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Melbourne vs Port Adelaide Tips - Port Adelaide expected to kick straight and take the win at the G
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- Melbourne vs Port Adelaide expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
- The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
- Port Adelaide favored if they maintain accurate goal-kicking.
- Melbourne struggling with injuries and recent form.
- Port Adelaide in high scoring form, averaging 105.4 points in last 5 games.
Ryan dives into the last 3 games in the late window of AFL Saturday to deliver his top picks.
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction
If Port Adelaide can kick straight in this game they will win comfortably.
- Melbourne vs Port Adelaide, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Melbourne Team News
- Melbourne Team List
- Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Port Adelaide Team News
- Port Adelaide Team List
- Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s
The game played earlier this season ended with 24 scoring shots to Port compared to 21 for Melbourne with the Margin at 7 points when the siren sounded. The Dees still had a very strong team at that point of the season which can not be said for them now with a host of star players out with injury.
Port also showed last weekend that they can match it with one of the best Rucks and Clearance team in the league which will give them confidence coming into this matchup against Max Gawn.
The Dees momentum has definitely slowed and they are limping to the post. If Port Adelaide can put some points on early, expect the home team to crumple and watch their season slip away.
- Port Adelaide are averaging 105.4 pts per game across their last 5 matchups.
- Melbourne have lost 3 in a row, allowing their opponent to score over 100 points in 2 of those games.
- The Power have won 6 of 9 games this season when they have kicked more goals than behinds.
- The Game Total has gone over 168.5 in only 1 of the previous 7 games between these teams.
Head to Head
These two teams have met on 7 occasions since the beginning of the 2019 season. Melbourne took the chocolates in the Round 3 matchup in Adelaide 96-89 and now hold a 4-3 advantage in the head to head.
Each team has covered the line in their respective wins which gives Melbourne a 4-3 ATS record.
The Game Total had gone Under in 6 straight games leading into the match earlier this season which went Over the total.
The Winning Margin has stayed between 1-39 in all but 1 of the last 7 match ups.
Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$35 | 9-11 | 6-7 | 4-3 |
The Demons suffered their 3rd straight loss at the hands of the Dogs last weekend 110-59. With the Suns and Collingwood left to play after Port they could win all three but fate is not in their hands with the Premiership ladder being so congested.
The loss at the weekend effectively ended their season and with the injuries they have had and continue to have it is understandable that the playing group is tired and worn out.
The reliance on Max Gawn has proven to be too much for this team with the defence not being up to scratch against a rolling Bulldogs outfit last weekend.
Melbourne Team News
Steven May suffered multiple rib fractures at the weekend and as of yet has no timeline to return.
Christian Salem is a few weeks away as he starts to ramp up his training efforts while Ben Brown returned last week via the VFL.
Melbourne Team List
B: A.Tomlinson, J.Lever, J.McVee
HB: J.Bowey, T.McDonald, C.Salem
C: E.Langdon, C.Oliver, A.Neal-Bullen
HF: K.Pickett, H.Petty, K.Chandler
F: K.Tholstrup, B.Fritsch, J.van Rooyen
FOLL: M.Gawn - C, J.Viney, T.Sparrow
I/C: J.Melksham, T.Rivers, M.Hore, T.Woewodin, D.Turner
EMG: B.Laurie, M.Jefferson, B.Howes
IN: A.Tomlinson, C.Salem, M.Hore
OUT: S.May (Injured), A.Moniz-Wakefield (Omitted), B.Howes (Omitted)
Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $18 | 10-10 | 7-5 | 6-2 |
Port Adelaide pulled off one of the most amazing victories of the season last weekend, spanking the league leaders Sydney by 112 points, taking the game 148-36. Port had scored 71 points before the Swans had even troubled the scoreboard attendants.
They now sit 3rd on the ladder thanks to the percentage boost with the Crows and Dockers waiting in the final two games after Melbourne.
The Power are averaging 105.4 points scored in their last 5 games.
Port Adelaide Team News
Todd Marshall and Ivan Soldo could both suit up this week if they past their respective fitness tests.
Trent McKenzie strained his quad at training and has been ruled out for the rest of the season.
Port Adelaide Team List
B: La.Jones, B.Zerk-Thatcher, M.Bergman
HB: L.Evans, A.Aliir, D.Houston
C: J.Burgoyne, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, T.Marshall, W.Rioli
F: E.Ratugolea, C.Dixon, C.Rozee - C
FOLL: J.Sweet, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters
I/C: Q.Narkle, K.Farrell, J.Mead, F.Evans, T.Boak
EMG: R.Burton, W.Lorenz, D.Visentini
IN: T.Marshall
OUT: M.Georgiades (Injured)
Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s
How to watch Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 22?
You can watch the Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 22 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 22?
To buy tickets to the Melbourne vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 22 game check the AFL website or the official Melbourne site.
Verdict
Melbourne are struggling getting a good team on the park and it is affecting their form. The Power are starting to hit their straps and will be up in the clouds following their win against Sydney last week. As long as they can kick straight they will win this one comfortably.
Port Adelaide -15.5
Line
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