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Gold Coast vs Geelong Tips - Cats find winning form again in Darwin

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 15 May 2024
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Jeremy Darke 15 May 2024
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  • Gold Coast vs Geelong expert predictions for Thursday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at TIO Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Geelong to bounce back after consecutive losses.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Expired
Chris Scott
Chris Scott will demand more from the Cats this week. (Photo by Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Gold Coast vs Geelong, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction


Geelong will find their form again after two consecutive losses when they end the Gold Coast’s five-game winning streak at TIO Stadium on Thursday night.
  • Gold Coast vs Geelong, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Gold Coast Team News
  • Gold Coast Team List
  • Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Geelong Team News
  • Geelong Team List
  • Gold Coast vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

After going 7-0 to start the year, the Cats have dipped out of form but will regain their feet again against the Gold Coast, whose odds for this match have improved due to the fact they are playing their second consecutive game in Darwin and have a clean record at Marrara Oval since 2022. 

The Coast have show some promise under Damien Hardwick, however, Geelong is another beast than the bottom-ten teams that have filled their schedule in the opening nine matches. The suns have played two top-eight teams and have been beaten comfortable and that will be the case again against Geelong, who will shut down the midfield of the Coast and take command of this match and restricting the scoring of the Suns.

  • The Gold Coast have not beaten Geelong outside of Carrara since joining the AFL with the Cats holding a 12-3 record over the Suns.
  • The Suns have lost by 28 points or more to top-eight teams this season.
  • The Suns have won 5 straight games at Marrara Oval, however, none of their wins have been against a team that has finished in the top eight.
  • The Suns have averaged 64.5 points in their four losses this season.

Head to Head 


The Suns got the win against the Cats 73-54 last season at People's Choice Stadium, which was their first win against Geelong in 7 matches, with the Gold Coast’s previous win over Geelong dating back to 2017. 

Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$235-43-22-2

The Suns got their fifth win of the season and in emphatic fashion at their home away from home at TIO Stadium in Darwin against the bottom of the ladder North Melbourne Kangaroos. The Gold Coast were dominant in attack, tallying their biggest score of the year of 120 points and also the largest winning margin of 68, beating the Kangas 120-52.

After nine rounds, the Suns have over half of the wins that they achieved last season as once again the Hardwick Effect comes into play. Beating teams below them on the ladder has not been a problem for the Coast, however, they are 5-2 against bottom-ten sides and have been clearly outclassed by the Giants and the Swans by an average losing margin of 40.5 points, their only top-eight opposition so far in 2024.

Gold Coast Team News


Jed Walter and Jake Rogers will be managed for the Suns, while Jarrod Witts and Nick Holman will also miss the clash. through injury. 

Gold Coast Team List


B: S.Collins, C.Ballard, J.Jeffrey
HB: S.Flanders, M.Rowell, M.Andrew
C: B.Fiorini, T.Miller - C, S.Clohesy
HF: B.Humphrey, T.Berry, L.Johnston
F: B.Long, B.King, J.Lukosius
FOLL: N.Moyle, N.Anderson, D.Swallow

I/C: A.Davies, B.Ainsworth, A.Sexton, B.Uwland, S.Day
EMG: N.Holman, J.Rogers, J.Walter

IN: B.Fiorini, N.Moyle, D.Swallow, S.Day
OUT: J.Rogers (Managed), J.Walter (Managed), J.Witts (Managed), N.Holman (Managed)

Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$395-46-21-0

Geelong suffered their second loss in as many weeks after starting the season 7-0. The Cats got off to a horrendous start against Port Adelaide in Round 9, behind by 49 points, 11 minutes into the second quarter of the match. The scoring slowed for the Power after that and the Cats clawed their way back to within a goal in the dying stages, eventually going down though 101-95.

It was clearly a game of two halves for Chris Scott’s men, but they will be licking their wounds after the loss wondering what could have been if they had woken up a little earlier.

Still, Geelong sit second on the ladder behind Sydney and are overachieving on their only season expectation. The Cats have been clean at the stoppages getting 26.1 clearances (4th) and also getting 13.6 Marks Inside 50 (3rd) which is a testament to the hard work and experience of their midfield.

Geelong Team News


Jeremy Cameron will miss the match due to concussion.

Tom Hawkins, Rhys Stanley and Mitch Duncan are all managed this week, 

Geelong Team List


B: J.Henry, S.De Koning, J.Kolodjashnij
HB: Z.Guthrie, T.Stewart - C, M.Holmes
C: O.Dempsey, B.Parfitt, M.Blicavs
HF: B.Close, G.Rohan, G.Miers
F: T.Stengle, S.Neale, O.Henry
FOLL: T.Conway, C.Guthrie, J.Bowes

I/C: M.O’Connor, T.Bruhn, T.Atkins, J.Clark, O.Mullin
EMG: Z.Tuohy, M.Knevitt, C.O’Sullivan

IN: S.Neale, T.Conway, J.Bowes, T.Bruhn
OUT: J.Cameron (Injured), T.Hawkins (Managed), R.Stanley (Managed), M.Duncan (Managed)

Gold Coast vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Gold Coast vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the Gold Coast vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast site.

Verdict

Geelong will contain the forward line of the Suns who will score less than 78.5 points in the match which will see the Cats cover as 3.5 -point favourites.
Best Bet1: Geelong -3.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Gold Coast Under 78.5 Team Total @8/9 at Bet Right - 2 Units
Geelong -3.5
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@9/10 - 3 Units
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Gold Coast Under 78.5
Team Total
@8/9 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 16 May 2024

Gold Coast v Geelong