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GWS Giants vs Brisbane Tips - Giants Rebound and Run expected to get them past the Lions in AFL Semi Final
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- GWS Giants vs Brisbane expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL Semi Final game
- The game will be played at Engie Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
- GWS Giants predicted to narrowly defeat Brisbane in the 2024 AFL Semi Final.
- Giants have shown strong performance in previous encounters and have strategic advantages.
- Brisbane's recent match pressures indicate potential 4th-quarter vulnerabilities.
Ryan believes Harry Himmelberg is a good chance to go Over 25 disposals
GWS Giants vs Brisbane, 2024 Semi Final - Expert Prediction
The Giants will rebound from their week 1 loss to take a narrow victory over Brisbane in this Semi Final clash.
- GWS Giants vs Brisbane, 2024 Semi Final - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- GWS Giants Team News
- GWS Giants Team List
- Brisbane Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Brisbane Team News
- Brisbane Team List
- GWS Giants vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Semi Final FAQ’s
GWS controlled most of the game against Sydney last weekend but were ultimately undone in crunch time by some superstar players. Brisbane also have that caliber of player on their team but the individual 1v1 matchups suit the Giants better.
The Giants were dominant at different points of the game in both their wins over the Lions this season. It is the late efforts in the Round 22 game which give me motivation to back them now in the Semis. Coming from a 15 point deficit early in the 4th the Giants mowed down the Lions to claim the victory with their whole team rallying in the effort.
Brisbane are a team that have faltered under pressure this season and if the game comes down to the final minutes (which i think it will), they will crumble under the pressure where the Giants will stand up.
- In their last four 4th quarters, the Lions have allowed their opponents to kick 17 goals to just 7 of their own.
- The Giants won the Stoppage battle in both of their games this season with a combined total of 57-45 Clearances
- GWS average the 2nd highest number of Rebound 50’s per game with 42.
- Brisbane allow their opponents 43.1 Rebound 50’s per game, the most in the AFL
Head to Head
The Giants and Lions have met in 8 regular season matchups as well as 1 finals matchup since the beginning of the 2019 season. GWS won the Semi Final played in 2019 with a score of 83-80 while also winning both regular season matchups this season. The Lions had won the previous 6 regular season matchups in a row.
The Over has hit in the Game Total in 6 of 8 regular season games with the Under hitting in the most recent matchup as well as the SF in 2019.
The Winning Margin has stayed between 1-39 points in 5 of 9 matchups including the 2019 Semi Final.
GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $24 | 13-11 | 13-9 | 2-0 |
The Giants will be ruing the one that got away. The Giants led for 121 of 127 minutes of this game and at one point in the 2nd quarter were up by 28 points with Sydney struggling to keep pace through the middle. The game was full of spite with tensions boiling over on multiple occasions to the happiness of the crowds.
Despite a gallant effort from Hogan (3 goals, 8 marks), Tom Green (32 touches) and Kelly (27 touches) the Giants though were unable to go the distance with the Swans booting the final two goals to seal victory and a home prelim in a fortnight.
GWS Giants Team News
No major injury news out of the Giants camp from their loss to Sydney. Toby Bedford has passed a fitness test and will be right to go for the semi.
GWS Giants Team List
B: H.Himmelberg, S.Taylor, C.Idun
HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, H.Perryman
C: F.Callaghan, T.Green, J.Kelly
HF: B.Daniels, A.Cadman, I.Cumming
F: D.Jones, J.Hogan, T.Greene - C
FOLL: K.Briggs, S.Coniglio, J.Peatling
I/C: C.Ward, L.Ash, T.Bedford, L.Keeffe, X.O’Halloran
EMG: J.Riccardi, T.McMullin, N.Haynes
IN: T.Bedford
OUT: T.McMullin (Omitted)
Brisbane Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$15 | 10-14 | 10-7 | 5-1 |
The Lions had no problems disposing of Carlton in the Elimination Final last weekend at the Gabba. Brisbane got out to an astonishing 60-0 lead late in the first half before Carlton decided to switch on kicking a few of their own. The game was already over following the main break but Lions fans will wonder whether it was complacency from their own team or opposition talent which allowed the margin to close up towards the final siren.
Brisbane Team News
Defender Jack Payne was subbed out at half time of the win over Carlton and participated in light training Tuesday with support around the knee but has been cleared to play on Saturday against GWS.
Brisbane Team List
B: D.Zorko, H.Andrews, C.McKenna
HB: D.Wilmot, J.Payne, R.Lester
C: J.Fletcher, W.Ashcroft, H.McCluggage
HF: C.Rayner, J.Daniher, J.Berry
F: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, Z.Bailey
FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale - C
I/C: K.Lohmann, C.Ah Chee, L.Morris, B.Starcevich, N.Answerth
EMG: H.Sharp, D.Fort, D.Joyce
No changes for Brisbane
GWS Giants vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Semi Final FAQ’s
How to watch GWS Giants vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Semi Final?
You can watch the GWS Giants vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Semi Final game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to GWS Giants vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Semi Final?
To buy tickets to the GWS Giants vs Brisbane AFL 2024 Round Semi Final game check the AFL website or the official GWS Giants site.
Verdict
The Giants will use their efficient handballing and run to get through the Lions defence. Expect them to win by a small margin and Himmelberg to rack up the possessions at the back.
Giants -4.5
Line
$1.95 - 2 Units
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