Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets NBA Basketball 2025 Betting Tips - Warriors to continue domination over Rockets

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 13 Feb 2025

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Ryan Tucker 13 Feb 2025

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Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets expert tips for Friday, 14th February
Tip-off is at 11:00 AM AEDT at Toyota Center, Houston
Warriors have dominated Rockets, winning 9 of last 10 matchups.
Rockets may be without key players Jabari Smith Jr. and Fred VanVleet.
Anticipate a close game focusing on defense with the Warriors and Rockets both top 10 in defensive ranking.
Take the Game Total Under.

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A player hangs on a basketball net. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets NBA Basketball 2025 Betting Tips

The Warriors have had a stranglehold over the Rockets recently and even though they might not win outright here, they will most definitely cover the line as underdogs.

The Warriors have won 9 of their last 10 games against the Rockets including 2 of the 3 games played so far this season. All 3 of those games were close encounters, the most recent a 1 pt win to Houston, the previous two 6 point wins to GS with one going to OT.

The Rockets are likely to be missing key starters and scorers in this matchup with Jabari Smith Jr and Fred VanVleet likely not available until after the All-Star Break. There is also a question mark over Alperen Sengun who pulled up with a back complaint in the game before last and could be rested on this second night of a back to back.

Golden State are 2-1 since having Jimmy Butler join their team. While it is expected to take some more time until he is fully acclimated to the Warriors style of play you can guarantee that he will be asking for the ball if this game comes down to a clutch situation. With Butler and Steph Curry on this team there is no way we are betting on the Rockets to win in a clutch moment.

My expectation is that this game will be close, while it is still uncertain whether Sengun and VanVleet will suit up, I prefer taking the Warriors with the points given the experience on their team and the closeness of the games played already this season. With this being the last game before All-Star expect them to leave it all out on the court defensively sending this game Under.

The Warriors are 8-2 ATS and 9-1 straight up in their last 10 against Houston.
The Under has hit in 6 of the last 10 and both teams are ranked top 10 in defence.
Steph Curry averages 6.8 assists per game in his career against Houston and 6.1 total this season.
2 of the last 3 Rockets games at home have gone Under the total.

Head to Head

2024-25 Match Results:

Dec 11th 24: Houston 91-90 Golden State

Dec 5th 24: Golden State 99-93 Houston

Nov 2nd 24: Golden State 127-121 Houston

2023-24 Season Series:

The Warriors won the series 3-0.

Golden State Warriors Form

Golden State have now played 3 games with Jimmy Butler in the lineup, going 2-1 over that period. Butler scored 25 points in 28 minutes in his debut against the Bulls last week then backed that up with 20 points in 31 minutes against the Bucks, both games victories.

Yesterday against Dallas, Butler had 21 points in a losing effort second only to Steph Curry who scored 25. The team shot a pathetic 28% from distance in the game and had trouble keeping tabs on Kyrie Irving who went for 42 for the Mavs.

The Warriors rank 19th in scoring this season with an average of 112.1 points per game while allowing opponents to score 111.9 which is the 9th best average in the NBA. GWS sit 10th in the Western Conference heading into this matchup.

Golden State Warriors Team News

With the Warriors on a second night of a back to back they have not yet submitted their injury report. Jonathan Kuminga will be incorporated back into the team after the All-Star break.

Houston Rockets Form

The Rockets have fallen to 4th in the West following a 6 game losing streak to start the month of February. That streak was broken on Monday (Aus time) against the Raptors and was followed up by a solid 8 point win over the Phoenix Suns in their most recent outing yesterday.

All 5 starters scored 17+ points with Tari Eason topping the team with 25 to go with 9 boards, 4 assists and 3 steals. The bench contributed only 19 points in the effort but big man Steven Adams still took 6 boards in 9 and half minutes of play.

Houston are ranked 28th in 3pt% this season shooting an average of 34% from beyond the arc, that number was 31% against the Suns but didn’t stop the team from attempting 42 shots from deep, 7 more than their season average.

The Rockets shoot the 2nd highest number of field goals per game, getting out and pushing their offence. Defensively they rank 6th allowing an average of 108.7 points per game.