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North Melbourne vs Hawthorn Tips - Hawthorn to remain winless as North get their first of the season

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Last updated: 19 Apr 2024
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Ryan Tucker 19 Apr 2024
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  • North Melbourne vs Hawthorn expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 4:00 PM (AEST)
  • North Melbourne predicted to score first win against Hawthorn in Round 6 2024.
  • Kangaroos superior midfield clearances pivotal in the game.
  • Close match anticipated due to the teams' comparative statistics.
Expired
Harry Sheezel
Harry Sheezel of the Kangaroos (Photo by Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

North Melbourne vs Hawthorn, Round 6 2024 - Expert Prediction


Predicted to be one of the closest games of the round North Melbourne will take their first win of the season against Hawthorn leaving the Hawks alone in last place, yet to taste victory in 2024.
  • North Melbourne vs Hawthorn, Round 6 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North Melbourne Team News
  • North Melbourne Team List
  • Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Team News
  • Hawthorn Team List
  • North Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 6 FAQ’s

Only 2 teams remain winless so far in 2024 and they square up in the last game of round 6. Following the completion of this game one team will be the sole owner of 18th spot on the AFL ladder, not an accolade a club is interested in having. 

There isn’t much to write home about for either of these teams thus far. They sit within the bottom 4-5 spots in most statistical measures but it could also mean that once they are out and running it will be a close contest. Our predictive model has the margin finishing at 2 points in favour of the Kangas illustrating the closeness in numbers. 

North Melbourne are much better at clearing the ball out of the middle averaging 13.6 Centre Clearances compared to Hawthorns 9.2 per game. Getting the ball forward early and keeping it there will be instrumental in North Melbourne getting points on the board. The moneyline is good value but if you are feeling unsure then the line of 15.5 is a given!

  • North Melbourne have the best Disposal Efficiency in the AFL at 76.8%
  • Hawthorn are above average in Intercept Possessions gaining 70 per game, 5th best in the league
  • The Kangaroos have allowed the most Points Scored of any team at 611 over their first 5 games
  • Hawthorn have Scored the least amount of Points in the AFL at just 319 

Head to Head 


Since the beginning of the 2019 season the Kangaroos and Hawks have met 8 times with Hawthorn winning 6 including the last 4 in a row.

The biggest winning margin by any team was the Hawks win in the second game of 2023 where they ran out victors 88-40 at Marvel Stadium. The average margin of victory over the past 8 games combined is 22.75 pts.

6 of the last 8 games have gone Under the Game Total including 3 of the last 4. Hawthorn have covered 5 of 8 games with four being as favourites.

North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-51-44-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$504-10-20-3

North Melbourne have had a couple of BIG losses and a couple of little big losses so far this season. Their first two games were by less than 40 points but the last three have been by 56, 70 and 75 albeit against much stronger scoring opponents. 

Everyone knows they are terrible on the defensive end but the shining light has been their ability to score when given the opportunity. They have by no means been a great attacking team but compared to other clubs in the bottom tier of the competition they are better. 

North Melbourne Team News


Cameron Zurhaar returns and goes straight into the starting team with Will Phillips being included on the interchange. George Wardlaw is being managed and Hugh Greenwood has been omitted.

North Melbourne Team List


B: C. Comben, A. Corr, L. McDonald – C
HB: Z. Fisher, B. Nyuon, B. Scott
C: D. Tucker, L. Davies-Uniacke, D. Stephens
HF: Z. Duursma, T. Powell, E. Ford
F: P. Curtis, N. Larkey, C. Zurhaar
FOLL: T. Xerri, H. Sheezel, J. Simpkin

I/C (FROM): H. Greenwood, G. Wardlaw, T. Sellers, C. McKercher, W. Phillips, B. Drury, C. Lazzaro

Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-51-43-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$503-20-30-2

The Hawks have had a tough start to the 2024 season having played 3 out of their 5 games against top 4 contenders. 

This has led to them struggling to put points on the board in a consistent manner. They are the worst team in the league at Centre Clearances averaging only 9.2 per game and are constantly working from behind the ball. The Hawks take 15.4 Intercept Marks per game giving weight to the fact that they are at least awake in the defensive half. 

Hawthorn Team News


Harry Morrison, Jack Gunston and Jai Serong have all been included on the interchange bench with one expected to be named the sub. 

Josh Ward, Max Ramsden and Sam Butler have made way for the above trio.

Hawthorn Team List


B: J. Scrimshaw, S. Frost, J. Sicily – C
HB: B. Hardwick, J. Impey, M. D’Ambrosio
C: K. Amon, J. Newcombe, J. Weddle
HF: H. Hustwaite, D. Moore, C. Mackenzie
F: J. Ginnivan, M. Chol, M. Ramsden
FOLL: L. Meek, J. Worpel, F. Maginness

I/C (FROM): S. Mitchell, C. Nash, J. Ward, J. Gunston, J. Serong, S. Butler, H. Morrison

North Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 6 FAQ’s

How to watch North Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 6?

You can watch the North Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 6?

To buy tickets to the North Melbourne vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 6 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne site.

Verdict

North are the better scoring team and in these types of clashes the team that can put the ball through the big sticks the most will win the game.

Take the total over, attack is more fun to barrack for than defence!
Best Bet1: North Melbourne Moneyline @19/10 at Justbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 175.5 Game Total @8/9 at Puntnow - 1 Unit
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Betting Slip | 21 Apr 2024

North Melbourne v Hawthorn