- Monday 14
- Tuesday 15
- Wednesday 16
- Thursday 17
- Friday 18
- Saturday 19
- Sunday 20
- Monday 21
- Tuesday 22
- Wednesday 23
- Thursday 24
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn Tips - Holey Moley Hawkies
Listen
- Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
- The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
- Hawthorn's possession control and ball movement are key advantages.
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Why Port don't stand a chance against Hawthorn.
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn, Semi Final 2024 - Expert Prediction
I am not sure if any team in the AFL will be able to stop the run of Hawthorn and it certainly isn’t going to be Port Adelaide.
The Power put in a miserable performances against Geelong in week 1 of the finals and they will not have any time to recover with the Hawks coming into this match as favourites despite finishing in seventh and Port finishing second.
Hawthorn’s youth mixed with a few ‘fossils’ as the young Hawks call them, has proven to be the perfect blend and their slick rebounding play moving the ball through the hands and keeping things short is a tactic that is becoming unstoppable.
Possession will be the key and the Hawks lead that department over the Power this season and we can expect the Hawks to not let up once they get in the lead and make another statement in this semifinal by covering the 8.5 points as the favourite and kicking on past their team total of 86.5 points.
- Port Adelaide have an average losing margin on 47.2 at Adelaide oval with the slimmest loss being by 7 points.
- The Hawks average 20 more possessions a game in 2024 than the Power.
- Port Adelaide are the most inaccurate team in the AFL kicking at 42.7% accuracy.
- Hawthorn have kicked over 86.5 points in 9 of their past 7 games and in 13 of their 15 wins this season.
Head to Head
Hawthorn should’ve had the match in the bag in their round 10 clash with Port at Adelaide Oval, up as much as 41 points late in the third quarter. It wasn’t the case though with the Power coming home with a wet sail and kicking two goals in the final 2 minutes of the game to snatch a famous 1-point victory.
It was the second consecutive win for the Power over the Hawks, also boasting a 4-2 head to head lead since 2019.
Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $30 | 11-13 | 10-5 | 6-3 |
Port were embarrassed by Geelong in week one of the finals, going down to the Cats by 84 points in a disgraceful showing with the final score ending 138-54.
The Power couldn’t get their hands on the ball with only 35% of the possession in the match and losing the disposal count 368-288 and claiming just 154 uncontested possessions to Geelong’s 229.
When they finally did get the ball they were wasteful with 70 turnovers in the match and converting just 37.7% of their 53 forward entries into points and kicking just 7 goals to 12 behinds in another inaccurate performance.
The challenge for Port Adelaide this week is going to be their mental state. How will they bounce back from such a drubbing in the first week of the finals?
Port Adelaide Team News
The Early outlook appears good for Zak Butters who pulled up sore after last week’s thumping from Geelong, however, the midfielder is expected to clear the test later in the week.
Port Adelaide Team List
B: La.Jones, B.Zerk-Thatcher, M.Bergman
HB: J.Sinn, A.Aliir, L.Evans
C: J.Burgoyne, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, E.Ratugolea, W.Rioli
F: M.Georgiades, C.Dixon, C.Rozee - C
FOLL: J.Sweet, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters
I/C: T.Boak, Q.Narkle, J.Mead, F.Evans, T.Marshall
EMG: W.Lorenz, D.Visentini, D.Williams
IN: J.Sinn, T.Marshall
OUT: R.Burton (Injured), J.McEntee (Omitted)
Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $59 | 13-11 | 7-5 | 8-4 |
The Hawks continue to fly with their carefree attitude and focused performance on the field that has them as the most in-form team in the finals in my opinion.
It was just a matter of time before Hawthorn grabbed their game against the Bulldogs by the horns and they never looked back once they took the lead, running away to a 99-62 victory.
The Hawks starved the Bulldogs of the ball, hammering the them in the disposal count 410-326 with Jai Newcombe (35) and Massimo D’Ambrosio (32) leading the way with the team finishing with 75.9% disposal efficiency. The Hawks also had 60 more uncontested possessions while also winning the contested possession by 25.
The Hawks once again played rebound footy and moved the ball swiftly from the back to a point of attack and the Western Bulldogs could not handle the barrage of energy coming from the young and slick Hawthorn players like Jack Ginnivan and Nick Watson.
Hawthorn Team News
Will Day has been ruled out earlier in the week for the clash against Port, continuing to rehabilitate his shoulder which he injured in round 23 against Richmond.
Cam McKenzie is also expected to miss the match after being ruled out late last week for the Hawks game against the Bulldogs due to a hamstring injury.
Defender Sam Frost has been ruled out for the rest of the season with a stress fracture in his foot. He will be replaced by Serong.
Hawthorn Team List
B: B.Hardwick, J.Serong, J.Impey
HB: J.Ward, J.Sicily - C, J.Scrimshaw
C: K.Amon, D.Moore, J.Weddle
HF: F.Maginness, M.Chol, C.Macdonald
F: J.Ginnivan, L.Breust, N.Watson
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Worpel, J.Newcombe
I/C: H.Morrison, M.D’Ambrosio, J.Gunston, C.Dear, C.Nash
EMG: H.Hustwaite, C.Jiath, N.Reeves
IN: J.Serong
OUT: S.Frost (Injured)
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Semi Final FAQ’s
How to watch Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Semi Final?
You can watch the Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Semi Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Semi Final?
To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Semi Final game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide site.
Verdict
The Hawks will cruise past Port in the end, covering the line as the favourite and scoring over their team total.
Hawthorn -8.5
Handicap/Line
$1.91 - 3 Units
Australian Owned for 50 Years
Referral Code: BETS
18+. T&Cs apply.
Hawthorn 86.5
Team Total
$1.90 - 2 Units
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU
18+. T&Cs apply
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
15 October 2024
19 October 2024
20 October 2024
Load More
-25095499.jpg)
-19103689.jpg)
