2024 AFL Finals Week 1

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Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Tips - Dynamic Hawks too slick for the Bulldogs

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 04 Sep 2024

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Jeremy Darke 04 Sep 2024

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Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
Hawthorn's efficient ball movement and experience in close games will be key.
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Why the Hawthorn Hawks get up against the Western Bulldogs.

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn, 2024 Elimination Final - Expert Prediction

The Western Bulldogs and the Hawthorn Hawks are arguably the two in-form teams of the competition. One will progress and the other will go home and it is predicted that it will be the Hawks that live to fight another day, sending the Bulldogs on an unwanted early holiday.

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn, Round Week 1 2024 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Western Bulldogs Team News
Western Bulldogs Team List
Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Hawthorn Team News
Hawthorn Team List
Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round Week 1 FAQ’s

It would have been great to see both of these teams in a semifinal next week and deservingly so, however, it doesn't pan out like that in footy sometimes and the Hawks speedy ball movement is going to prove too much for the Bulldogs.

The young Hawks have played in a couple of tight matches this season that has given them the experience needed to step up in the big moments and they will get the edge on the Western Bulldogs with their efficient disposals and counter footy.

Hawthorn have scored 110+ points in 5 of their past 6 matches and their attack will light it up again going over their team total of just 80.5 points.

The Hawks have beaten the Western Bulldogs in their past two matches by an average margin of 5 points.
Hawthorn have won their past 5 matches at the MCG, while the Bulldogs went 1 from 2 in 2024.
Hawthorn have a scoring differential average of 57.71 in their past 7 matches.
Hawthorn have scored over 80 points in 12 of their past 13 games.

Head to Head

Hawthorn had 7 more scoring shots in their 14.14 (98) - 14.7 (91) win over the Western Bulldogs back in round 8 this season, grabbing just their second win of the year at that time.

It was a see-sawing match with the Dogs taking the early lead but the Hawks took control from the second quarter, however the Bulldogs fought back and snatched back the ascendency in the fourth to only let Hawthorn once again snatch it away and win the match.

It was the second consecutive win for Hawthorn over the Western Bulldogs who actually have a 5-3 lead in the head to head matchup since 2019.

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	4-1

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
$15	16-7	6-6	8-3

The Western Bulldogs come into the Elimination Final high on confidence after getting a huge 98-61 win over GWS before the bye week. It was the Dogs sixth win in 7 matches, beating 4 finals teams during that span which gives them a strong psychological edge in September.

The Dogs forwards are in as good of form as any in the finals with Jamarra Ugle-Hagan Sam Darcy and Aaron Naughton combining for 40 goals and 137 scoring involvements and 52 marks inside 50 in their previous 7 matches.

The Bulldogs size up front will be their advantage and their ability to score points from clearances has been their biggest weaponed, ranked second in the AFL in points from clearances differential.

Western Bulldogs Team News

No recent injury news coming out of the Bulldogs camp at the moment.

Western Bulldogs Team List

Team list yet to be released.

Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
$47	13-10	6-5	8-4

Hawthorn are arguably the most dangerous side in the AFL Finals despite finishing seventh on the ladder. They finished the season winning 11 of their final 13 matches with losses only to Geelong and GWS.

They won 6 of their final 7 matches averaging 119.85 points per game while conceding an average of just 62.14 points.

It is no secret how the Hawks are tearing through their opposition, moving the ball swiftly from their own end with a disposal efficiency of 74.7% (second in the AFL) and often catching their opponents out with a fast break down field.

Hawthorn Team News

Midfielder Will Day has been ruled out of Friday’s Elimination Final, unable to come up to full fitness while nursing an SC joint injury.

Hawthorn Team List

Team list yet to be released.

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Elimination Final FAQ’s

How to watch Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Elimination Final?

You can watch the Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Elimination Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Elimination Final?

To buy tickets to the Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Elimination Final game check the AFL website or the official Western Bulldogs site.

Verdict

Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn

Hawthorn’s attack will keep on rolling, scoring over their team total of 80.5 points which will see them get up in the Elimination Final by a margin of 1-39.