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Sydney vs Gold Coast Tips - Suns stun the Swans

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 19 Apr 2024
Jeremy Darke 19 Apr 2024
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  • Sydney vs Gold Coast expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 1:00 PM (AEST)
  • The Suns are predicted to cover the 19.5-point line after their strong victory against the Hawks.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Gold Coast Suns, Mac Andrew
Mac Andrew has become a real nuisance for the Suns at the back. (Photo by Russell Freeman/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Sydney vs Gold Coast, Round 6 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Gold Coast Suns will make their way to Sydney to play at the SCG against the Swans, who appeared to have their wings clip before their round 5 bye week. The young Suns are feeling full of confidence after a strong victory against the Hawks and will take that into their match on Sunday and cover the 19.5-point line, in what will prove to be another tough match for the Swannies.
  • Sydney vs Gold Coast, Round 6 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Team News
  • Sydney Team List
  • Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Gold Coast Team News
  • Gold Coast Team List
  • Sydney vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 6 FAQ’s

Sydney started with their guns blaizing but failed to live up the same expectations in the past three matches, letting their opponents overpower them for long periods of the match. The midfield of Errol Gulden and Isaac Heeney was lethal to start the year, but has not had the same compression around the stoppages which has hurt the Swans.

The Suns have achieved well to start the season and their energy has certainly lifted the hopes and expectation at the club. Coach Damien Hardwick has had a direct impact on the composure and structure of the ball movement and if his troops play to the standard that they have shown for a full four quarters, they will be a real threat to the Swans this week. 

I give the Suns a real chance, considering how easy it was for the Tigers and Eagles to move the ball on Sydney before their bye week and expect the Gold Coast to cover the 19.5 points as underdogs easily. 

The Suns should get their chances to shoot at goal and if Ben King can find some space I expect another couple of goals out of the Gold Coast forward, which will push the Suns team total over 77.5 points for the match.

  • The Gold Coast have won 2 of their past 3 games against Sydney at the SCG. 
  • The Gold Coast average 84.8 points per game this season.
  • Sydney has allow their opponents to score 78 points or more in their past 3 matches.
  • Ben King has kicked 2+ goals in 4 of 5 games this season.

Head to Head 


The Swans got two wins against the Gold Coast in 2023, beating the Suns 110-61 in round 1 of the season and  backing it up with a tougher victory at the SCG in round 22, kicking away from the Gold Coast in the third quarter to win by 24 points.

Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$173-24-10-0

Sydney enjoyed the week off with a round 5 bye, which was unexpectedly needed after two underpar performances, one which resulted in 5-point loss to Richmond in round 3 and the other a comeback victory over West Coast, who were leading into the main break. 

The Swans started the season in emphatic fashion in the first two weeks, playing strong pressure footy that didn’t give their opponents time to breathe. That wasn’t the case in their match against Essendon and the red flags should have been waving after allowing the Bombers to put 101 points on them. The Sydney defence has struggled from there on out and needed the week off to reset.

Sydney Team News


Caleb Mitchell has been omitted from the Swans lineup.

Sydney Team List


B: N.Blakey, T.McCartin, L.Melican
HB: H.Cunningham, O.Florent, J.Lloyd
C: E.Gulden, Ch.Warner, J.Jordon
HF: J.McInerney, L.McDonald, T.Adams
F: T.Papley - C, H.McLean, W.Hayward
FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C (FROM): M.Roberts, R.Fox, B.Campbell, J.Amartey, S.Wicks, C.Cleary, A.Francis

IN: S.Wicks, P.Ladhams, C.Cleary, A.Francis
OUT: C.Mitchell (omitted)

Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-22-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$63-22-11-1

The Gold Coast put in their cleanest performance of the season to record their third win in 5 matches and stay unbeaten at People First Stadium, with a very comfortable 109-56 win over Hawthorn on Saturday night. 

The Gold Coast pressure forced Hawthorn into 71 errors in the match and the superb play of Mac Andrew at the back disrupted the forward ball movement of the Hawks all evening. 

The Gold Coast could not really ask for a better start to Damien Hardwick’s tenure and they certainly look to be a team that can be pushing for their first finals berth in the 13 year history of the club.

Gold Coast Team News


Malcolm Rosas has been confirmed to have a severe hamstring injury out will be out for sometime. Suns Academy captain Jake Rogers has been named to make his debut for the club in Rosas’ absence.

Gold Coast Team List


B: J.Lukosius, C.Ballard, S.Collins
HB: W.Powell, S.Flanders, M.Andrew
C: B.Fiorini, T.Miller - C, S.Clohesy
HF: B.Ainsworth, E.Read, T.Berry
F: M.Rowell, B.King, J.Walter
FOLL: J.Witts, N.Anderson, B.Humphrey

I/C (FROM): R.Atkins, A.Sexton, N.Holman, D.Swallow, W.Graham, B.Uwland, D.Macpherson

IN: R.Atkins, A.Sexton, J.Rogers, D.Macpherson
OUT: M.Rosas (injured)

Sydney vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 6 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 6?

You can watch the Sydney vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Sydney vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 6?

To buy tickets to the Sydney vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 6 game check the AFL website or the official Sydney site.

Verdict

The Suns will put good pressure on the Swans and cover the 19.5-point line as the underdog. The Gold Coast will be able to move the ball into the Swans 50 and will score at least 78 points in the match with Ben King kicking at least 2 goals in the match.
Best Bet1: Gold Coast +19.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at Neds - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Gold Coast Over 77.5 Team Total @7/8 at Bet Right - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Ben King 2+ Goals @4/9 at Justbet - 4 Units
Gold Coast +19.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Gold Coast Over 77.5
Team Total
@7/8 - 2 Units
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Ben King
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Betting Slip | 21 Apr 2024

Sydney v Gold Coast