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Hawthorn vs Sydney Tips - Sydney glide past the Hawks

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 25 Apr 2024
Jeremy Darke 25 Apr 2024
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  • Hawthorn vs Sydney expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 4:00 PM (AEST)
  • Swans midfield will be too slick at the stoppages for the Hawks.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Expired
Errol Gulden
Swans midfield was at its best last weekend. (Photo by Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Hawthorn vs Sydney, Round 7 2024 - Expert Prediction


Sydney and Hawthorn will play their first game at the MCG since 2018, when Sydney got an 8-point win. The result will look a little different in 2024 with the Swans expected to fly by the Hawks in the battle of the birds. 
  • Hawthorn vs Sydney, Round 7 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Team News
  • Hawthorn Team List
  • Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Team News
  • Sydney Team List
  • Hawthorn vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 7 FAQ’s

Sydney made some adjustments on their week off and looked back to their best last week against the Suns. Despite the Hawks getting their first win of the season against the Kangaroos, they are not expected to be able to compete with the Swans and will be blown away by a 40+ margin.

The Swans midfield will show too much class at the stoppages and the sheer weight of possession will see the Swans dominate the territory and kicking over their Team Total of 93.5 points.

  • Sydney's past two wins against Hawthorn have been by a 40+ margin.
  • Sydney have scored 100+ points in 4 of their six games this season
  • Sydney are ranked third in the AFL with an average of 14.2 Marks Inside 50.
  • Hawthorn are second-worst in the league with just 33.8 Total Clearances per game.

Head to Head 


Sydney did a real number on Hawthorn in their only meeting in 2023, beating the Hawks by 81 points at the SCG, in round 2.

The massive win was the Swans fourth victory in 5 games against the Hawks.

Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$474-20-31-2

Hawthorn got their first win of the season last week, blowing out bottom of the table rivals North Melbourne by 41 points. It was a good response from Sam Mitchell’s men who put in arguably their worst performance of the season the week prior in their 53-point loss against the Suns.

Coming up against their easiest opponent for the season you would expect the Hawks to hit above their averages in every statistical aspect and that is what they did, with the most impressive a 19% increase of efficiency inside 50 and a 16% increase in uncontested possessions, controlling the ball and avoiding luckless and dangerous ball movement.

Hawthorn Team News


Reigning best and fairest winner Will Day will return for the Hawks on Sunday, starting from the interchange bench.

Hawthorn Team List


B: J.Scrimshaw, S.Frost, J.Sicily - C
HB: M.D’Ambrosio, J.Impey, K.Amon
C: F.Maginness, D.Moore, J.Weddle
HF: B.Hardwick, J.Newcombe, C.Nash
F: J.Ginnivan, M.Chol, J.Gunston
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Worpel, C.Mackenzie

I/C (FROM): W.Day, S.Mitchell, M.Lewis, H.Morrison, J.Serong, H.Hustwaite, C.Macdonald

IN: W.Day, M.Lewis, M.Ramsden
OUT: Nil

Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


2024 Betting Trends


Sydney had plenty to work on during their bye-week in round 6 after putting in a couple of poor performances before the week off with their loss against Richmond costing them their perfect start to the season. 

Whatever was said and done by John Longmire and the coaching team at Moore Park certainly had a positive effect with the Swans coming out and looking in complete control in their 53-point win against a spirited Gold Coast side. 

The Swans took it to the new and improved Gold Cost midfield with Errol Gulden (30 disposals) and Isaac Heeney (28 disposals) touching everything between them giving perfect service to the forward line who outdid the Coast 16-5 in Marks Inside 50. 

Sydney Team News


No changes for Sydney this week with Luke Parker’s hopes of playing his first game of the season being put on hold for another week.

Sydney Team List


B: N.Blakey, T.McCartin, L.Melican
HB: H.Cunningham, O.Florent, J.Lloyd
C: E.Gulden, Ch.Warner, J.McInerney
HF: J.Jordon, L.McDonald, T.Adams
F: T.Papley - C, J.Amartey, W.Hayward
FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C (FROM): R.Fox, M.Roberts, S.Wicks, H.McLean, B.Campbell, J.Konstanty, A.Francis

IN: P.Ladhams, J.Konstanty, A.Francis
OUT: Nil

Hawthorn vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 7 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 7?

You can watch the Hawthorn vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 7 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 7?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 7 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn site.

Verdict

The Swans midfield will be too strong for the Hawks and will see Sydney score over 93.5 points on their way to a 40+ victory.
Best Bet1: Sydney Swans 40+ Winning Margin @28/11 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Sydney Over 93.5 Team Total @7/8 at Bet Right - 3 Units
Sydney Swans
40+ Winning Margin
@28/11 - 2 Units
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Team Total
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Betting Slip | 28 Apr 2024

Hawthorn v Sydney