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Gold Coast vs Hawthorn Tips - Suns eclipse the Hawks

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 12 Apr 2024
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Jeremy Darke 12 Apr 2024
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  • Gold Coast vs Hawthorn expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Heritage Bank Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Are the Suns the real deal under Damien Hardwick?
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Ben King, Suns
Ben King looking red-hot for the Suns. (Photo by Chris Hyde/Getty Images)

Gold Coast vs Hawthorn, Round 5 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Suns and the Hawks will be looking to build on good performances last week besides being on the wrong end of the scoreline, but it will be says that get paid for their improvement and will get their third win of the season and stay perfect at People’s Choice Stadium this season. 
  • Gold Coast vs Hawthorn, Round 5 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Gold Coast Team News
  • Gold Coast Team List
  • Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Hawthorn Team News
  • Hawthorn Team List
  • Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 5 FAQ’s

The Gold Coast put up a strong fight against the GWS last week, keeping up with the AFL’s best team in 2024 for three quarters, but simply ran out of gas in the fourth. The suns have shown a new poise under Damien Hardwick and will be expected to put in the same performance as last week, despite heading into this game as heavy favourites against the 0-4 Hawks.

Hawthorn have been improving every week and are not to be taken lightly, although, they are also a young inexperienced team that has had trouble playing for four full terms with their low being very  damaging to them. 

I expect his game to be a close contest with the Suns getting out fast against slow-starters Hawthorn. Their will be patches in the match where the Hawks do take control, however the Gold Coast will still get away with a 1-39 win. 

Ben King has looked strong in his return season after injury and was damaging for the Suns with 3 goals against the Giants last week. I predict a similar performance for the Gold Cpoast’s big man and he will kick 3+ goals in front of his home fans. 

  • Both of the Suns wins this season have been by a score of 1-39.
  • The Hawks have lost by a margin of 1-39 in 3 of 4 games this season.
  • The Hawks average one goal to five in the opening term in 2024.
  • Ben King has kicked 3+ goals in 2 of 4 matches this season.

Head to Head 


The Gold Coast claimed a 67 point win against the Hawks in round 15 last season. It was the Suns third win in four matches against the Hawks, beating them also by 67 points in 2022 and 37 points in 2021.

The Hawks also got a win by 7 points in 2022.

Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-21-32-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$92-22-10-1

The Suns put up a gallant performance against the GWS in round 4, despite going down 117-89 in the end. The Suns held their own, even taking a 4-point lead with 4 minutes left in the third quarter, however that is as good as it got and as it has been all season, the Suns got beaten hard in the fourth quarter.

The Gold Coast are minus 50 points in differential in the fourth quarter of their 4 matches this season, being outscored in three of four games. 

The positive is that they have started well in both of their home matches this season, outscoring their opponents by 8 goals to two when playing at People's Choice Stadium.

Gold Coast Team News


No new injury news for the Suns. Both Bailey Humphrey (shoulder) and Jarrod Witts (groin) got through their runs last weekend and are up for selection. 

Gold Coast Team List


B: J.Lukosius, C.Ballard, S.Collins
HB: W.Powell, S.Flanders, M.Andrew
C: B.Fiorini, T.Miller - C, S.Clohesy
HF: B.Ainsworth, J.Walter, T.Berry
F: M.Rowell, B.King, M.Rosas
FOLL: J.Witts, N.Anderson, B.Humphrey

I/C: N.Holman, E.Read, D.Swallow, W.Graham, B.Uwland
EMG: R.Atkins, A.Sexton, D.Macpherson

No changes

Hawthorn Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-41-32-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$402-20-30-1

The Hawks lifted in the fourth quarter in their rivalry match with Collingwood and almost snatched victory from the beaks of the Pies, reducing their lead from 39 points in the third quarter down to just 5 points by the final whistle. Blake Hardwick kicked four goals and Dylan Moore kicked three to inspire the comeback that just fell short of handing the Hawks their first win of the season.

Hawthorn have proven that they can match it through stages of the game with the good teams in the competition,  just as they did against Collingwood, but have to work on finding that form for longer periods and reducing the damage through their tired lapses. 

Hawthorn Team News


Mitch Lewis and Luke Breust will again miss this week’s match after being ruled out last week against Collingwood.

Hawthorn Team List


B: M.D’Ambrosio, S.Frost, J.Sicily - C
HB: J.Weddle, J.Impey, B.Hardwick
C: K.Amon, J.Newcombe, C.Nash
HF: C.Macdonald, C.Mackenzie, H.Hustwaite
F: J.Ginnivan, M.Chol, F.Maginness
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Worpel, D.Moore

I/C: J.Scrimshaw, J.Ward, S.Butler, M.Ramsden, S.Mitchell
EMG: N.Reeves, H.Morrison, J.Serong

No changes

Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 5 FAQ’s

How to watch Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 5?

You can watch the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast vs Hawthorn AFL 2024 Round 5 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast site.

Verdict

The Gold Coast Suns will keep their perfect record at home alive and beat the young Hawks by a margin of 1-39.

Hawthorn have been slow starters while the Suns have got out the blocks quickly when playing at home and they will cover the 5.5-point first quarter line.

Ben King has looked good in his return and will kick 3+ goals again for the Gold Coast.
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Gold Coast v Hawthorn