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St Kilda Saints AFL 2024 Predictions, Projections and Player Movement

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 17 Feb 2024
Ryan Tucker 17 Feb 2024
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  • St Kilda Saints predicted to finish 10th in the AFL in 2024, despite stronghold in defence.
  • Notable player movements in the offseason include arrivals like Paddy Dow from Carlton and departures like Jack Billings to Melbourne.
  • St Kilda Saints's strength lies in their defence, but the lack of dynamic scoring ability continues to be a significant disadvantage.
Jack Steele
Jack Steele of the Saints (Photo by Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

AFL 2024 Team Previews, Predictions & Player Movement: St Kilda Saints

  • AFL 2024 Team Previews, Predictions & Player Movement: St Kilda Saints
  • Where they finish: 10th in the AFL in 2024
  • What’s to like 
  • What’s NOT to like
  • St Kilda Saints Offseason Player Movement
  • St Kilda Saints Predicted Round 1 Squad


Where they finish: 10th in the AFL in 2024


St Kilda did well to finish in the top 8 last year considering their shortcomings on the attacking side of the ball. My expectation is that other teams around them catch up and will more easily be able to exploit the weaknesses of the defence in 2024. The opposition won’t need to score big to win games against the Saints, just make sure that their own defence is in working order.

What’s to like 


As for any Ross Lyon coached side it is the defence that sets the standard for the team. In 2023 the Saints allowed the least amount of opposition Goals of any team in the league (250), and despite allowing the most Marks to their opposition in the AFL they were 5th best at defending their own 50. 

There is a solid base for St Kilda to build on if they can get the right pieces to fit to still be able to score bouncing off their incredible defence. 

What’s NOT to like


Their ability to score. With all their resources focused on defending the team lacks the dynamics to score consistently. They were 12th in the league in total Goals scored in 2023 and their Clearances ranking was even worse (15th) meaning they were already on the backfoot as soon as the ball started moving. 

Despite being very efficient at stopping Goals the Saints gave up the most Uncontested Possessions and the most Marks to their opponents in 2023. As we have seen in all the years Ross Lyon has been coaching, that tactic only works until it stops working, then the teams absolutely bleed points. All it takes is an injury or two to rattle the squads structure and the walls could come tumbling down.


St Kilda Saints Offseason Player Movement


IN
Riley Bonner (Pre-Season Draft), Lance Collard (No.28 draft pick), Paddy Dow (trade, Carlton), Hugo Garcia (No.50 draft pick), Angus Hastie (No.33 draft pick), Liam Henry (trade, Fremantle), Liam O'Connell (Category B rookie), Arie Schoenmaker (No.62 draft pick), Darcy Wilson (No.18 draft pick)

OUT
Oscar Adams (delisted), Jack Billings (trade, Melbourne), Jack Bytel (delisted), Nick Coffield (trade, Western Bulldogs), Leo Connolly (delisted), Jade Gresham (free agent, Essendon), Tom Highmore (delisted), Dan McKenzie (delisted), Jack Peris (delisted)

St Kilda Saints Predicted Round 1 Squad


Full Back

Josh Battle

Callum Wilkie

Jimmy Webster

Half Back

Jack Sinclair

Dougal Howard

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

Centre

Liam Henry

Brad Crouch

Mason Wood

Half Forward

Mitch Owens

Tim Membrey

Brad Hill

Full Forward

Mattaes Phillipou

Max King

Jack Higgins

Followers

Rowan Marshall

Jack Steele

Marcus Windhager

Interchange

Cooper Sharman

Paddy Dow

Liam Stocker

Seb Ross

Darcy Wilson (sub)

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