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West Coast vs Melbourne Tips - Demons tame the Eagles at Optus Stadium

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 16 May 2024
Jeremy Darke 16 May 2024
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  • West Coast vs Melbourne expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Optus Stadium, with the bounce at 6:20 PM (AEST)
  • Expect a controlled game with Melbourne keeping possession.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Melbourne Demons
Max Gawn shaving his best season in his 14 year career. (Photo by Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

West Coast vs Melbourne, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction


Melbourne suffered a disappointing loss to Carlton last week but will make amends against West Coast this week, but not without a fight from the Eagles.
  • West Coast vs Melbourne, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • West Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • West Coast Team News
  • West Coast Team List
  • Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Melbourne Team News
  • Melbourne Team List
  • West Coast vs Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

West Coast are a much better team at home in Optus Stadium, winning two of four games in the west and losing to Essendon by just one goal. Melbourne like to control the ball and will not be out to try and rack up a monster score if the game does get away from the Eagles.

Expect Melbourne to start fast to make up for last week’s debacle against the Blues and then slow things down moving the ball and holding possession, which will see their winning margin stay under 40 points and the Game Total to also hit the Under, as usual for Demons matches.

  • Both of Melbourne’s wins outside of the MCG were by a margin of 1-39.
  • 7 of 9 matches played by Melbourne have gone Under the Game Total.
  • The previous 2 West Coast matches have gone Under the Game Total
  • West Coast concedes an average of just 80 points at Optus Stadium compared with their away average of 110.24.

Head to Head 


Since 2019, the Eagles and Demons have split the results 3-3, however, it has been Melbourne who have won the past three games, all at Optus Stadium.

It was a bloodbath in 2023 with Tom McDonald (4), Christian Petracca (3) and Bayley Fritsch (3) all kicking 3+ plus goals in a 126-63 victory in Round 4.

West Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-33-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$15-42-30-4

The Eagles suffered a heavy defeat at the hands of the reigning premiers last week, going down to Collingwood 103-37 in one of their worst performances of the season.

West Coast have definitely been a better team at Optus Stadium this season, getting wins over Richmond and Fremantles and staying within a goal of Essendon in their past three matches in Western Australia.

Missing Elliot Yeo hurt the Eagles last week, however their veteran midfielder is expected to link up with star rookie Harley Reid again this week which is when West Coast look their best.

West Coast Team News


Elliot Yeo ran well early in the week and is expected to play, overcoming his groin injury that kept him out last week. Jeremy McGovern is also a test later in the week. 

Noah Long’s season is officially over, undergoing surgery on his PCL.

West Coast Team List


B: A.Witherden, T.Barrass, B.Hough
HB: T.Cole, J.McGovern, L.Duggan - C
C: C.Chesser, H.Reid, J.Hunt
HF: L.Edwards, J.Waterman, J.Cripps
F: L.Ryan, J.Darling, J.Williams
FOLL: B.Williams, T.Kelly, R.Ginbey

I/C (FROM): A.Gaff, D.Sheed, J.Jones, J.Rotham, R.Maric, T.Dewar, J.Culley

IN: J.Waterman, A.Gaff, J.Jones, H.Edwards, J.Culley
OUT: J.Petruccelle (Injured), H.Johnston (Omitted)

Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-20-5

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$122-73-33-0

Melbourne dug themselves a 38-point grave that was one point too deep against Carlton after finishing the first quarter 30-0 down. It was an atrocious start for the Demons that saw Carlton dominate inside 50 and kick 5 goals none. The Demons then took over the game kicking the final two goals of the third and the final four goals of the fourth to claw their way back, but it just wasn’t enough. 

Ruckman Max Gawn continues to have his best season of his 14 year career, topping his stats in Disposals, Marks , Tackles, Clearances and Hit Outs, which has been a key to the Demons success. Melbourne as a team have continued their dominance at the back relying on their ability to take an average of 62.9 intercepts per game.

Melbourne Team News


Jacob van Rooyen has entered concussion protocol and will miss this week’s match.

Daniel Turner will miss the next month with a strained calf.

Melbourne Team List


B: B.Howes, S.May, T.Rivers
HB: J.McVee, T.McDonald, J.Lever
C: J.Billings, C.Oliver, C.Windsor
HF: A.Neal-Bullen, B.Fritsch, K.Pickett
F: K.Chandler, H.Petty, S.McAdam
FOLL: M.Gawn - C, J.Viney, C.Petracca

I/C (FROM): C.Salem, J.Bowey, A.Tomlinson, T.Sparrow, T.Fullarton, T.Woewodin, B.Brown

IN: S.McAdam, C.Salem, A.Tomlinson, T.Fullarton, K.Tholstrup, B.Brown
OUT: E.Langdon (Personal Reason), J.van Rooyen (Injured), D.Turner (Injured)

West Coast vs Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch West Coast vs Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the West Coast vs Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to West Coast vs Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the West Coast vs Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official West Coast site.

Verdict

Expect a controlled performance from Melbourne as they keep possession of the ball in a 1-39 win with the Game Total staying Under 161.5 points.
Best Bet1: Melbourne 1-39 Little Win @6/5 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 161.5 Game Total @9/10 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Melbourne 1-39
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Betting Slip | 19 May 2024

West Coast v Melbourne