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Richmond vs St Kilda Tips - Saints put the sword into the Tigers

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: 08 Aug 2024

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Jeremy Darke 08 Aug 2024

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Richmond vs St Kilda expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Richmond likely to finish last this season with consistent struggles.
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Sunday's best AFL bets and Jez's premiership dark horse.

Richmond vs St Kilda, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction

Richmond have all but secure the Wooden Spoon for 2024 and St Kilda will rub salt into their wounds with a big win against the Tigers Sunday, covering the 22.5 point line as favourites.

Richmond vs St Kilda, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Richmond Team News
Richmond Team List
St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St Kilda Team News
St Kilda Team List
Richmond vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s

It has been a tough season for both of these clubs but with the retirement of Dustin Martin as a long-time Richmond great, which is effective immediately it feels as though there's absolutely no wind left in the sails at the club and they will likely be beaten heavily over the final rounds.

St Kilda had shown they had some fight left in them before last week and expect them to respond positively after a big loss to Brisbane. Despite already being outside of finals contention St Kilda’s defence is top-five in points against so expect them to hold the Tigers to under 70 points in this match.

St Kilda have covered the line in three of their past 4 games when starting as a double-digit favourite.
3 of the past 4 St Kilda victories over Richmond have been by a margin of over 23.5 points
St Kilda ranks fifth in the league with a record of 77.2 points per game against.
Richmond have failed to score 70 points in 3 of their past 5 games against St Kilda.

Head to Head

St Kilda snuck past Richmond back in round 4 this season, beating the Tigers by 7 points after going into the sheds 11-33 down at halftime. The Saints kicked 6.6 in the premiership quarter taking the lead and never looking back.

It was the Saints fourth win in their past 5 matches against the Tigers.

Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-5	1-4	3-2

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
-$116	8-12	2-10	0-8

Richmond fell to their eighteenth loss of the season last week, almost certainly securing the Wooden Spoon for 2024 after going down to their bottom of the table rival North Melbourne 90-77 on Saturday.

There has not been a lot of joy for the Tigers this season and it has been a tough introductory year for new head coach Adem Yse who took over the reins as interim leader in the middle of last season.

Richmond Team News

Liam Baker went into concussion protocol after a training incident on Thursday and will miss the match along with Steely Green and Tom Brown.

Liam Martin retired on Tuesday and will not play out the rest of the three matches this season.

Richmond Team List

B: N.Broad, N.Balta, B.Miller

HB: J.Trezise, N.Vlastuin, D.Rioli

C: K.McIntosh, D.Prestia, S.Banks

HF: R.Mansell, J.Graham, S.Campbell

F: S.Bolton, S.Ryan, J.Koschitzke

FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, T.Taranto, J.Hopper

I/C (FROM): J.Short, J.Bauer, H.Ralphsmith, N.Cumberland, J.Blight, M.Coulthard, T.Dow

IN: S.Ryan, J.Bauer, N.Cumberland, J.Blight, K.Smith, M.Coulthard, T.Dow

OUT: L.Baker (Injured), S.Green (Injured), D.Martin (Retired), T.Brown (Injured)

St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	2-3

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
-$39	6-14	6-10	2-2

St Kilda had breathed a little flame of life into their season with two 50+ point wins in rounds 19 and 20 against West Coast and Essendon but failed to fire at all last weekend against the Brisbane Lions.

The Saints fell to their biggest loss of the season, going down to Brisbane by 85 points 124-39. It was the second time this season that the Lions have scored over 120 points on the Saints, who are actually ranked as the fifth-best team in the AFL in points against.

St Kilda will now be playing for pride in the final three rounds of the year sitting in 14th on ladder.

St Kilda Team News

Riley Bonner is the only player out for the Saints after last week’s loss and will likely be replaced by Hunter Clark.

St Kilda Team List

B: J.Battle, D.Howard, C.Wilkie

HB: N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair, L.Stocker

C: M.Wood, M.Phillipou, R.Byrnes

HF: B.Hill, J.Higgins, M.Owens

F: A.Caminiti, T.Membrey, C.Sharman

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Steele - C, H.Clark

I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, P.Dow, D.Butler, D.Wilson, J.Webster, T.Campbell, A.McLennan

IN: R.Byrnes, H.Clark, B.Paton, T.Campbell

OUT: R.Bonner (Omitted)

Richmond vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 22?

You can watch the Richmond vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 22 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Richmond vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 22?

To buy tickets to the Richmond vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 22 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond site.

Verdict

Richmond v St Kilda

The Saints will cover the 22.5 points as favourites by holding the Tigers under their team total of 69.5 points.

St Kilda -22.5

Handicap/Line

$1.91 - 3 Units

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Richmond Under 69.5

Team Total

$1.90 - 2 Units

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