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Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers Tips - Port too Powerful at home against Dockers

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Last updated: 12 Apr 2024
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Ryan Tucker 12 Apr 2024
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  • Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Port Adelaide to leverage home ground advantage and strong scores from previous matches for the win.
  • Fremantle's defensive strength might face a tough test against Port Adelaide’s scoring power.
Expired
Boak
Travis Boak of the Power (Getty Images)

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers, Round 5 2024 - Expert Prediction


Fremantle play their second straight game at Adelaide Oval this weekend, taking on Port Power and are tipped to leave the South Australian capital with yet another loss.

Port Adelaide are currently enjoying a luxurious travel schedule with this match-up against Fremantle the 3rd game in a row at Adelaide Oval and the 4th in 5 games.

The Power are 3-1 on the season with two of those wins coming at home albeit against inferior opponents. They have been able to put on sizeable scores in their victories this year but were kept to only 89 points by the Dees back in round 3 signalling the difference in opposition strength. 

Fremantle were caught up in controversy in their Gather Round game against Carlton with a tight and frantic finish washed away with a couple of free kicks in front of goal sealing the win for the Blues. 

The team remained in Adelaide this week to reduce travel strains and have engaged the local community between training sessions. Sean Darcy has also joined the team in the hope of overcoming injury to return to the field.

The Dockers have for many years been a strong defensive outfit with major shortcomings up top. The defensive presence remains and while things are starting to change in the forward line there is still a way to go. 

As we have seen if teams get away to strong starts the Dockers just don’t have the capacity to reel in the lead. My prediction is Port will do just that and start strong in the 1st to hold on for a narrow win.

  • Port Adelaide average 62.3 Inside 50’s per game, the most of any team this year
  • Fremantle have the 2nd best Disposal Efficiency in the AFL at 76.4%
  • Port have a higher Centre Clearance average than Freo but the Dockers have a better Stoppage Clearance rate than the Power
  • Port Adelaide average 17 marks Inside 50 per game

Head to Head 


Port Adelaide hold a decisive lead over Fremantle in the Head to Head numbers. Since 2019 the teams have played six games against each other with Port Adelaide coming away victorious on four occasions including the sole match-up played in 2023. 

Two of the last three wins by Port Power have been by margins of less than 39 points with the Dockers last win in 2022 also under 39 points. 

Four of the last six games, and two of the last three, have gone Over the points total with Port Adelaide covering five straight.

Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-13-13-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$33-11-12-0

Port Adelaide have put up some big numbers in their 3 wins so far this year. In the one game where some pressure was applied they weren’t able to withstand and fell at the last hurdle. 

They will no doubt take a heap of momentum into this game following the 69 point win over Essendon and if they can continue to be efficient in front of goal and gain the amount of forward entries they have had then they are going to be hard to stop.

Port will need to ensure they get out to a strong start against Fremantle. If they aren’t able to build a lead early then there is every chance that the pressure towards the end of the game will be too much to navigate.

Port Adelaide Team News


Travis Boak will need to pass a fitness test to play this weekend but the initial reviews are positive. Ollie Wines will return from a hamstring injury and Sam Powell-Pepper will return from suspension.

Port Adelaide Team List


B: R.Burton, E.Ratugolea, B.Zerk-Thatcher
HB: L.Jones, A.Aliir, D.Houston
C: M.Bergman, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, T.Marshall, C.Rozee - C
F: S.Powell-Pepper, C.Dixon, W.Rioli
FOLL: I.Soldo, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters

I/C: K.Farrell, J.Burgoyne, J.McEntee, M.Georgiades, J.Mead
EMG: J.Sinn, J.Sweet, T.McKenzie

IN: O.Wines, S.Powell-Pepper
OUT: T.Boak (Injured), J.Finlayson (Suspension)

Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-13-11-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-39
40+
$141-33-10-0

Freo come into this game off the back of one of the best starts to a season for the franchise in a number of years. 

Despite the loss last week they were in the game with a chance to win right down to the end. There is momentum and belief within the playing group and that will now be tested against a top tier opponent who can score.

Fremantle’s strength is their defensive pressure and the skill level when they move the ball. If they are able to convert their chances more regularly then there is no doubt that they will take more wins. But it needs to be seen to be believed.

Fremantle Dockers Team News


Fremantlefc.com.au reports that Sean Darcy, Sam Switkowski, Sam Sturt and Karl Worner will all test their fitness to be considered for selection this weekend.

Michael Fredrick is out after coming from the field in the loss to Carlton.

Fremantle Dockers Team List


B: J.Aish, A.Pearce - C, J.Draper
HB: B.Walker, L.Ryan, J.Clark
C: A.Brayshaw, N.Fyfe, J.Sharp
HF: M.Walters, T.Emmett, S.Switkowski
F: J.Treacy, J.Amiss, M.Taberner
FOLL: L.Jackson, C.Serong, H.Young

I/C: J.O’Meara, N.Erasmus, E.Hughes, B.Banfield, M.Johnson
EMG: W.Brodie, H.Davies, L.Reidy

IN: N.Erasmus
OUT: M.Frederick (injured)

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2024 Round 5 FAQs

How to watch Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2024 Round 5?

You can watch the Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2024 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2024 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2024 Round 5 game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide site.

Verdict

Fremantle’s defence has been great so far this year and comparatively they have played tougher opponents than Port. But with their slow starts to games and Port Adelaide’s strength in scoring i am going to follow the predictive modelling and take Port to win 1-39.
Best Bet1: Port Adelaide 1-39 Winning Margin @1/1 at Winnersbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 166.5 Game Total @8/9 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Port Adelaide 1-39
Winning Margin
@1/1 - 2 Units
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Over 166.5
Game Total
@8/9 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 13 Apr 2024

Port Adelaide v Fremantle