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Hawthorn vs Brisbane Tips - Fearless Hawks fly high over the Lions

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 23 May 2024
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Jeremy Darke 23 May 2024
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  • Hawthorn vs Brisbane expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:10 PM (AEST)
  • Brisbane dealing with injuries but showing resilience with recent wins
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Hawthorn
Hawthorn out for the upset. (Photo by Mark Brake/Getty Images)

Hawthorn vs Brisbane, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction


An upset is on the cards to open the Sunday AFL action with the Hawks butting up a big fight against Brisbane. If you are brave, take the Hawks to make it five in a row against the Lions or play the percentages and take them to cover as 16.5-point underdogs. 
  • Hawthorn vs Brisbane, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Team News
  • Hawthorn Team List
  • Brisbane Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Team News
  • Brisbane Team List
  • Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

Brisbane haven’t beaten Hawthorn since 2019 and with the Hawks playing seriously good footy at the moment and the Lions overcoming their injuries, I am on the Hawks and will lay a unit on the win and a few on the Line. 

Hawthorn have won three of their past five and their 7 losses have been to seven teams in the current top-eight. Brisbane are on the cusp and the Hawks have beaten mid-pack teams and went within a whisker of beating the Power last week. 

  • Hawthorn have won their past 4 games against Brisbane. 
  • The Hawks have not lost to a team outside of the current top-eight.
  • Hawthorn have won 3 of their past 5 matches.
  • Hawthorn have won both of their games at Marvel this season.

Head to Head 


The Hawks hold the Hoodoo over the Lions, winning all 4 matches they have played since the opening round of the 2020 season.

Hawthorn have two wins in Launceston and two wins at the MCG, including a 98-73 victory in 2023.

Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-24-12-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$185-52-41-3

The Hawks will come into their clash with a chip on their shoulder after letting a 41-point third quarter lead slip against the Port Adelaide Power, losing the match by one point in the final minute of the game. 

How the young Hawthorn side will react to the disappointment will be a telling tale of their season, with a good response and a win over Brisbane this week setting them up for a strong second half of the season and overachieving on their expectations in 2024. A loss could see them spiral back down to the bottom of the ladder, despite winning 3 of their past 5 games after losing their opening five matches.

Hawthorn Team News


James Sicily is fit to play this week. Chad Wingard has performed well in the VFL and was on the edge for selection this week.

Hawthorn Team List


B: J.Impey - C, S.Frost, C.Jiath
HB: K.Amon, J.Sicily, M.D’Ambrosio
C: C.Nash, J.Worpel, J.Weddle
HF: W.Day, C.Mackenzie, L.Breust
F: J.Ginnivan, B.Hardwick, M.Chol
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, D.Moore

I/C (FROM): E.Phillips, C.Macdonald, S.Mitchell, J.Ward, C.Dear, J.Gunston, F.Maginness

IN: J.Sicily, J.Ward, J.Scrimshaw, J.Gunston, F.Maginness
OUT: N.Watson (Managed), J.Serong (Omitted)

Brisbane Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-33-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$364-62-42-1

Despite their injury crises, Brisbane handed Richmond their ninth-biggest loss of their history, thumping the Tigers by 119 points in Round 10 at the Gabba.

The Lions are showing their true character and depth of their development after their backline has been decimated by injury. Brisbane have had a tumultuous start to the year but when the going gets tough the tough get going and the Lions have now gone undefeated with two wins and a draw in their past 3 games despite their health issues. 

Brisbane mids are still clearing the ball well as the best team in the AFL in that department at stoppages. The Lions are a top-four side getting the ball into their attacking 50 and if they can improve their accuracy they will continue to win games.

Brisbane Team News


Zac Bailey will return this week with Brandon Starcevich expected next week.

Brisbane Team List


B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester
HB: D.Wilmot, H.Andrews - C, C.McKenna
C: J.Fletcher, C.Rayner, J.Berry
HF: C.Cameron, L.Morris, H.McCluggage
F: K.Lohmann, J.Daniher, B.Reville
FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale

I/C (FROM): C.Ah Chee, H.Sharp, B.Ryan, H.Smith, J.Tunstill, D.Joyce, N.Answerth

IN: B.Ryan, H.Smith, J.Tunstill, Z.Bailey, D.Joyce
OUT: E.Hipwood (Suspension), S.Brain (Omitted)

Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Round 11?

You can watch the Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Round 11 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn site.

Verdict

The Hawks will get the upset they were so close to last week, taking down the Lions.
 
Covering with the 16.5 points is also a good option in this case with Hawthorn expected to take this game down to the wire.
Best Bet1: Hawthorn Hawks Money Line @17/8 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Hawthorn + 16.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at Elitebet - 4 Units
Hawthorn Hawks
Money Line
@17/8 - 1 Unit
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Hawthorn v Brisbane