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Hawthorn vs GWS Giants Tips - Giants tipped to bring Hawks back down to earth

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Last updated: 07 Jun 2024
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Ryan Tucker 07 Jun 2024
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  • Hawthorn vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at UTAS Stadium, with the bounce at 1:45 PM (AEST)
  • Hawthorn's strong recent form: 5 wins from last 7 games.
  • GWS Giants' better defensive structure and scoring efficiency.
  • Close game predicted, pivotal areas: stoppages and Inside 50.
Ryan's best bets and tips for AFL Saturday

Hawthorn vs GWS Giants, Round 13 2024 - Expert Prediction


Hawthorn are tipped to keep things close in this one with the 6.5 point start smack bang on how I predict the game going in a normal situation.
  • Hawthorn vs GWS Giants, Round 13 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Team News
  • Hawthorn Team List
  • GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • GWS Giants Team News
  • GWS Giants Team List
  • Hawthorn vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 13 FAQ’s

The Hawks will be flying high coming into this weekend buoyed by their amazing form over the past month and a half that has seen them collect 5 wins from 7 games. GWS have had some choppy form of late but will start to see some of their injured players return over the next few weeks significantly raising the bar for the team.

Both of these teams are quite evenly matched across the statistics but where I see the game being won is around the Stoppages and Inside 50. GWS are a better team at converting their chances and have a better structure in their defence which will stifle the Hawks attack somewhat. It will be a very close game that could go either way but I am siding with the Big Big Sound in this one.

  • Hawthorn are 4th worst in the league in allowing their opponents to score points from Stoppages giving up 39.3pts per game
  • GWS are 7th best in the AFL in scoring points from Stoppages at 34.5pts per game
  • The Hawks give up 11.8 Marks Inside 50 per game to their opponent, 7th worst this season
  • The Giants take on average 14 Marks Inside 50 per game, the 2nd best number in the AFL

Head to Head 


The Hawks and Giants have met 7 times since the beginning of the 2019 season. GWS hold a 4-3 advantage in the Head to Head having also won the last 3 games in a row and 4 of the last 5. 

The two matchups last season were close affairs with the Winning Margin being 13pts and 2pts respectively. Only 1 of the previous 7 games have finished with a Winning Margin of 40 points or more.

5 of the last 7 matchups have seen the Game Total stay Under including the last 3 in a row. The Hawks have the better numbers ATS going 5-2.

Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-15-03-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$87-54-41-3

The Hawks are on a roll, they have won 5 of their last 7 with one of those losses by only a single point. They sit 12th on the ladder after a shaky start to the season but still have everything to play for being 2 wins out of the top 8.

In their most recent win against the Crows, Hawthorn were able to get the ball Inside 50 63 times, smashing their season average of 52.1. They also converted their chances at a high rate finishing the game at 54% Efficiency Inside 50 compared to their 46.9% on the season.

Hawthorn Team News


Ethan Phillips will spend some time on the sideline with a recurring knee injury with Lloyd Meek needing to pass a fitness test to be up for selection in Tassie. Mitch Lewis is still probably a week away while Jai Serong will need to pass concussion protocol to be eligible to play.

Hawthorn Team List


B: J.Impey, S.Frost, S.Mitchell
HB: K.Amon, J.Sicily - C, J.Scrimshaw
C: W.Day, D.Moore, J.Weddle
HF: C.Mackenzie, J.Gunston, C.Macdonald
F: J.Ginnivan, L.Breust, B.Hardwick
FOLL: N.Reeves, J.Newcombe, J.Worpel

I/C: M.D’Ambrosio, C.Jiath, C.Nash, C.Dear, M.Chol
EMG: N.Watson, M.Ramsden, H.Morrison

No changes

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-32-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$36-55-42-0

The Giants snapped a 3 game losing streak last weekend as they downed the Geelong Cats in a narrow 4 point victory. Both teams were down in their Disposal Efficiency but it was the Giants that were able to convert their forward entries at a higher rate.

GWS also dominated the stoppages with 16-7 Centre Clearances and 51-32 Hit-outs.

GWS Giants Team News


Callan Ward and Callum Brown are both set to return for the Giants this week after missing some time. Jack Buckley, Isaac Cumming and Josh Kelly are all nearing comebacks and should feature in the next 1-2 weeks.

GWS Giants Team List


B: C.Idun, S.Taylor, H.Himmelberg
HB: L.Whitfield, L.Aleer, N.Haynes
C: X.O’Halloran, T.Green, J.Wehr
HF: B.Daniels, J.Riccardi, T.Bedford
F: T.Greene - C, J.Hogan, C.Brown
FOLL: K.Briggs, F.Callaghan, C.Ward

I/C: T.McMullin, R.Angwin, H.Thomas, A.Cadman, J.Peatling
EMG: L.Keeffe, H.Rowston, C.Stone

IN: C.Brown, C.Ward
OUT: H.Perryman (Injured), S.Coniglio (Injured)

Hawthorn vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 13 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 13?

You can watch the Hawthorn vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 13 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 13?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 13 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn site.

Verdict

I think this game will finish very close, even the bookies have this one at around a goals difference. I am siding with the Giants in this one as they have the better squad and are better equipped to create chances from Stoppages where the Hawks are weaker. The best value is the 1-39 Margin with favourites winning outright at a 65% rate this year. In a tight tussle the prediction on the Total is Under
Best Bet1: GWS 1-39 Winning Margin @6/5 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 163.5 Game Total @9/10 at PlayUP - 2 Units
GWS 1-39
Winning Margin
@6/5 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365 Australia
Under 163.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
Bet at PlayUp
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Hawthorn v Greater Western Sydney