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Richmond vs GWS Giants Tips - Giants break hoodoo against the Tigers

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 11 Jul 2024
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Jeremy Darke 11 Jul 2024
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  • Richmond vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
  • Giants looking for first win against the Tigers at the MCG.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Jez's got your AFL covered on Sunday.

Richmond vs GWS Giants, Round 18 2024 - Expert Prediction


Greater Western Sydney will play their first game at the MCG this season and they will record their first-ever win against Richmond at the iconic ground covering the 27.5 points as favourites. 
  • Richmond vs GWS Giants, Round 18 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head
  • Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Richmond Team News
  • Richmond Team List
  • GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • GWS Giants Team News
  • GWS Giants Team List
  • Richmond vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 18 FAQ’s

The Tigers season has gone from bad to worse suffering three consecutive heavy defeats which has them sitting at the bottom of the AFL ladder. 

The Giants played the best they have in a couple of months getting an important win against the Blues and finding their goal scoring form again.

With the form curves swinging in opposite directions this game will only end in one way and that is the Giants covering the line and having another 100+ point game. 

  • Richmond have lost by an average margin of 53 points in their past 3 matches.
  • GWS have won all three of their Sunday games in 2024, kicking 100+ points in both of their away fixtures.
  • Richmond have conceded an average of 102 points per game in 2024.
  • GWS have scored 100+ points in 6 games this season.

Head to Head


Richmond have a strong record against the GWS, winning their past two contests and 5 of the past 8 since the 2019 season. 

The Tigers have also never lost to the Giants at the MCG in 7 matches since the inception of GWS in the league in 2012. 

Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-32-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$766-102-70-7

It is not looking great for the Tigers as they move to the bottom of the AFL ladder and are a long way from removing themselves from the bottom. 

A 51-point loss to Fremantle which followed a 61-point defeat to Carlton and a 48-point drubbing against Hawthorn has things looking gloomy at Punt Road.

Richmond need to rebuild, or maybe that isn't the right word. There are good pieces already in place, but things do need to change and the club needs to take on a new shape after the departure of their veterans last season and maybe a couple more moving on at the end of the season. 

Richmond Team News


Dion Prestia has been named, recovering from a calf injury while Dustin Martin is still missing with a back injury.

Richmond Team List


B: B.Miller, N.Broad, N.Balta
HB: T.Brown, D.Rioli, N.Vlastuin
C: H.Ralphsmith, D.Prestia, K.McIntosh
HF: R.Mansell, L.Baker, T.Sonsie
F: J.Koschitzke, S.Bolton, S.Ryan
FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, J.Hopper, T.Taranto

I/C (FROM): J.Graham, N.Cumberland, S.Green, S.Banks, J.Short, J.Trezise, T.Dow

IN: D.Prestia, S.Ryan, S.Green, J.Trezise, T.Dow
OUT: S.Campbell (Managed), K.McAuliffe (Omitted)

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$79-77-72-0

For me, GWS came from nowhere and took down one of the premiership favourites Carlton 116-104, beating the Blues at their own game and winning a good ol’ western shootout that even John Wayne would have been proud of. 

The Giants kicked an average of 107.2 points in their opening 7 games where they went 6-1 and were second on the ladder. They then dipped deeper than the USS Thresher (SS-200) scoring just 69.6 points per game in their next 8 matches and had a 2-6 record.

The Giants certainly found their range again kicking 18.8 against the Blues and could be back on course to rise back to the top again.

GWS Giants Team News


Lachie Ash's calf has past the test and will make his return in the VFL.

Josh Kelly will miss the next month with a calf injury of his own. 

GWS Giants Team List


B: C.Idun, J.Buckley, H.Himmelberg
HB: L.Whitfield, L.Aleer, H.Perryman
C: C.Ward, T.Green, I.Cumming
HF: B.Daniels, J.Riccardi, A.Cadman
F: T.Greene - C, J.Hogan, T.Bedford
FOLL: K.Briggs, S.Coniglio, F.Callaghan

I/C (FROM): J.Fonti, J.Peatling, H.Thomas, D.Jones, T.McMullin, X.O’Halloran, J.Wehr

IN: L.Ash, X.O’Halloran, J.Wehr
OUT: Nil

Richmond vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 18 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 18?

You can watch the Richmond vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 18 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Richmond vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 18?

To buy tickets to the Richmond vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 18 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond site.

Verdict

The Giants will kick over their team total of 97.5 points and cover the 27.5 points as favourites.
Best Bet1: GWS -27.5 Handicap/Line $1.94 at Boombet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: GWS Over 97.5 Team Total $1.87 at Elitebet - 2 Units
GWS -27.5
Handicap/Line
$1.94 - 3 Units
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GWS Over 97.5
Team Total
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Betting Slip | 14 Jul 2024

Richmond v Greater Western Sydney