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Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Tips - Swans glide past the Dogs

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 22 May 2024
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Jeremy Darke 22 May 2024
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  • Western Bulldogs vs Sydney expert predictions for Thursday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Swans' star midfielders Gulden, Heeney, and Warner are crucial and clutch for Swans.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Expired
Isaac Heeney and Errol Gulden
Isaac Heeney and Errol Gulden powering the Swans midfield. (Photo by Mark Metcalfe/AFL Photos/via Getty Images)

Western Bulldogs vs Sydney, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction


Sydney will continue to stamp their dominance on the 2024 AFL season with a convincing win over the Western Bulldogs on Thursday night, covering the line as 8.5-point favourites.
  • Western Bulldogs vs Sydney, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Western Bulldogs Team News
  • Western Bulldogs Team List
  • Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Team News
  • Sydney Team List
  • Western Bulldogs vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

The red-hot Swans are flying high above the rest of the AFL at the moment and look to be unstoppable this season if they do not face an injury crisis. Themidfield of Errol Gulden, Isaac Heeney and Chad Warner are lethal in moving the ball forward and linking the backfield to the front. 

The Western Bulldogs got a good win in the wet against the Swan’s rivals GWS, however, Sydney are at a whole other level and will cruise past the Dogs, who have suffered from inconsistency this season. 

The Swans attack will put up points against a stingy Western Bulldogs defence coming over their Team Total of 87.5 and will kick on in the end, just as they did against Carlton and cover the line with ease. 

  • Sydney have a percentage of 154.7, which is 28.6% more than any other club in the league. 
  • Sydney averages 103 points per game and have scored over their Team Total of 87.5 in 7 of 10 games this season.
  • Sydney are ranked in the top 4 in Inside 50’s (56.6), Marks Inside 50 (12.8) and Shot at Goal Accuracy (53.4).
  • The Western Bulldogs have conceded over 87.5 points in 3 of 4 matches against current top-eight teams.

Head to Head 


The Sydney Swans have proven to be a handful for the Western Bulldogs over the past 3 seasons, winning 3 of 4 matches including a 2-point thriller in round 18 last season. 

The changed five times in the last quarter in the match between these two last season with the Swans creeping ahead at the death with Tom Papley’s fourth goal of the game which sealed it for Sydney.

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-24-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$127-31-44-1

The Western Bulldogs got a big upset win against GWS in Round 10, beating the Giants 70-43. The sheer weight of having 21 more Inside 50’s was the key to victory for the Bulldogs, who could consider themselves lucky to escape with the win after kicking 8.22 in the match. The Dogs also dominated in the Stoppage Clearances, pounding the ball out of danger 41 times compared to the Giants 28. 

It was an important win for the Bulldogs who are now on a two-game streak after losing a couple against the Hawks and the Dockers which they were expected to win. 

The Doggies have been playing better when they have been firing as much as  possible at goal, which is just what they did on the weekend. The Western Bulldogs take the third-most amount of Shots On Goal  (27.7/G) while ranking also third in the AFL with a 50.2 Shot Efficiency.

Western Bulldogs Team News


Bulldogs defender Jason Johannisen will be out for over a month with a hamstring strain. Ryan Gardner will also be missing for an extended period, injury his wrist at training last week.

Tom Liberatore will be out for a few more weeks, suffering from concussion symptoms. 

Western Bulldogs Team List


B: L.Bramble, L.Jones, J.O’Donnell
HB: T.Duryea, A.Keath, B.Dale
C: B.Williams, A.Treloar, J.Harmes
HF: L.Vandermeer, A.Naughton, J.Macrae
F: S.Darcy, J.Ugle-Hagan, R.West
FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, E.Richards

I/C: C.Daniel, J.Freijah, H.Gallagher, R.Garcia, A.Scott
EMG: L.Cleary, R.Lobb, R.Sanders

IN: A.Scott
OUT: L.Cleary (omitted)

Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
5-05-02-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$425-55-14-0

Sydney marked their authority at the top of the ladder with a monster 117-65 win over Carlton in Round 10. After letting the Blues get out to a quick 26-point lead in the first quarter, the Swans took control of the match, kicking on to a 52-point victory.

It was another consistent performance for the Swans star midfielders Isaac Heeney, Chad Warner and Errol Gulden all putting in 24+ Disposals in the match as they set up the run of play from the stoppages to give the Swans the clear edge. 

The stats are simple for the Swans who lead the league averaging 103 points for per game and concede the least at 66.6 per game. 

Sydney Team News


Tom McCartin will be out for another week due to the concussion he suffered against the Giants.

Robbie Fox will miss up to three weeks with an AC joint injury he suffered last week.

Sydney Team List


B: A.Francis, L.Melican, D.Rampe - C
HB: O.Florent, N.Blakey, H.Cunningham
C: E.Gulden, Ch.Warner, J.Lloyd
HF: T.Adams, L.McDonald, H.McLean
F: W.Hayward, J.Amartey, T.Papley
FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C: M.Roberts, J.McInerney, J.Jordon, S.Wicks, B.Campbell
EMG: A.Sheldrick, C.Mitchell, J.Hamling

IN: M.Roberts
OUT: R.Fox (injured)

Western Bulldogs vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch Western Bulldogs vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 11?

You can watch the Western Bulldogs vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Western Bulldogs vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Western Bulldogs vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 11 game check the AFL website or the official Western Bulldogs site.

Verdict

The Swans will have no problems getting past the Dogs, scoring over 87.5 points and covering the 8.5 points as favourites.
Best Bet1: Sydney -8.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Sydney Over 87.5 Team Total @7/8 at Bet Right - 3 Units
Sydney -8.5
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@9/10 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 23 May 2024

Western Bulldogs v Sydney