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West Coast vs St Kilda Tips - Saints to keep slim finals hopes alive with win over West Coast

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 30 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 30 May 2024
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  • West Coast vs St Kilda expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Optus Stadium, with the bounce at 4:35 PM (AEST)
  • West Coast Eagles are unexpectedly favored against St Kilda.
  • St Kilda shows better overall team performance and defensive stats.
  • Analysts recommend betting on St Kilda’s Winning Margin.
Expired
Seb Ross
Sebastian Ross of the Saints. (Photo by Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

West Coast vs St Kilda, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction


Amazingly the West Coast Eagles are favoured in this game, a sucker punch for the Saints with their season hanging on a knife's edge.
  • West Coast vs St Kilda, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • West Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • West Coast Team News
  • West Coast Team List
  • St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • St Kilda Team List
  • West Coast vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

What it could do though is offer us a slight edge in a muddy betting market. St Kilda are fundamentally a better team this season compared to West Coast. The Eagles have at times ridden on waves of momentum which we can easily say the Saints have missed. 

If they were to play 100 games in a row, back to back with 100% capacity it is safe to say that St Kilda win the majority of battles. So I am backing the 1-39 Margin for the Underdog here to keep the sliver of hope alive.

  • The Saints concede the 6th fewest Goals per Game averaging 11.2 per match 
  • St Kilda are 2nd in the league in Pressure Acts averaging 309 per game
  • The previous 2 games between these teams have gone Under the Game Total
  • 4 of St Kilda’s last 5 games have gone Under the Game Total

Head to Head 


Since the beginning of the 2019 season these teams have met on 6 occasions with both winning 3 games each. 

St Kilda are the most recent victors winning both the 2023 and 2022 matchups. 

West Coast covered the monster 55 point line as Underdogs last year but have managed only a total of 3 wins ATS over the 6 game period. 

All 6 games have finished with Winning Margins of 1-39 points with the Over/Under being split 3-3.

West Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$427-43-30-5

West Coast’s form this season was expected to be inconsistent but it is amazing to see that they can beat one of the premiership favourites in the Demons by 35 one week and then lose by 99 points the week after to a mid-tier Crows.

The major differences for the Eagles in those games is ball in hand and then how they use it. In the loss to Adelaide, West Coast had only 36% Possession in the game and had a Disposal Efficiency of 70.5% in the win against Melbourne it was 46% Possession and 77.2% Efficiency.

West Coast Team News


Jack Petruccelle will need to pass a fitness test before being available for selection with Alex Witherden in the same boat with calf tightness. Luke Edwards will miss 1 to 2 weeks in concussion protocols whilst Oscar Allen is still a couple weeks away.

West Coast Team List


Team list yet to be released.


St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-31-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$273-83-70-1

Things went from bad to worse for the struggling Saints last week as they were dismantled by a determined Melbourne outfit 100-62. St Kilda held a minor lead in the first quarter for about 90 seconds and then that was it for the rest of the game. 

Their opposition out-marked, out-contested and completely out-played the Sainters who committed 80 Turnovers in the game, 10 more than their season average of 70.5.

St Kilda Team News

No new major injury news for the Saints with Jack Hayes having gone under the knife earlier this week, his return is listed as 6 weeks. Zaine Cordy is not expected to return after injuring his knee in the VFL last weekend.

St Kilda Team List


Team list yet to be released.

West Coast vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

How to watch West Coast vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 12?

You can watch the West Coast vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to West Coast vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 12?

To buy tickets to the West Coast vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 12 game check the AFL website or the official West Coast site.

Verdict

St Kilda will regain some ascendancy with a win over the West Coast Eagles as Underdogs. My best bet is the Saints 1-39 Winning Margin based on the Margin trends between these teams and St Kilda's inability to put scores on teams this season.
Best Bet1: St Kilda 1-39 Winning Margin @16/11 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 153.5 Game Total @9/10 at Elitebet - 2 Units
St Kilda 1-39
Winning Margin
@16/11 - 2 Units
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Game Total
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West Coast v St Kilda