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Port Adelaide vs Carlton Tips - Blues finally take the Power at Adelaide Oval

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 29 May 2024
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Jeremy Darke 29 May 2024
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  • Port Adelaide vs Carlton expert predictions for Thursday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Port Adelaide struggles with goal conversion despite winning streak.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Carlton
Carlton to find consistency and break Hoodoo at Adelaide Oval against the Power. (Photo by Josh Chadwick/AFL Photos/via Getty Images)

Port Adelaide vs Carlton, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction


Carlton will break their 11-year hoodoo in Adelaide when they travel to South Australia and put a stop to the Power’s three game win streak on Thursday Night Footy. 
  • Port Adelaide vs Carlton, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Port Adelaide Team News
  • Port Adelaide Team List
  • Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Carlton Team News
  • Carlton Team List
  • Port Adelaide vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

The Blues have never won at Adelaide Oval, however, they will get the job done in Round 12, punishing Port Adelaide for their inconsistency in front of goal that has casted a shadow of question marks over the club despite them sitting in third place on the ladder. 

Carlton have been patchy this season but match up well against the Power with both teams at their best when they are playing attacking footy and locking in the ball in their attacking third of the field. 

Expect a game that swings from one side of your screen to the other with the ball flowing in out of each other's 50m with plenty of scoring shots for both teams. Accuracy will be key to victory and that edge is with Carlton. The Game Total is at heavy risk set at just 156.5 in most books, so lock in the Over. 

  • Carlton have won their past two matches against Port Adelaide.
  • Port converts just 23.9% of their inside 50’s into Goals which is right on the league average. 
  • The past 4 matches between Port Adelaide and Carlton have gone Over the Game Total.
  • 4 of 5 away games for Carlton have gone Over the Game Total.

Head to Head 


Carlton have won the previous two encounters against Port Adelaide over the past two seasons, beating the Power by 3 points in Round 5, 2022 and smashing them by 50 
In Round 18 in 2023. 

Port won six straight games prior to that and have not been beaten at Adelaide Oval by the Blues with Carlton getting their last win in South Australia against the Power at the Football Park back in 2013.

Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-12-31-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$145-65-23-1

Port are on a decent run at the moment winning their past three matches, including a 59-point whooping of North Melbourne last weekend. 

Despite the scoreline, it still wasn’t a pure and clean performance from Port, with the Kangas hanging in there until halftime. The Power are still struggling in front of goal kicking 16.11 in the match, missing multiple chances to push well clear much earlier in the contest.

No team is converting their Inside 50’s into Shots on Goal more efficiently than Port, however, the quality of their chances is obviously low as they are only hitting the league average of converting Inside 50’s to Goals just 23% of the time.

Port Adelaide Team News


Captain Connor Rozee is under an injury cloud and will be a last-minute call, While Willie Rioli is expected to miss the match with a calf injury. 

Port Adelaide Team List


B: K.Farrell, E.Ratugolea, B.Zerk-Thatcher
HB: M.Bergman, A.Aliir, D.Houston
C: T.Boak, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, T.Marshall, M.Georgiades
F: Z.Butters - C, C.Dixon, La.Jones
FOLL: I.Soldo, J.Horne-Francis, J.McEntee

I/C: J.Mead, J.Finlayson, F.Evans, R.Burton, J.Burgoyne
EMG: J.Sweet, T.Clurey, T.Anastasopoulos

IN: C.Dixon, I.Soldo, F.Evans
OUT: W.Rioli (Injured), J.Sweet (Omitted), C.Rozee (Injured)

Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-32-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$236-56-31-1

Carlton are a tough trend to follow this season with real inconsistency in their results which has them right in the clump of mid-pack teams sitting in eighth place on the ladder with a 7-4 record.

Three of Carlton’s losses have come in the past 5 games losing to the Cats, Pies and Swans, however their one-point win against Melbourne three weeks ago was their best performance of the year, well the first three quarters were at least.

When Carlton are playing their best footy and are on the attack they are easily a top-four team, however, lapses in-game and from match to match have seen their results go up and down this season.

Carlton Team News


Adam Cerra, David Cunningham and Jack Martin are all 3-4 weeks away from a return.

Carlton Team List


B: A.Saad, J.Weitering, Z.Williams
HB: B.Kemp, M.McGovern, N.Newman
C: O.Hollands, P.Cripps - C, E.Hollands
HF: L.Fogarty, H.McKay, M.Owies
F: G.Hewett, C.Curnow, M.Kennedy
FOLL: T.De Koning, S.Walsh, A.Cincotta

I/C: L.Cowan, J.Carroll, B.Acres, J.Boyd, O.Fantasia
EMG: C.Durdin, C.Marchbank, Le.Young

No changes

Port Adelaide vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

How to watch Port Adelaide vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 12?

You can watch the Port Adelaide vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 12?

To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide vs Carlton AFL 2024 Round 12 game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide site.

Verdict

With Carlton getting 6.5 points as the dog, the safety of a goal is too enticing to pass up.
 
Both of these clubs are at their best when they are on the attack so expect the low total to be surpassed.
Best Bet1: Carlton +6.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 156.5 Game Total @9/10 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Carlton +6.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Over 156.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Port Adelaide v Carlton