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Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn Tips - Port Adelaide expected to Power over the plucky Hawks

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Last updated: 16 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 16 May 2024
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  • Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
  • Captain Connor Rozee's return boosts Port Adelaide's chances.
  • Key bet: Port Adelaide to win by 40+ points.
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Connor Rozee
Connor Rozee will return against the Hawks (Photo by Sarah Reed/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction


Port Adelaide have won every other game since their 4-1 start to the season. This trend will not continue this week though as they string together a back to back win taking down the Hawks in Adelaide.
  • Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Port Adelaide Team News
  • Port Adelaide Team List
  • Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Team News
  • Hawthorn Team List
  • Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

Welcoming back inspirational captain Connor Rozee will be a big motivation for Port who are expected to win this one comfortably. Hawthorn will of course be buoyed by their win against the Saints last weekend but still lack the defensive structure and ability to withstand the barrage that will come from the Power.

The best bet in this game is the 40+ Winning Margin for Port Adelaide.

  • Port Adelaide average the 2nd most Inside 50’s per game at 57.1
  • Hawthorn average the second least amount of Goals per game at 9.9
  • The Hawks allow their opposition 13.8 Goals per game, the 4th most of any team in the AFL
  • The Over has hit in 3 of the last 4 games between these teams


Head to Head 


Port Adelaide and Hawthorn have met only once per season since the beginning of 2019. The Power hold a 3-2 advantage in games played with a 151-96 victory in Round 23 last year their biggest Winning Margin across that period. 

The Winning Margin has been 40+ in the last two games but was between 1-39 in the three preceding matchups. The Game Total has gone Over in 3 of 5 games.

Port Adelaide have won two of the last three games played between these clubs at Adelaide Oval.

Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-21-42-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$125-44-22-1

Port returned to the winners circle last week with a nervous win over the Geelong Cats. Midway through the 2nd quarter the Power had extended their lead to 49 points in a stunning first half display kicking 12 goals 5 behinds. The Cats then roared back to life in the second half kicking 9 goals to Ports 3 with both teams having their fair share of misses.

Both teams were efficient Inside 50 but it was Port Adelaides improvement at Stoppage Clearances that allowed them to get on top of their opponent with 33 on the day, 8 above their season average. 

Port Adelaide Team News


Connor Rozee has proven his fitness and will make his return to the team likewise Jase Burgoyne who is listed on the interchange and may yet still miss the game or be designated sub. 

Quenton Narkle, Trent McKenzie and Lachie Jones are still all at least a week away.

Port Adelaide Team List


B: K.Farrell, E.Ratugolea, B.Zerk-Thatcher
HB: M.Bergman, A.Aliir, D.Houston
C: T.Boak, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, T.Marshall, M.Georgiades
F: C.Rozee - C, C.Dixon, W.Rioli
FOLL: D.Visentini, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters

I/C (FROM): J.Mead, J.McEntee, R.Burton, F.Evans, J.Finlayson, J.Sinn, J.Burgoyne

IN: C.Rozee, J.Sweet, J.Burgoyne
OUT: Nil


Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-39
40+
-$85-42-31-3

Hawthorn secured their 3rd win of the season last weekend against the Saints in a game that was almost like the Hawks of old. They led from start to finish and even though St Kilda were within a goal when the siren went, the effort from the Hawks players to secure the win was immense. 

Hawthorn improved on their Disposal Efficiency in the game against St Kilda, a stat that they rank 4th in this season. They also upped their defensive efforts, laying 77 Tackles in the game - a big difference from their season average of 59.

Hawthorn Team News


Jack Scrimshaw has been suspended for one week following a dangerous tackle in last weeks game. Jack Gunston has been managed. 

Mabior Chol makes his return to the starting team slotting in at forward whilst Ethan Phillips will make his debut from the halfback line. 

Hawthorn Team List


B: J.Impey - C, S.Frost, J.Weddle
HB: K.Amon, E.Phillips, J.Serong
C: S.Mitchell, C.Nash, B.Hardwick
HF: W.Day, C.Macdonald, N.Watson
F: J.Ginnivan, L.Breust, M.Chol
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, D.Moore

I/C (FROM): C.Mackenzie, F.Maginness, M.D’Ambrosio, B.Macdonald, C.Jiath, M.Ramsden, C.Dear

IN: E.Phillips, M.Chol, B.Macdonald, C.Jiath, M.Ramsden
OUT: J.Scrimshaw (Suspension), J.Gunston (Managed)

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide site.

Verdict

Port are the much better team and if they can buck the inconsistency trend that saw them falter against the Crows then who knows where this one finishes. The Big Win is the best value bet with predictive modelling having this game finishing with a big score to the Power.
Best Bet1: Port Adelaide 40+ Winning Margin @5/4 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 170.5 Game Total @9/10 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Port Adelaide 40+
Winning Margin
@5/4 - 2 Units
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Over 170.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 19 May 2024

Port Adelaide v Hawthorn