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Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers Tips - Port keep Bombers grounded in Gather Round

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Last updated: 04 Apr 2024
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Ryan Tucker 04 Apr 2024
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  • Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 8:10 PM (AEST)
  • Port Adelaide predicted to win in AFL 2024 Round 4 against Essendon Bombers.
  • The game may unfold into a shootout, with both teams having over 100 points in 2 games this season.
Expired
Zak Butters
Zak Butters of the Power (Photo by Mark Brake/Getty Images)

Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers Tips


Gather Round continues with another Adelaide team getting the chance to showcase their power and skill to the wider AFL community. Port will get the win at home and be the pride of Adelaide over the weekend.

Port started the season with a couple of healthy wins over West Coast and Richmond. Last week they took on the Dees in Adelaide going down by seven points in a game which they could have won drawing level after 17 minutes played in the 4th quarter. Some lackluster defence to finish the game though saw Melbourne kick two goals to put it out of reach. 

Essendon delivered a great come from behind victory last weekend against the Saints taking their first lead of the game after 20 minutes played in the 4th quarter. It was the Bombers pressure factor that was the clincher with St Kilda not being able to match the intensity and falling by the wayside.

Port are a significantly better team than Essendon but the determination the Bombers showed last weekend has a lot of value in my eyes. 

The predictive models have the Power winning comfortably but i will pull that back a few notches and take the margin to stay under 39. The game could delve into a shootout midway through with both teams having 2 games this season with over 100 points scored. The Over on the Game Total is the best play there.

  • Port Adelaide had 66 Inside 50’s against Melbourne last week and average 62 per game on the season. 
  • The Power convert their chances Inside 50 at a high rate with 51.6 Scoring Shots from Inside 50
  • Essendon have the 5th worst Kicking Efficiency in the AFL at 65.9%
  • Zak Butters is averaging 29 disposals per game this season

Head to Head 


Port have absolutely DOMINATED the head to head match-ups since the start of the 2019 season. They have won 7 games in a row during this period including 4 straight at Adelaide Oval. 

The average winning margin from 2019-2022 was 52.6 but in the two games last year Essendon were able to keep things much closer losing by only 5 and 4 points in the two games played. 

4 of 7 games have gone Over the Game Total whilst Port have covered in only 4 of the 7 games they have won. Essendon covered as Underdogs in the two games played in 2023.

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-12-13-0

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$63-01-11-0

Port Adelaide had good Clearance numbers against the Dees last week even with their All-Australian ruckman in Max Gawn. Power had 52 clearances which is a big jump on their season number of 39.3.

Accuracy in front of goal has been an issue for Port over the first three rounds kicking 47 Goals and 49 Behinds. With scoring chances being higher against inferior opponents it hasn’t been as important but this coming game could have a different outcome if they continue to be inaccurate. 

Port Adelaide Power Team News


Ollie Wines is out with Jason Horne-Francis and Mitch Georgiades coming into the team. Francis Evans moves to the emergencies list.

Port Adelaide Power Team List


B: R.Burton, E.Ratugolea, B.Zerk-Thatcher
HB: L.Jones, A.Aliir, D.Houston
C: M.Bergman, W.Drew, T.Boak
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, T.Marshall, C.Rozee - C
F: J.Finlayson, C.Dixon, W.Rioli
FOLL: I.Soldo, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters

I/C: K.Farrell, J.Burgoyne, J.McEntee, M.Georgiades, J.Mead
EMG: J.Sinn, J.Sweet, F.Evans

IN: J.Horne-Francis, M.Georgiades
OUT: O.Wines (Injured), F.Evans (Omitted)

Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-12-12-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$102-12-10-0

Essendon had a fantastic come from behind victory against St Kilda last weekend. Down by over 20 points in the 2nd quarter they slowly clawed the number back in the second half with their pressure numbers flying off the charts. 

Nic Martin has been the Bombers top ball getter so far this season and once again topped the game in Disposals racking up 44 in the win against the Saints.

Essendon Bombers Team News


Will Setterfield comes in as a straight swap for Sam Durham who is injured.

Essendon Bombers Team List


B: D.Heppell, B.McKay, J.Laverde
HB: A.McGrath, M.Redman, N.Martin
C: N.Cox, X.Duursma, J.Kelly
HF: J.Gresham, Z.Merrett - C, J.Menzie
F: H.Jones, K.Langford, J.Stringer
FOLL: S.Draper, D.Parish, J.Caldwell

I/C: T.Goldstein, W.Setterfield, B.Hobbs, A.Perkins, N.Hind
EMG: E.Tsatas, S.Weideman, A.Davey Jnr

IN: W.Setterfield
OUT: S.Durham (injured)

Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2024 Round 4 FAQs

How to watch Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2024 Round 4?

You can watch the Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2024 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2024 Round 4?

To buy tickets to the Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2024 Round 4 game check the AFL website or the official Port Adelaide Power site.

Verdict

Port Adelaide are a better team both on paper and on the field. Even though we have had a couple rounds played there is still some questions around the Bombers defence and accuracy in front of goal.

I am taking the Power 1-39 based on the predictive models with the Total going Over.
Best Bet1: Port Adelaide 1-39 Winning Margin @21/20 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 178.5 Game Total @8/9 at Betr - 2 Units
Port Adelaide 1-39
Winning Margin
@21/20 - 2 Units
Bet at PlayUp
Your Best Bet - Proudly Australian

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Bet at PlayUP
Over 178.5
Game Total
@8/9 - 2 Units
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