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Sydney vs Carlton Tips - Swans expected to keep atop the pecking order with win against Blues

Last updated: 16 May 2024
Ryan Tucker 16 May 2024
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  • Sydney vs Carlton expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
  • League leading Swans are expected to dominate against the Blues.
  • Sydney Swans showcase impressive form with 4-0 at home this season and high average scoring.
  • Carlton Blues struggling with recent form and injury issues.
Nick Blakey
Nick Blakey will be right to go for the Swans this week against Carlton (Photo by Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)

Sydney vs Carlton, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction

The league leading Swans welcome the Blues who have lost 3 of their last 5 games. Sydney have a habit of making sure games with Carlton aren’t close and that is exactly what is expected in this game.
  • Sydney vs Carlton, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Team News
  • Sydney Team List
  • Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Carlton Team News
  • Carlton Team List
  • Sydney vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

The Bloods are 4-0 at home this season with an average Winning Margin of 33.5 points per game. Any doubts that came with the Swans this season around their ability to score have been blown away through the first third of the year. Not only have they scored the most of any team in the league they have also conceded the least amount of points in the AFL.

Carlton will not be able to match it with Sydney for the entire game in this one, expect them to keep it close for a while but then for the Swans to cover comfortably.

  • Sydney are the best Scoring team in the league averaging 14.9 Goals per game
  • The Swans also have the best Scoring Defence in the AFL allowing only 9.2 Goals per game to their opposition this season
  • The three most recent Carlton losses to Sydney have been by 19 or more points
  • Sydney are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games

Head to Head 

These two teams have met 6 times in the regular season since the beginning of the 2019 season. The wins are split 3-3. Carlton though have the most recent success knocking Sydney out of the title race in week 1 of the 2023 finals. 

All three Sydney wins have been by 19 or more points whilst the four combined wins for Carlton have been with Winning Margins of between 5 and 15 points.

4 of the last 7 games have gone Under the Game Total including the last two straight.

Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+

Sydney are the in form team of the competition right now having only lost 1 game so far this season. Given it was to one of the worst teams in the comp but they have consistently shown their detractors that they are a class team at both ends of the ground. 

The Swans are getting Inside 50 at the 4th best rate in the league and last week against the Dockers, who are one of the best defensive teams in the AFL, Sydney were able to get 51 entries. They also managed to limit their turnovers which is something that has been a small smudge on their otherwise stellar season.

Sydney Team News

The McAttacks of Tom McCartin and Lachlan McAndrew both need another week in concussion protocols, Nick Blakey will be right to go though after suffering a head knock himself in the win over the Dockers last weekend.

Sydney Team List

B: A.Francis, L.Melican, D.Rampe - C
HB: O.Florent, N.Blakey, H.Cunningham
C: E.Gulden, Ch.Warner, J.McInerney
HF: H.McLean, L.McDonald, T.Adams
F: W.Hayward, J.Amartey, T.Papley
FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C: B.Campbell, J.Lloyd, J.Jordon, S.Wicks, R.Fox
EMG: L.Parker, M.Roberts, J.Hamling

IN: B.Campbell
OUT: M.Roberts (Managed)

Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+

Carlton should officially change their moniker to the Carlton Close Gamers as they once again closed out a game with a 1 point win. In 9 of their last 15 games the final Winning Margin has been 6 points or less with Carlton taking the victory in all but two of those matchups. 

They are undoubtedly cool under pressure but one needs to bring in to perspective that the fact they are in this position to start with is probably not the hallmark of a great team. In any case the Blues lead the league in Centre Clearances and Contested Possessions, two stats that are indicators of better teams.

Carlton Team News

Adam Cerra will miss the next few weeks with a hammy in a massive blow to the Blues midfield. Matt Cottrell will also miss a month with a foot injury while David Cuningham’s timeline has been pushed back following complications in his recovery. Marc Pittonet and Zac Williams will need to prove their fitness before selection whilst the trio of Adam Saad, Jesse Motlop and Lachie Fogarty are expected back next week.

Carlton Team List

B: B.Kemp, J.Weitering, A.Cincotta
HB: C.Marchbank, M.McGovern, N.Newman
C: Z.Williams, P.Cripps - C, B.Acres
HF: O.Hollands, T.De Koning, E.Hollands
F: H.McKay, C.Curnow, M.Owies
FOLL: M.Pittonet, S.Walsh, M.Kennedy

I/C: J.Boyd, J.Carroll, O.Fantasia, C.Durdin, G.Hewett
EMG: L.Cowan, J.Binns, Le.Young

IN: C.Marchbank, Z.Williams, J.Carroll, O.Fantasia
OUT: L.Cowan (Omitted), M.Cottrell (Injured), A.Cerra (Injured), J.Martin (Injured)

Sydney vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the Sydney vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Sydney vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Sydney vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Sydney site.


Sydney are in dominant form this year whilst Carlton are hanging on by the skin of their teeth. My prediction in this one is that Sydney send a wake up call to the league with a comfortable win over the Blues who are struggling with injury.
Best Bet1: Sydney -12.5 Line @9/10 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 170.5 Game Total @9/10 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Sydney -12.5
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Betting Slip | 17 May 2024

Sydney v Carlton