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Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Tips - Suns to get back to winners circle in dominant display against Kangaroos

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Last updated: 10 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 10 May 2024
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  • Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at TIO Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Gold Coast Suns and North Melbourne predicted to have a closer match than what the public expect.
  • Gold Coast Suns have troubles converting their chances despite being 4th in the league at getting Inside 50.
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Touk Miller
Touk Miller of the Suns (Photo by Steve Bell/Getty Images)

Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction


The trend of blowout results is what everyone is expecting in this one. But i’m not so sure. 
  • Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Gold Coast Suns Team News
  • Gold Coast Suns Team List
  • North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North Melbourne Team News
  • North Melbourne Team List
  • Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

Gold Coast are 4th in the league at getting Inside 50 but have had some troubles converting their chances. North Melbourne are not by any stretch of the imagination a good team but they do have a couple of sparks that can produce on their day.

The 40+ Winning Margin is where the public money is going so we are going to fade that and go for the 1-39 Margin hoping North can stand up to the barrage and that Gold Coast minor form slump continues.

  • 3 of 4 Suns wins this season have been with 1-39 Winning Margin
  • North average more Centre Clearances than Gold Coast and are comparable at other Stoppage Clearances based on season averages
  • The Kangaroos commit less Turnovers than Gold Coast
  • The Suns are an above average team at Scoring from Turnovers, averaging 47.8 points per game, 8th in the AFL

Head to Head 


The Suns and Kangaroos have met 8 times since the beginning of the 2019 season with Gold Coast coming away winners on 5 occasions. In their two meetings last season the results were split 1-1 with each team taking a win on their home turf. 

This game is going to played in Darwin, the second meeting for these teams at this venue. Gold Coast won the previous game in Round 12 of 2022 by 62 points 109-47.

Only 1 of the last 8 games have finished with a single digit Winning Margin with the majority of games being 40+ blowouts. 

Despite blowout scores 6 of the last 8 games have gone Under the Game Total.

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$244-43-21-2

The Suns were dismantled by the Lions last weekend, posting their lowest scoring total (45) so far this season and since Round 16 last season where they managed only 42 against the Pies.

Gold Coast had only 5 Centre Clearances in their loss to Brisbane, 6 Marks Inside 50 and gave up 75 Turnovers in what looked like a recession back to the old days of the Suns. 

Gold Coast Suns Team News


Gold Coast have no new major injury news but there has been movement in the squad throughout the year as new coach Damian Hardwick tries to find the most successful combinations.

Gold Coast Suns Team List


B: S.Collins, C.Ballard, B.Uwland
HB: A.Sexton, S.Flanders, M.Andrew
C: M.Rowell, T.Miller, S.Clohesy
HF: J.Rogers, B.Long, L.Johnston
F: J.Walter, B.King, J.Lukosius
FOLL: J.Witts - C, N.Anderson, A.Davies

I/C: J.Jeffrey, B.Ainsworth, T.Berry, N.Holman, B.Humphrey
EMG: B.Fiorini, S.Day, D.Swallow

IN: B.Uwland, A.Sexton, L.Johnston, A.Davies, J.Jeffrey, B.Humphrey
OUT: W.Powell (Suspension), B.Fiorini (Managed), D.Swallow (Managed), R.Atkins (Omitted), E.Read (Omitted), W.Graham (Omitted)

North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-50-53-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-39
40+
-$806-20-30-5

North had a rough day at the office last weekend against St Kilda last with 63% of the game played in their backhalf. The Kangaroos took only 69 Marks in the game, just over half of what the Saints were able to achieve saying a lot about possession and dominance around the footy.

On a positive note North Melbourne did play well around stoppages with 50 Hitouts to 25 and 12 Centre Clearances to 11 on the day. They have been strong all season in this area but need to sure up other parts of the ground to be able to start challenging teams on the scoreboard.

North Melbourne Team News


Griffin Logue has sustained another separate injury during rehab on his ACL which pushes his return to later in the year. Kallan Dawson is still 2-3 weeks from returning to play with Jackson Archer set to test his fitness to be up for selection. 

Hamish Free has sustained multiple concussions already this season and will miss another week as he recovers. 

North Melbourne Team List


B: C.Comben, A.Corr, L.McDonald - C
HB: C.McKercher, H.Sheezel, J.Archer
C: D.Tucker, L.Davies-Uniacke, B.Scott
HF: J.Stephenson, T.Powell, Z.Fisher
F: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, C.Zurhaar
FOLL: T.Xerri, G.Wardlaw, W.Phillips

I/C: C.Lazzaro, H.Greenwood, R.Hardeman, L.Shiels, B.Drury
EMG: Z.Duursma, T.Pink, E.Ford

IN: W.Phillips, C.Lazzaro, H.Greenwood
OUT: J.Simpkin (Injured), T.Pink (Omitted), Z.Duursma (Omitted)

Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 9?

You can watch the Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast Suns site.

Verdict

Gold Coast should not be in doubt at all to win this game. The fine line will be around the 40 point mark. As mentioned above we are fading the public and taking the lower margin which would also entail a lower Game Total
Best Bet1: Suns 1-39 Winning Margin @6/4 at Justbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 170.5 Game Total @9/10 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Suns 1-39
Winning Margin
@6/4 - 2 Units
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Bet at Justbet
Under 170.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
Bet at PlayUp
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Bet at PlayUP

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