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Richmond vs Hawthorn Tips - Tigers put up a fight in Dusty’s 300th

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 13 Jun 2024
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Jeremy Darke 13 Jun 2024
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  • Richmond vs Hawthorn expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 4:35 PM (AEST)
  • Richmond plays high-flying Hawthorn in Round 14, 2024, with Dustin Martin's 300th game milestone.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Dustin Martin
Dustin Martin celbrates his 300th game on Saturday against the Hawks. (Photo by Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Richmond vs Hawthorn, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Dustin Martin 300th Game milestone will play a big role in Richmond’s meeting with the high-flying Hawks and will see them cover the 13.5 points as the underdog.
  • Richmond vs Hawthorn, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Richmond Team News
  • Richmond Team List
  • Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Team News
  • Hawthorn Team List
  • Richmond vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

Richmond have been getting slightly healthier and improving over the past few week’s and are coming into this game with a little confidence after getting their second win of the season. With the wind in their sales and Dusty’s 300th, they will make this game competitive against the Hawks, who have been performing well above their weight over the past couple of months. 

This game will have plenty of emotion, more than usual between the Hawks and the Tigers. Expect this game to be heavy on the goals as it traditionally is with momentum shifts playing a large factor in this score going once again over the Game Total between these two clubs. 

  • Richmond have not lost to Hawthorn in 5 matches with 4 wins and a draw.
  • Richmond have covered the line in their past 3 games.
  • The past 4 matches between Richmond and Hawthorn have gone over the Game Total.
  • An average of 199 points has been scored in each of the past 3 games between the Tigers and the Hawks.

Head to Head 


Richmond have dominated Hawthorn over the past 3 seasons, winning 4 of 5 matches with the fifth game an 83-all draw in 2021.

The Tigers came back from 36 points down late in the third quarter against the Hawks in round 19 last season as Liam Baker kicked his second goal of the match to hand Richmond a 96-95 victory.

Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-43-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$464-92-70-4

Richmond got their second win of the season in round 13, beating the Adelaide Crows 79-71 at Adelaide Oval. The Tigers were dominant in the stoppages winning all categories, especially controlling the hit-outs 57-25, which was well above their season average of 40.8 per game. Having even amounts of the possession but taking their chances when they arose was the difference in this match with the Crows kicking 10.11 to the Tigers 12.7.

Despite their losses, the Tigers have been competitive in the two matches prior to their win against the Crows, having a 29-point lead against the Cats before watching it diminish in the second half and pushing Essendon to the final siren two matches before. In both of those games Richmond did cover the line, as they obviously did against the Crows as they started as the underdog.

Richmond Team News


Tom Lynch looks to be clear from his hamstring injury and should play this week against the Hawks. Dustin Martin will return to play his 300th game at the MCG after being managed last week.

On the other side, Dion Prestia has suffered a new injury to his calf and will miss a couple of rounds.

Richmond Team List


B: B.Miller, N.Broad, N.Balta HB: N.Vlastuin, T.Brown, D.Rioli C: K.McIntosh, L.Baker, H.Ralphsmith HF: R.Mansell, S.Bolton, S.Campbell F: T.Lynch, D.Martin, N.Cumberland FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, T.Taranto, T.Dow I/C: T.Sonsie, J.Koschitzke, K.McAuliffe, J.Graham, J.Short EMG: J.Trezise, S.Banks, K.Smith IN: T.Lynch, D.Martin OUT: S.Ryan (Injured), D.Prestia (Injured)

Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-15-02-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$187-65-41-3

Hawthorn are hot. A one point loss to the Power is their only blemish in their past 6 games, winning 5 matches, including their last 3 straight. 

The Hawks run looked all but over last round against GWS coming back from a 19-point deficit in the third quarter and overcoming 6 lead changes in the fourth quarter to beat the Giants by a late goal from none other than Luke Breust, who kicked two in the contest.

The win once again proved the maturity beyond their years of this young and spirited Hawthorn side, who are laying a strong platform for years to come by putting in performances such as the come-from-behind victory against GWS. The Hawks are playing well beyond their years right now and have had some big performances which have them just one win outside of finals position mid-way through the season.

Hawthorn Team News


Mitch Lewis could be a big in for the Hawks this week, on the verge of recovering from his knee injury that has had him out for 10 weeks.

The outlook is positive for Lloyd Meek who will be a late test to be cleared from his ankle injury.

Hawthorn Team List


B: J.Impey, S.Frost, J.Scrimshaw HB: K.Amon, J.Sicily - C, W.Day C: J.Weddle, D.Moore, J.Worpel HF: C.Mackenzie, J.Gunston, C.Macdonald F: J.Ginnivan, M.Chol, L.Breust FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, C.Jiath I/C: N.Watson, M.D’Ambrosio, C.Nash, C.Dear, B.Hardwick EMG: J.Serong, M.Ramsden, H.Morrison IN: L.Meek, N.Watson OUT: N.Reeves (Injured), S.Mitchell (Omitted)

Richmond vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 14?

You can watch the Richmond vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Richmond vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 14?

To buy tickets to the Richmond vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 14 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond site.

Verdict

This will be a high-scoring affair as it traditionally is and Richmond will make a contest of it in Dusty’s 300th.
Best Bet1: Richmond +13.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 168.5 Game Total @9/10 at BlueBet - 1 Unit
Richmond +13.5
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@9/10 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 15 Jun 2024

Richmond v Hawthorn