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North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide Tips - Port find their aim in Tassie

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 23 May 2024
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Jeremy Darke 23 May 2024
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  • North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Blundstone Arena, with the bounce at 1:45 PM (AEST)
  • Port need to become more efficent inside 50 and have a perfect opportunity against the Kangas.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Expired
Port Adelaide
Ken Hinkley hoping for an improved performance inside 50 from his Port players. (Photo by James Elsby/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction


Blundstone Arena is the second home for North Melbourne, however, Port Adelaide enjoy the visit to Tasmania against the Kangaroos and will get another big win, covering the 41.5 points as favourites.
  • North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North Melbourne Team News
  • North Melbourne Team List
  • Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Port Adelaide Team News
  • Port Adelaide Team List
  • North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

The Kangaroos have won the last two matches at Bellerive Oval against the Kangaroos and have beaten them by 50+ points in their past three matches. North Melbourne have been getting pounded every week, conceding just under 120 points per game and averaging a loser margin of 50+ points. 

Port have not been consistent inside 50 this season but should see some more quality opportunities and with the pressure off them with this match likely being a blowout, we should see the Power forward line thrive and get a confidence builder.

The Power will cover the 41.5 points as favourites and it is also expected that they will clear their Team Total of 107.5 points, like many teams before them against the Kangaroos.

  • Port have won the past three matches against the Kangaroos by an average margin of 63.66 points.
  • The Kangaroos have an average losing margin of 51.4 points.
  • North Melbourne concedes an average of 119.1 points per game.
  • Port Adelaide has scored 117 points or more in their past three games against North Melbourne.

Head to Head 


North Melbourne and Port have faced each other the past two seasons at Blundstone Arena with the Power punishing the Kangas 69 points in 2022 and literally going one better in 2023 with a 70-point win. 

Port Adelaide have beaten Norths in four consecutive games and have won 5 of the past six against the Kangaroos. 

North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-51-43-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$1007-30-30-7

North Melbourne suffered their seventh 40+ point loss in eight games in Round 10, going down to the Bombers 106-66. It certainly could have been worse with essendon taking their foot off the gas in the fourth quarter after leading by 45 points at the final break. 

The positive for the Kangas is that they covered the line for the first time since Round 1, which didn’t help all of us that backed the Dons 50+. 

The match against Essendon was just another contest where North Melbourne cannot get any ball Inside 50 let alone take a marks in the area. The Kangas average just 44.6 Inside 50’s per game, worst in the AFL along with 9.3 Marks in the area which also ranks them in eighteenth.

North Melbourne Team News


Colby McKercher is recovering well and is suspected to return after the midseason bye. Miller Bergman suffered a hamstring injury against Essendon and will be out for a month. 

Jackson Archer and Hugh Greenwood will be tests later in the week.

North Melbourne Team List


B: A.Corr, C.Comben, L.McDonald - C
HB: Z.Fisher, H.Sheezel, J.Archer
C: D.Tucker, L.Davies-Uniacke, L.Shiels
HF: J.Stephenson, C.Zurhaar, C.Taylor
F: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, Z.Duursma
FOLL: T.Xerri, G.Wardlaw, T.Powell

I/C: T.Pink, C.Lazzaro, E.Ford, W.Dawson, B.Scott
EMG: H.Greenwood, R.Hansen Jr, D.Stephens

IN: J.Archer
OUT: M.Bergman (Injured)

Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-21-42-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$135-55-22-1

Port escaped a devastating upset in the final play of the game against the Hawks with Darcy Byrne-Jones soccering the ball for a goal to give the Power a 80-79 win after being down by 41 points 22:30 into the third quarter.

It was another unpolished performance from Port Adelaide to say the least and another match where their inaccuracy in front of goal almost cost them 4 points. 

The telling tale is looking at the difference between Port’s goal percentage per Inside 50’s to their scoring shot percentage to Inside 50’s. The Power are ranked third in the AFL in Scoring Shot Efficiency per Inside 50 converting at 47.2%, although, their efficiency to get a major is ranked tenth in the AFL at just 22.6%.

Port Adelaide Team News


Josh Sinn broke his collarbone late last week and will now miss 6 weeks.

Connor Rozee (hamstring), Lachie Jones (hamstring), Quinton Narkle (foot) and Trent McKenzie (quad) are all up for selection this week, being cleared by the medical staff.

Port Adelaide Team List


B: K.Farrell, E.Ratugolea, B.Zerk-Thatcher
HB: M.Bergman, A.Aliir, D.Houston
C: T.Boak, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, T.Marshall, M.Georgiades
F: Z.Butters, J.Finlayson, W.Rioli
FOLL: J.Sweet, J.Horne-Francis, C.Rozee - C

I/C: J.Mead, J.McEntee, La.Jones, R.Burton, J.Burgoyne
EMG: D.Visentini, T.Anastasopoulos, F.Evans

IN: J.Sweet, C.Rozee, La.Jones
OUT: C.Dixon (Managed), D.Visentini (Omitted), J.Sinn (Injured)

North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 11?

You can watch the North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 11 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne site.

Verdict

Port will kick on for a win over 41.5 points and cover as the favourite. They will find their aim and kick over their Team Total of 107.5.
Best Bet1: Port Adelaide -41.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Best Bet2: P. Adelaide Over 107.5 Team Total @8/9 at Bet Right - 3 Units
Port Adelaide -41.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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P. Adelaide Over 107.5
Team Total
@8/9 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 25 May 2024

North Melbourne v Port Adelaide