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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Basketball Betting Tips - Bucks put away a hapless Heat

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Last updated: 13 Feb 2024
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Ryan Tucker 13 Feb 2024
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  • Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks tips for Wednesday, 14th February
  • Tip-off is at 12 PM AEDT at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
  • Bucks are in good form with two consecutive wins, strong hosting and statistical track record against Miami.
  • Miami in a tight spot, missing key player Jimmy Butler and bearing a mixed record in away games.
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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Basketball Betting Tips 


The Bucks are coming off a commanding win over reigning champions Denver (112-95) and now welcome the Miami Heat to Fiserv Forum where the home team is 23-6 on the year.
  • Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Basketball Betting Tips 
  • Head to Head 
  • Miami Heat Form
  • Miami Heat Team News
  • Milwaukee Bucks Form
  • Milwaukee Bucks Team News

Giannis and Dame took it to the Nuggets in yesterday’s game especially in the middle portion of the game. In quarters 2 and 3 they outscored their opponent 63-40 to set up a decisive victory. The team shot 47% from 3 in the game against Denver who are 12th best in the league at defending the perimeter. 

It’s the second win in as many games for the Bucks who have been struggling over the past three weeks with a 3-6 record going into the game. Now they are on a two game win streak and are taking on Miami who themselves have struggled over the past month with a 7 game losing streak to close out the month of January. 

Since the turn of the month though the Heat have gotten hot and have won 4 of 6 games with all but one of those games at home in Miami. Their coming six game road trip starts in Milwaukee and they will be hoping for a better run than their 13-12 away record predicts.

The Bucks are statistically better in almost all areas against Miami and should not have a problem handling Miami without Jimmy Butler.

  • Milwaukee are top 5 in FG% (49.5%) and top 10 in 3PT% (37.8%) 
  • Miami are ranked 18th in the NBA in opponent FG% (47.4%) and 14th in opponent 3PT% (36.6%)
  • The Bucks are the 2nd best scoring team in the league averaging 122.7 points per game.
  • Miami are the 4th best defensive team with regards to opposition points scored (110.8 points/gm) they also score at low rate (110.4 pts/gm) meaning they slow their games right down.

Head to Head 


2023-24 Match Results:
Nov 23: MIA 124-131 MIL
Oct 23: MIL 122-114 MIA

2022-23 Season Series: 
The regular season series was split 2-2 with each team winning on their home court. 
The teams then met in the first round of the playoffs with Miami winning the series 4-1

Miami Heat Form

Tyler Herro is continuing to develop as a solid NBA player and has led his team in scoring over the past two matches. He will need to continue that form with the Heat missing Jimmy Butler out for personal reasons. 

The Heat are a team that look to peak later in the season, so to see them hand around mid-table before All-Star break is not too uncommon. They will though need to win this game to avoid a season sweep to the Bucks.

Miami Heat Team News

Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier are out. Josh Richardson sustained a shoulder dislocation and will be out for some time. Duncan Robinson is listed as questionable for this game.

Milwaukee Bucks Form

As mentioned the Bucks have been on a slide but managed to rediscover their form against the defending champs. This game is the second leg of a back to back and Milwaukee are 7-2 this season in this spot. 

The Bucks are a solid team up and down the roster. With the new addition of Pat Beverly the defensive structures should see a marked improvement as we have seen in all teams he has been a part of. Something that the Bucks have missed since letting go of Jrue Holiday. 

Milwaukee Bucks Team News

The Bucks team list has not been submitted at time of publishing. Middleton, Antetokounmpo and Lillard all have niggling injuries so keep an eye on the injury report.

Verdict

Milwaukee will be far too strong for a Miami team without their best player, not to mention the absence of some other quality rotational players. I am backing them to cover the large number of -8 and for Giannis to go over his point total of 29.5.
Best Bet1: Milwaukee -8 Handicap Line @9/10 at Justbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: G Antetokounmpo o29.5 Player Points @6/7 at Puntnow - 2 Units
Milwaukee -8
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@9/10 - 2 Units
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G Antetokounmpo o29.5
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Betting Slip | 14 Feb 2024

MIA Heat @ MIL Bucks