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North Melbourne vs Collingwood Tips - Kangas effort keeps the margin close

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 14 Jun 2024
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Jeremy Darke 14 Jun 2024
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  • North Melbourne vs Collingwood expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:00 PM (AEST)
  • Low-scoring game, aligning with historical match data.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Jez's Best Bets for Sunday's AFL games.

North Melbourne vs Collingwood, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction


Collingwood will win this game and the question really is by how much? History suggest that this game will be on the lower side of the average total score which also points to a 1-39 victory margin for the Pies.
  • North Melbourne vs Collingwood, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North Melbourne Team News
  • North Melbourne Team List
  • Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Collingwood Team News
  • Collingwood Team List
  • North Melbourne vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

Collingwood have backed up the premiership season with a decent first half of the year, losing just one of their past 10 games. It has had its speed bumps though and their players are carrying injuries into this match. 

The Kangaroos got their first win of the season last week and will been keen for another good performance. With that in mind, expect Collingwood to get off to a good start but North Melbourne will hang with them for a while which will keep this margin under 40 and the score under the Game Total.

  • Collingwood’s last 4 wins against North Melbourne have been by a margin of 1-39. 
  • North Melbourne have an average losing margin of 41 points at Marvel Stadium, compared with a 61-point losing margin at other venues in 2024.
  • The past 3 North Melbourne matches have gone Under the Game Total
  • 4 of the past 5 matches between North Melbourne and Collingwood have had a final game total of less than 173.5 points.

Head to Head 


Collingwood have won the past 4 matches against North Melbourne, including a 35-point victory at Marvel Stadium in round 11 last season.

The notable statistic when looking at these teams head to head is the average winning margin for Collingwood is at just 22.5 points, which is much less than most average losing margins for the Kangaroos.

North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-31-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$797-51-30-8

North Melbourne got their first win of the season beating bottom-of-the-table rivals West Coast in Perth 74-65. The duck egg was looking like never being broken this season but with the Eagles kicking an astonishing 8.17 at Optus Stadium compared with the Kangaroos 11.8 it was more that the home team lost than the away team won.

To be fair, North Melbourne did win a lot of the key statiscal components of the match starting with possession of the ball and both uncontested and contested possessions. The Kangas where stronger in the clearances and obviously more efficient inside 50.

North Melbourne Team News


Will Dawson will be out indefinitely with a shoulder issue.

Miller Bergman was available this week, however he was not named.

North Melbourne Team List


B: A.Corr, C.Comben, K.Dawson
HB: Z.Fisher, H.Sheezel, L.McDonald - C
C: D.Tucker, L.Davies-Uniacke, B.Scott
HF: T.Powell, T.Pink, C.Taylor
F: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, C.Zurhaar
FOLL: T.Xerri, G.Wardlaw, J.Simpkin

I/C (FROM): J.Stephenson, L.Shiels, R.Hardeman, W.Phillips, J.Archer, E.Ford, B.Teakle

IN: R.Hardeman, W.Phillips, C.Lazzaro, B.Teakle
OUT: W.Dawson (Injured)

Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/L/DLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-1-13-21-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$16-75-42-0

Collingwood bounced back from a disappointing loss to the Western Bulldogs the week prior by defeating the Melbourne Demons by 38 points in the end, leading the match from start to finish with a perfectly strategic performances that saw them kick away in the second half of footy.

The Magpies have lost just one of their past 10 games with 7 wins and 2 draws. Removing their laps against the Bulldogs, Collingwood have been extremely tight defensively averaging just 69.55 points against per match during that run. 

The Pies midfield has been strong in the centre clearances winning 13.3 per game in 2024 and have been a top-two side in total clearances in their past 5 matches, averaging 40.8 per game.

Collingwood Team News


Nick Daicos has been named despite carrying an injury to his shin.

Tom Mitchell will be out for 6 weeks, undergoing surgery to repair his plantar fascia issue.

Collingwood Team List


B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, C.Dean
HB: I.Quaynor, S.Sidebottom, J.Noble
C: W.Hoskin-Elliott, F.Macrae, J.Daicos
HF: B.Hill, L.Schultz, N.Kreuger
F: B.McCreery, P.Lipinski, J.Howe
FOLL: D.Cameron, J.Crisp, N.Daicos

I/C (FROM): E.Allan, T.Jiath, B.Frampton, R.McInnes, J.Bytel, H.Harrison, O.Markov

IN: E.Allan, T.Jiath, R.McInnes
OUT: Nil

North Melbourne vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to watch North Melbourne vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 14?

You can watch the North Melbourne vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North Melbourne vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 14?

To buy tickets to the North Melbourne vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 14 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne site.

Verdict

The Pies will win by a margin of 1-39 in a game that hits the Under on the Game Total.
Best Bet1: Collingwood Winning Margin 1-39 @16/11 at Betr - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 173.5 Game Total @9/10 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Collingwood
Winning Margin 1-39
@16/11 - 2 Units
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Under 173.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 16 Jun 2024

North Melbourne v Collingwood