Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Basketball 2025 Betting Tips - Thunder to complete clean sweep of Grizzlies

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 27 Mar 2025

Ryan Tucker 27 Mar 2025

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Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder expert tips for Friday, 28th March
Tip-off is at 10:00 PM AEDT at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Thunder clinched No. 1 seed; 8-game winning streak vs Grizzlies.
Grizzlies missing key players: Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr.
Betting tips: Thunder to cover, game under total, Holmgren's 3-pointers.

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Oklahoma City Thunder mascot Bison. (Photo by William Purnell/Getty Images)

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Basketball 2025 Betting Tips

The Thunder have already locked up the No. 1 seed in the West, but I’m backing Oklahoma City to cover the line at home against a banged-up Grizzlies team still trying to stay out of the play-in.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Basketball 2025 Betting Tips
Head to Head
2024-25 Match Results:
2023-24 Season Series:
Memphis Grizzlies Form
Memphis Grizzlies Team News
Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Oklahoma City Thunder Team News
Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA 2025 FAQ’s

Oklahoma City comes in riding a seven-game win streak, their fifth such run of the season, and have won 14 of their last 15. Their latest outing was a smooth 121-105 win over the Kings, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropping 32 points and the team drilling 19-of-32 from deep. The Thunder are now 30-5 at home and show no signs of slowing down, even with the top seed clinched.

Memphis snapped a three-game skid with a massive 140-103 win over the Jazz, but context is key—it was against a struggling Utah side. The Grizzlies are still without Ja Morant, and now Jaren Jackson Jr. is questionable after leaving Tuesday’s game with a facial injury. With Brandon Clarke and Marvin Bagley III also out, the Grizzlies’ depth will be tested in the final game of a five-game road trip.

Scotty Pippen Jr. was a bright spot last game, posting 16 points and 10 assists with no turnovers, but the Thunder’s league-best defense (106.9 PPG allowed) is a far tougher test. OKC has dominated the season series, winning all three previous meetings, including a 120-103 win on March 5, and they hold an eight-game winning streak over the Grizz.

Take the Thunder to cover, Game Total to go Under and Chet to go over his Three’s made total against a 26th ranked 3pt defence.

The Thunder have won 8 straight against the Grizz including all 3 games this season.
Only 1 of the last 10 games between these teams have gone Over the Game Total.
Chet Holmgren is averaging 3.6 three point attempts per game over his last 5 hitting at 50%
Memphis have the 26th ranked defence for opposition 3pt%.

Head to Head

2024-25 Match Results:

Mar 5th 25: Memphis 103 - 120 Oklahoma City

Feb 8th 25: Memphis 112 - 125 Oklahoma City

Dec 29th 24: Oklahoma City 130 - 106 Memphis

2023-24 Season Series:

Oklahoma City won the series 3-0

Memphis Grizzlies Form

Memphis (44-28) finds itself hanging onto a top-six spot, still within striking distance of the second seed but just 3.5 games clear of the play-in zone. They snapped a rough three-game skid by smashing Utah 140-103, thanks to a massive second half and 20 made threes.

However, their momentum is fragile. Ja Morant (hamstring) remains out, and Jaren Jackson Jr. (face) is questionable after exiting last game. While Scotty Pippen Jr. stepped up with a 16-point, 10-assist night, this is a far stiffer challenge.

The Grizzlies are 11-8 when Pippen starts, but they’re just 16-13 without Morant, and this will be the final stop on a tiring five-game road trip.

Memphis Grizzlies Team News

Marvin Bagley, Brandon Clarke, GG Jackson, Ja Morant and Zyon Pullin are all listed as out. Lamar Stevens is questionable.

Oklahoma City Thunder Form

The Thunder (60-12) have sealed the top seed in the West and are two games ahead of Cleveland for the best overall record. Despite their playoff spot being secure, they continue to play with intensity.

Their latest win was a 121-105 road victory over Sacramento which saw them dominate with balanced scoring and efficient shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32-8-5) remains the engine, while Chet Holmgren, Dort, and a deep rotation give them elite two-way balance.

Even without Jalen Williams (hip) and Aaron Wiggins (Achilles), they’ve kept rolling. With a 30-5 home record and motivation to stay sharp heading into the playoffs, expect OKC to deliver once again.

Oklahoma City Thunder Team News

Ousmane Dieng, Alex Ducas, Ajay Mitchell, Nikola Topic and Aaron Wiggens are out. Isaiah Hartenstein is available while Cason Wallace and Jalen Williams are questionable.