AFL
  • Home
  • AFL

Richmond vs Western Bulldogs Tips - Dogs put up a score on the lame Tigers

jeremy-darke
Editor
Last updated: 10 May 2024
Listen
Jeremy Darke 10 May 2024
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Richmond vs Western Bulldogs expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Richmond have the worst record in Clearances in 2024.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Expired
Aaron Naughton
Aaron Naughton expected to have a big one for the Dogs. (Photo by Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Richmond vs Western Bulldogs, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Western Bulldogs will bounce back from a poor performance against the Hawks last week and get the win against Richmond, silencing the commotion surrounding the club. 
  • Richmond vs Western Bulldogs, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Richmond Team News
  • Richmond Team List
  • Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Western Bulldogs Team News
  • Western Bulldogs Team List
  • Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

You would expect that the Bulldogs would cover the 18.5 points as favourites, however, my confidence just isn’t that high on Luke Beveridge's team at the moment with them leaking points over the past couple of weeks to teams that they shouldn’t. 

One thing is for sure though is that the Tiger’s are lame and there are large inefficiencies in their defensive structure and have been exploited by the rest of the competition. The Bulldogs can score so expect them to come over their Team Total of 91.5 points and Aaron Naughton to be in the thick of it.

  • The Western Bulldogs won both games against the Tigers in 2023.
  • Richmond have the worst numbers in the clearances of any team in the AFL.
  • The Western Bulldogs are ranked third in the AFL in Goal Efficiency (26.4%).
  • The Western Bulldogs are averaging 95 points scored per game since Round 2.

Head to Head 


The Western Bulldogs won both matches against Richmond last season, getting up by 5 behinds in round two, then putting a more clinical victory by outsourcing the Tigers 126-71 in Round 21.

Richmond and the Western Bulldogs have played each other six times since 2019, splitting the honours 3-3.

Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-31-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$392-61-50-2

Besides their shock victory over Sydney, which becomes more unbelievable with every round that goes by, nothing looks good at all at Punt Road. 

The Tigers were blasted by the Dockers last week 103-49 after getting done by Melbourne by 43 points on Anzac Eve. Richmond’s injury list is the longest of any in the league which does not give anyone a good gauge of how things are actually going under new coach Adem Yze, in his first full season in charge. 

Statistically things do not look that great as they are with the Tigers the worst team in the league in all clearance categories and are bottom-three in Inside 50’s, Goal Efficiency and Contested Possessions.

Richmond Team News


The injury list is long for the Tigers, however, there is light at the end of the tunnel. Noah Balta, Jacob Bauer, Jack Graham and Dion Prestia are all tests this week and may make their way back either in the VFL or straight back into the Tigers lineup.

Richmond Team List


B: B.Miller, N.Broad, T.Young
HB: N.Vlastuin, T.Brown, D.Rioli
C: H.Ralphsmith, M.Pickett, S.Banks
HF: R.Mansell, S.Bolton, M.Rioli
F: N.Balta, D.Martin, M.Lefau
FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, D.Prestia, T.Dow

I/C: J.Short, J.Graham, L.Baker, S.Campbell, T.Sonsie
EMG: K.McIntosh, N.Cumberland, S.Ryan

IN: N.Balta, D.Prestia, J.Graham
OUT: D.Grimes (Managed), K.McIntosh (Omitted), S.Naismith (Omitted)


Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-41-44-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$356-20-43-1

The Western Bulldogs will have to be disappointed with their performance in round eight, going down to Hawthorn by 7 points. The Dogs dominated the stoppages however, they did not look after the ball giving up possession easily with Hawthorn outsourcing them by 52 points from intercept possessions. 

It capped a tough week for the Bulldogs, especially Luke Beveridge, who has been under some heavy criticism this season with the Western Bulldogs underachieving again. 

Western Bulldogs Team News


Tom Liberatore is expected to miss a couple of weeks under concussion protocols after suffering another against the Hawks on Sunday. It is the second concussion for Liberatore in the past month and his fourth in the past year, so extra precaution is expected to be taken by the club. 

Western Bulldogs Team List


B: L.Bramble, L.Jones, B.Dale
HB: T.Duryea, A.Keath, J.Johannisen
C: B.Williams, A.Treloar, J.Freijah
HF: L.Vandermeer, A.Naughton, R.Garcia
F: J.Harmes, J.Ugle-Hagan, R.West
FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, E.Richards

I/C: L.Cleary, S.Darcy, H.Gallagher, J.Macrae, J.O’Donnell
EMG: R.Lobb, C.Daniel, A.Jones

IN: A.Keath, J.Freijah, R.West, L.Cleary
OUT: B.Khamis (Omitted), T.Liberatore (Injured), O.Baker (Omitted), C.Clarke (Omitted)

Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 9?

You can watch the Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the Richmond vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond site.

Verdict

Aaron Naughton will kick at least two goals and the WEstern Bulldogs will score over 91.5 points in a likely victory.
Best Bet1: W. Bulldogs Over 91.5 Team Total @8/9 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Aaron Naughton 2+ Goals @4/9 at Justbet - 4 Units
W. Bulldogs Over 91.5
Team Total
@8/9 - 2 Units
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU

18+. T&Cs apply

Bet at Elitebet
Aaron Naughton
2+ Goals
@4/9 - 4 Units
Latest NEW bookie
100% Australian Owned

Think. Is this a bet you really want to place? 18+. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Justbet

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Betting Slip | 11 May 2024

Richmond v Western Bulldogs