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St Kilda vs Fremantle Tips - Another bottom-ten win for Freo

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 16 May 2024
Jeremy Darke 16 May 2024
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  • St Kilda vs Fremantle expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Fremantle are 5 from six against teams outside of the top-eight.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Sean Darcy
Sean Darcy expected to return this week and fix Freo 's ruck issues. (Photo by Daniel Carson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

St Kilda vs Fremantle, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction


Fremantle will continue their good form against bottom-ten teams this season and get the underdog victory over the Saints at Marvel Stadium on Saturday. 
  • St Kilda vs Fremantle, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • St Kilda Team News
  • St Kilda Team List
  • Fremantle Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Fremantle Team News
  • Fremantle Team List
  • St Kilda vs Fremantle AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

One thing is for sure is that this match will be a low-scoring affair with both of these teams strong defensively, while having troubles scoring consistent points this season. Fremantle have been better for it and have been able to put up points against ‘weaker’ opposition.

The Saints have been a real disappointment, unable to turn their quality defensive structure into wins and that will once again be the case this week against Freo.

  • Fremantle have won 5 of 6 games against teams that are currently outside the top-eight. 
  • Fremantle have conceded the third-least amount of points of any team in the AFL averaging just 70.1 points against per game.
  • St Kilda 
  • 13 of 18 games involving St Kilda and Fremantle have gone Under the Game Total in 2024.

Head to Head 


It has been a pretty even battle over the past 5 seasons between the Saints and the Dockers with St Kilda winning the head to head stats 4-3 with the visiting team also taking the majority of the wins at 4-3.

St Kilda took the only victory between these two clubs in 2023, beating the Dockers 67-52 in Round 1.

St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-43-21-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$392-73-50-1

St Kilda have been one of the disappointments of the 2024 season for me, mustering just 3 wins from their 9 matches this season, despite still being one of the best defensive units in the league, averaging just 77.2 points against per game, which is sixth-best in the AFL.

There just isn’t anything happening up front for the Saints in 2024, averaging just 74.1 points per game which is the fifth-lowest average total in the AFL. 

Ploughing through the stats there isn’t anything really that pops out to explain why St Kilda are getting such poor results, beside the fact that they sit mid-to-low on average in the majority of key statistics.

St Kilda Team News


James Van Es has been officially been ruled out for the season with an ankle injury. 

Arie Schoenmaker has not passed concussion protocol and will miss a second week, while Brad Crouch is expected to make a return from a knee injury.

St Kilda Team List


B: J.Battle, D.Howard, C.Wilkie
HB: R.Bonner, J.Sinclair, N.Wanganeen-Milera
C: C.Sharman, P.Dow, M.Wood
HF: D.Wilson, B.Hill, L.Henry
F: M.Owens, M.King, A.Caminiti
FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Steele - C, M.Windhager

I/C: Z.Jones, L.Collard, M.Phillipou, J.Webster, B.Paton
EMG: A.Hastie, H.Garcia, T.Campbell

IN: C.Sharman, P.Dow, A.Caminiti, Z.Jones, L.Collard, M.Phillipou
OUT: A.Hastie (Omitted), L.Stocker (Managed), J.Hayes (Omitted), S.Ross (Managed), T.Membrey (Managed), H.Garcia (Omitted)

Fremantle Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-33-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$13-64-31-1

After a couple of good performances bouncing back from three losses, Freo were given a harsh reminder that they are not at the level of the big guns in the AFL in 2024 with the Swans dusting them by 48 points at home at Optus Stadium in Round 9. 

Brody Grundy dominated the Hit Outs with 33 wins with the Swans winning that battle 41-13 to put the Dockers on the back foot at every stoppage. Freo had no answer for the Sydney who kicked their way around Perth Stadium controlling the contest with 128 marks to the Dockers 97. 

Losing to the Swans was expected but this week’s match against the Saints is one that the Dockers need to get right if they want to be fighting for a top-eight finish.

Fremantle Team News


Sean Darcy could be a big boost for the Dockers on Saturday which would certainly help their Hit Out issues if their ruckman returns from a calf injury. Sam Stuart is also expected to return from a knee injury.

Ethan Stanley will miss a month with syndesmosis.

Fremantle Team List


B: B.Walker, A.Pearce - C, J.Draper
HB: J.Aish, L.Ryan, J.Clark
C: J.Sharp, A.Brayshaw, M.Johnson
HF: B.Banfield, S.Switkowski, M.Frederick
F: J.Treacy, J.Amiss, P.Voss
FOLL: L.Jackson, C.Serong, N.Fyfe

I/C: T.Emmett, H.Young, J.O’Meara, H.Chapman, M.Walters
EMG: N.Erasmus, C.Wagner, L.Reidy

No changes

St Kilda vs Fremantle AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda vs Fremantle AFL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the St Kilda vs Fremantle AFL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda vs Fremantle AFL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda vs Fremantle AFL 2024 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda site.

Verdict

This game is destined to hit the Under Game Total with both teams playing quality defensive footy and not offering much in attack.
 
Fremantle have been strong against bottom-ten competition and will get the win away from home.
Best Bet1: Fremantle Dockers Money Line @17/16 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 149.5 Game Total @10/11 at Justbet - 2 Units
Fremantle Dockers
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@17/16 - 3 Units
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Bet at PlayUP
Under 149.5
Game Total
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