6 points per game, while Adelaide concedes the most with 94.
  • Expect Froling to be influential, leveraging Hawks' excellent 3PT and paint scoring.
Ryan gives his take on both Sunday NBL Matchups giving his top picks for each game.

Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks NBL25 Tips


The 36ers handed Illawarra their first loss of the season back in round 3 but i expect the Hawks to be ready and seeking revenge. They will win and cover the line as favourites in the final game of Round 8. 
  • Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks NBL25 Tips
  • Head to Head 
  • 2024/25 Match Results
  • 2023/24 Season Series
  • Offensive & Defensive Rankings
  • Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News
  • Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News
  • Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks Frequently Asked Questions

Illawarra still lead the league in scoring, putting up 98.6 pts per game across the first 8 rounds of play. Adelaide allow the most points of any team to their opponents, giving up 94 pts per game as well as the worst opposition 3pt% and most opposition assists. 

This will play right in to the Hawks hands as the 3rd best 3pt shooting team in the league averaging 36.4%. Illawarra have also been able to command the paint against their opponents this year and with the 36ers ranked 6th in opposition Points in the Paint there is another opportunity for the visitors to get on top. 

There will be no problems with fatigue in this match with both teams having over 7 days rest heading into this matchup. My expectation is that Illawarra will have identified their defensive deficiencies which led to their loss last weekend and against the 36ers in Round 3 and have rectified them. Add to that their shooting ability both from deep and around the rim and the Hawks are the easy choice. 

  • Illawarra score the most points per game of any team in the league averaging 98.6 pts per game.
  • Adelaide allow the most points to their opposition giving up 94 points per game this season.
  • Sam Froling is averaging 13.6 pts per game with 11.8 coming in the paint. 
  • 4 of the last 6 matchups between these teams have gone Over the Total

Head to Head 


2024/25 Match Results


5th October 24 (Rd3): Illawarra 100-102 Adelaide 

2023/24 Season Series


Adelaide 36ers won 2-1

Offensive & Defensive Rankings

(Note: Rankings are prior to any games being played in Round 8)
ADE OffRankStatRankILL Def
90.23PPG689.4
39.410RPG542
46.0%3FG%644.3%
37.9%13P%433.6%
11.42TOV213.3

ADE DefRankStatRankILL Off
9410PPG198.6
40.73RPG839.9
46.5%8FG%149.5%
36.3%103P%336.6%
10.98TOV18.9

Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News


Adelaide were brought back down to earth last weekend with a humiliating 109-82 loss to the NZ Breakers at Spark Arena. 

The 36ers went into the weekend on a 2 game win streak having won 5 of their previous 6 games. Adelaide were slightly down on their 3pt percentage on the year while also taking fewer shots from distance than their already league lowest 23.2 per game. That can account for some of the drop off in scoring with Isaac Humphries contributing only 4 points in his 14 minutes of play. 

It was the defensive end though that was the struggle for Adelaide against the Breakers. They allowed 54 points in the paint with Parker Jackson-Cartwright connecting on 7 of 12 from 2pt range. Adelaide average only 40.9 points in the paint to their opponents this season but had no answer for their opposing point guard in this match up. 

Once again the bench unit failed to produce, contributing only 15 points in the game with a combined -16 player rating. Lat Mayen still has no timeline confirmation in his recovery from a back strain.

Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News


Illawarra were handed their third loss of the season against the Perth Wildcats in stunning fashion last weekend. A 113-105 scoreline was the highest game total of the season so far with Perth matching the 113 that Illawarra themselves had posted earlier in the season against Brisbane.

The Hawks were as usual strong in the Paint, putting up 56 points against the Wildcats but had only 7 Second Chance points in the loss. The 105 points they did score would have won them the majority of NBL games played this year but defensively the Hawks could do nothing to stop the barrage of 3 balls from their opponents who shot 54% from distance.

Essentially it can probably be put down to an opposition shooting anomaly but somewhere in this game there should have been some adjustments in the defensive structures to try and limit the Illawarra opponents from getting so many open looks.

Trey Kell III is still out with a back injury with his timeline yet to be confirmed.

Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks start?

Tip-off between Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks is at 4:30 PM AEDT, Sunday 10th November

What channel is Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks on?

You can watch Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Verdict

My expectation is that Illawarra will have identified their defensive deficiencies which led to their loss last weekend and against the 36ers in Round 3 and have rectified them. Expect Froling to get his fair share of the points in this one. 
Best Bet1: Illawarra Hawks Moneyline $2.00 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 186.5 Game Total $1.90 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet3: S Froling 15+ Player Points $2.00 at PlayUP - 1 Unit
Illawarra Hawks
Moneyline
$2.00 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 10 Nov 2024

Adelaide 36ers v Illawarra Hawks