Sydney vs GWS Giants Tips - Swans expected to win in tight Finals derby

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 04 Sep 2024

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Ryan Tucker 04 Sep 2024

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Sydney vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Sydney Swans favored by 7.5 points against GWS Giants in the 2024 Qualifying Finals.
Key players like Errol Gulden and Jesse Hogan predicted to have major impacts.
Sydney dominated previous encounters this season and has a better head-to-head record.

Qualifying Final best tips!

Sydney vs GWS Giants, 2024 Qualifying Finals - Expert Prediction

Sydney head into this Qualifying Final against their little brother GWS as 7.5 favourites and rightly so. With the majority of their stars back on deck the number could have been a little larger for mine but i will be taking them to cover in a tough contest.

Sydney vs GWS Giants, 2024 Qualifying Finals - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Sydney Team News
Sydney Team List
GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
GWS Giants Team News
GWS Giants Team List
Sydney vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Qualifying Final FAQ’s

The Swans beat GWS in both matchups earlier this season putting 98 points on them in Round 8 and then 102 points in Round 15. In both of those matchups Errol Gulden led all players on ground in Disposals with Chad Warner also playing a major role in the front half.

Coleman Medal winner Jesse Hogan was kept relatively quiet in both matchups with Callan Ward being the player that did most damage for the Giants.

Sydney were the best Scoring team in the AFL during the regular season averaging 14.3 Goals per game.
The Swans have the 2nd best Ruck Win Percentage at 44.7% compared to the Giants 38% ranking them 12th in the league.
GWS allow their opponents the 2nd most Centre Clearances of any team at 13 per game.
Errol Gulden topped the Disposals in both games against the Giants this year.

Head to Head

Since the beginning of the 2019 season these two teams have met in 1 finals matchup, the 2021 Elimination Final which was won 74-73 by the Giants.

Looking at the regular season there have been 11 matchups in the same time frame with Sydney holding a commanding 7-4 lead in the head to head. They won both matchups this season with winning margins of 29 and 27 points.

The Game Total has gone Over in the last 4 straight games as well as 8 of the last 11. The Winning Margin has stayed between 1-39 in 8 of the last 11 matchups.

Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
$25	15-8	11-5	6-1

Sydney were looking shaky for a while there heading into the backend of the season. A 10 game win streak was replaced by a run of 5 losses in 6 games before they were able to regather their composure and see out the season with 3 straight wins.

The Swans downfall coincided with injuries to star players with their depth not being up to the same standard. With those players more or less back on the park now it will be a massive boost for the minor premiers during September.

Sydney Team News

Justin McInerney has been close to being fit for a number of weeks but is finally expected to suit up again for the Swans. Same news for Tom Papley who has missed 6 weeks with an ankle injury.

Sam Wicks is still suspended and could return in Week 3 of finals at the earliest.

Sydney Team List

Team list yet to be released.

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
$34	13-10	13-8	2-0

The Giants dropped the last game of the season against the Bulldogs and were subsequently relegated to 4th on the ladder with Geelong getting the win on their end. It is always difficult to find the motivation when you know your future is secured and the team could have seen it as an easier task to stay in Sydney and play the Swans rather than travel to Adelaide and face Port.

Prior to the loss to the Doggies the Giants had won 7 in a row with an average winning margin of 15 points.

GWS Giants Team News

Toby Bedford will undergo a fitness test closer to matchday but is unlikely to play. In a boost for the Giants Isaac Cumming and Jake Riccardi are both right to go.

GWS Giants Team List

Team list yet to be released.

Sydney vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Qualifying Final FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Qualifying Final?

You can watch the Sydney vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Qualifying Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.