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Geelong vs Port Adelaide Tips - Cats get 10th straight against the Power at GMHBA Stadium
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- Geelong vs Port Adelaide expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
- The game will be played at GMHBA Stadium, with the bounce at 7:10 PM (AEST)
- Though Geelong faced a recent loss, strong past performances against Port Adelaide prop up their confidence
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Expired
Jeremy Cameron to bounce back from a rough night against Melbourne and lead the Cats to a victory over Port. (Photo by Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)
Geelong vs Port Adelaide, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction
Geelong suffered their first loss of the season last round but will jump straight back on the horse against the Power, who they have dominated heavily over the past 20 years.
- Geelong vs Port Adelaide, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Geelong Team List
- Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Port Adelaide Team News
- Port Adelaide Team List
- Geelong vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s
The Cats have lost just five times to Port since the 2005 season and have beaten them 9 times in a row at GMHBA Stadium. This matchup is not a good one for the Power who shot themselves in the foot in The Showdown last week kicking 2.14 in the final three quarters of the match.
Geelong will take their eighth win of the season and their seventh by a margin of 1-39 with veteran Jeremy Cameron getting into the thick of things again after a goalless match against Melbourne last week. Cameron will find the space and kick at least 2 goals against the Power.
- Port has not won at GMHBA Stadium since Round 21, 2007.
- Port ranks last in the AFL with a 41.7 Shot Accuracy.
- Geelong’s past 4 wins against Port Adelaide at GMHBA Stadium have been by a margin of 1-39
- Jeremy Cameron is averaging 2.4 goals per game this season.
Head to Head
Both teams took a win in the head to head matchups in 2023, Port swung the game in the third and pulled away for a 38-point win in Adelaide, in round 14. Geelong then answered at GMHBA Stadium in round 21, beating the Power by 12, kicking three-straight goals in the fourth to give them the buffer they needed.
Geelong have had a real dominance over Port, holding a 23-5 record since the 2005 season.
Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| $49 | 4-4 | 6-1 | 1-0 |
Geelong tasted defeat for the first time this season going down by 8 points to the Melbourne Demons in round 8. Melbourne starved Geelong of the ball and made them work hard early, chasing short kicks in a clear tactical move by Simon Goodwin’s men. The Cats did bounce back back fatigue hurt them and a couple of easy misses by their forwards late in the game cost them their undefeated tag.
There is certainly no shame going down to Dees after Geelong’s impeccable start to the year. With their midfield connecting with the forward line as cleanly as they are, ranking third in Marks Inside 50, and also being able to lock in the ball, leading the AFL with 74.6 intercepts per game, Geelong have proven that they will be a contender in 2024.
Geelong Team News
Tanner Bruhn is a late test but is expected to be cleared of a shoulder injury.
James Willis and Phoenix Foster are available to play.
Geelong Team List
B: J.Henry, S.De Koning, J.Kolodjashnij
HB: Z.Guthrie, T.Stewart - C, M.Holmes
C: M.O’Connor, B.Parfitt, M.Blicavs
HF: O.Dempsey, J.Cameron, G.Miers
F: T.Stengle, T.Hawkins, O.Henry
FOLL: R.Stanley, C.Guthrie, M.Duncan
I/C: B.Close, O.Mullin, T.Atkins, J.Clark, G.Rohan
EMG: Z.Tuohy, J.Bowes, S.Neale
IN: M.O’Connor, B.Parfitt, O.Mullin
OUT: Z.Tuohy (Managed), J.Bowes (Managed), T.Bruhn (Injured)
Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
2024 Betting Trends
| $10 ML | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| -$18 | 4-4 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
Port were blown out of the water last Thursday night in The 55th Showdown with rivals Adelaide, as the Crows put in their best performance of the year and annihilated Port 78-48.
As much as it was the Crows, it was also Port beating themselves with an unforgivable tally of behinds in the final 3 quarters. The Power won the time in forward half battle 57-43 percent, however, they kicked 2.14 in the final three terms of the game.
The poor showing upfront has been the trend for Port this season who have the worst Shot Accuracy percentage of 41.7. This stat hurts even more considering they rank second in the AFL with 57.8 Inside 50’s and 14.6 Marks Inside 50. Spending so much time in their forward half and not getting a result is an issue that coach Ken Hinkley needs to fix quick-smart.
Port Adelaide Team News
Aliir Aliir is expected to be cleared of concussion and Mitch Georgiades is also expected to pass through the final tests on his injured knee.
Connor Rozee and and Lachies Jones will miss a couple of weeks with hamstring strains.
Port Adelaide Team List
B: K.Farrell, B.Zerk-Thatcher, A.Aliir
HB: M.Bergman, E.Ratugolea, D.Houston
C: J.Sinn, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, T.Marshall, M.Georgiades
F: T.Boak, C.Dixon, W.Rioli
FOLL: D.Visentini, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters - C
I/C: J.Mead, J.McEntee, R.Burton, F.Evans, J.Finlayson
EMG: D.Williams, T.Clurey, W.Lorenz
IN: A.Aliir, J.Sinn, D.Visentini, F.Evans, J.Finlayson
OUT: La.Jones (Injured), D.Williams (Omitted), J.Burgoyne (Injured), J.Sweet (Illness), C.Rozee (Injured)
Geelong vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s
How to watch Geelong vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 9?
You can watch the Geelong vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Geelong vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 9?
To buy tickets to the Geelong vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Geelong site.
Verdict
Geelong will get their seventh 1-39 win of the season and Jeremy Cameron will kick at least 2 goals for the Cats.
Geelong 1-39
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$2.20 - 3 Units
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