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GWS Giants vs St Kilda Tips - Saints no match for the Giants

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 12 Apr 2024
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Jeremy Darke 12 Apr 2024
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  • GWS Giants vs St Kilda expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Manuka Oval, with the bounce at 1:45 PM (AEST)
  • GWS Giants predicted to secure their winning streak with a victory over St. Kilda
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Jesse Hogan, St Kilda
Jesse Hogan leads the AFL with 16 marks in 2024. (Photo by Mark Kolbe/Getty Images)

GWS Giants vs St Kilda, Round 5 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Giants will continue their perfect start to 2024 with another win over the St. Kilda Saints, improving on their horrible record at Manuka Oval in Canberra. 
  • GWS Giants vs St Kilda, Round 5 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • GWS Giants Team News
  • GWS Giants Team List
  • St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • St Kilda Team News
  • St Kilda Team List
  • GWS Giants vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 5 FAQ’s

Greater Western Sydney use Canberra as their second home, but a torrid 1-9 record in their last ten games has you scratching your head. The good news is that one win was last season against the Gold Coast and GWS will be now chasing consecutive wins at the country oval for the first time since 2018. 

The Giants come up against the Saints, who have had a mixed start to the year with their attack up front unable to match the prowess of their backline. St. Kilda are simply not going to be able to withstand the onslaught of GWS and will not be able to keep up with their scoring even if they contain the likes of Toby Greene and Jesse Hogan for periods. 

GWS will prove to be too strong and will get a ‘little win’ again in this match as the defensive structure of St. Kilda will do enough to keep this game close during large chunks of the match. The Saints forwards will struggle against GWS and they will be unable to get the quality ball they need inside 50 to come over their expected team total of 71.5 points.

Jesse Hogan leads the league with 16 goals to his name as the Giants are utilizing their big man as the center of their attack inside 50, with Toby Greene more often than not playing the link or the distraction. The expectation of Hogan will be high each game and this contest is no different, backing in the 29-year-old for another 3-goal haul.

  • GWS have started the season with a record of 4-0.
  • All four of St. Kilda’s matches have ended with a margin of 1-39.
  • St. Kilda has scored less than 71.5 points in 3 of their 4 games this season
  • Jesse Hogan has kicked 3+ goals in 3 of 4 games this season.

Head to Head 


Greater Western Sydney ended the season for St. Kilda in the first round of the finals with a 101-77 victory, after the Saints beat the Giants by 12 in round 10 earlier in the year. 

St. Kilda have had a recent dominance over GWS though, winning four consecutive matches before their defeat in the elimination final, spanning back to 2020.

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-03-13-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$123-13-01-0

The Greater Western Sydney continued their perfect start to the season and remain at the top of the AFL ladder with a 28-point win over a spirited Gold Coast team. The suns went blow for blow with the Giants but experience and fitness proved to be the difference as GWS powered home in the fourth quarter to win 117-89 with fearless leader Toby Greene kicking 5 goals and Jesse Hogan kicking 4.

The success of GWS this season is their efficiency in moving the ball forward and taking advantage of the quality chance that they create inside 50. The Giants lead the league in in goal efficiency (27.7) and inside 50s (62.3) and are close behind Port in second with an average of 16.3 marks inside 50.

GWS Giants Team News


Callan Ward will be a test case closer to game day, but is expected to be cleared. 

GWS Giants Team List


B: H.Perryman, S.Taylor, C.Idun
HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, L.Ash
C: J.Wehr, J.Kelly, F.Callaghan
HF: B.Daniels, J.Riccardi, T.Bedford
F: T.Greene - C, J.Hogan, C.Brown
FOLL: K.Briggs, S.Coniglio, T.Green

I/C: X.O’Halloran, H.Thomas, H.Himmelberg, A.Cadman, J.Peatling
EMG: N.Haynes, R.Angwin, M.Gruzewski

No changes

St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-22-21-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$01-32-20-0

The Saints did it tough against Richmond in Adelaide during Gather Round, beating the injury-riddled Tigers 67-60 after kicking just 1 goal in the first half and going into the break 11-33 behind. The pause helped St. Kilda, kicking 6 goals in the third to take the lead and never look back.

The Saints have once again proved that their backline is organised, but their inefficiency in attack is where they will be hurt this season averaging just 74 points per game which is in the bottom-tier of teams. 

St Kilda Team News


Dougal Howard is due to return for his first game of the season after missing the opening rounds with a hamstring injury.

The injury list is still long in St. Kilda as they await the fitness of a handful of players in the upcoming weeks.

St Kilda Team List


B: J.Battle, Z.Cordy, C.Wilkie
HB: R.Bonner, J.Sinclair, N.Wanganeen-Milera
C: R.Byrnes, S.Ross, B.Hill
HF: J.Higgins, C.Sharman, M.Owens
F: A.Caminiti, M.King, T.Membrey
FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Steele - C, M.Phillipou

I/C: M.Windhager, L.Stocker, D.Butler, D.Wilson, H.Garcia
EMG: L.Collard, A.Hastie, T.Campbell

IN: M.Windhager, H.Garcia
OUT: A.Hastie (Omitted), Z.Jones (Omitted)

GWS Giants vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 5 FAQ’s

How to watch GWS Giants vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 5?

You can watch the GWS Giants vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to GWS Giants vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the GWS Giants vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 5 game check the AFL website or the official GWS Giants site.

Verdict

St. Kilda will not be able to keep up with the scoring of GWS and will be restricted to less than 71 points as the Giants take a 1-39 win over the Saints.

Jesse Hogan will be the center of the GWS attack and will kick 3+ goals.
Best Bet1: GWS 1-39 Little Win @13/12 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet2: St Kilda Under 71.5 Team Total @7/8 at Boombet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Jesse Hogan 3+ Goals @48/49 at Neds - 2 Units
GWS 1-39
Little Win
@13/12 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 13 Apr 2024

Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda