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Geelong vs GWS Giants Tips - Geelong back on their feet with win over wounded GWS

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 23 May 2024
Jeremy Darke 23 May 2024
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  • Geelong vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at GMHBA Stadium, with the bounce at 4:35 PM (AEST)
  • GWS Giants struggling with key injuries.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Geelong, GWS
Both the Giants and the Cats fighting to get out of their slump. (Photo by Morgan Hancock/AFL Photos/via Getty Images)

Geelong vs GWS Giants, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction


The success of GWS at GMHBA Stadium will be broken as Geelong steady the ship and get their first win in four matches, covering the 12.5 points as favourites.
  • Geelong vs GWS Giants, Round 11 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Geelong Team News
  • Geelong Team List
  • GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • GWS Giants Team News
  • GWS Giants Team List
  • Geelong vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

It has been turmoil for both of these sides after their blistering start to the 2024 season. Geelong should get some good ins this week with Jeremy Cameron and Tom Hawkins returning as well as Sam De Koning. For GWS it is quite the opposite, losing Buckley, Jones and Fahey, which adds to the long list of injuries for the Giants. 

With the Giants struggling immensely over the past three weeks with their attack, it is hard to see that they will be able to compete with the Cats, despite their own form troubles. Geelong will correct the wrongs of the past few weeks and we will see a similar style of play to the beginning of the season against a wounded Giants lineup.

GWS will not contribute too much to the scoreline in this game so the Under on the Total is the likely outcome in a Cats win over 12.5 points.

  • GWS have lost 4 of their past 5 matches.
  • GWS have averaged just 58 points in the past 3 games.
  • GWS have lost by 19 or more points in all 4 of their losses in 2024.
  • The Under Game Total has hit in the past 2 games between Geelong and GWS.

Head to Head 


GWS got the better of Geelong at GMHBA Stadium last season 81-74 in the only match played between the pair in 2023. 

As a matter of fact, the Giants have won the last 3 games they have played in Geelong, as one of the only teams to have a positive record at the venue.

Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$296-46-21-1

How your fortune can change quickly in the AFL and there is no better example that the Geelong Cats, winning their first 7 matches and now could spiral out of the eight with their fourth loss in a row this week.

It is not often you score 100 points and still lose by 64, but that is how it ended between the Cats and the Suns in Darwin on the weekend.  Geelong were never in the match and it just became a show in the end with both teams firing for a combined 41 goals in the match. 

It was the third game in four matches that the Cats have conceded 100+ points after averaging just 67.83 against in their first 6 games of the 2024 season. 

Geelong Team News


Jeremy Cameron (concussion) and Sam De Koning (hamstring) are test later in the week but will likely be cleared. 

Geelong Team List


B: Z.Guthrie, J.Henry, J.Kolodjashnij
HB: T.Stewart - C, M.Holmes, O.Mullin
C: O.Dempsey, T.Bruhn, Z.Tuohy
HF: T.Stengle, B.Close, G.Miers
F: S.Neale, T.Hawkins, O.Henry
FOLL: T.Conway, M.Blicavs, M.Duncan

I/C: S.De Koning, J.Bowes, T.Atkins, J.Cameron, J.Clark
EMG: C.O’Sullivan, S.Mannagh, M.O’Connor

IN: T.Hawkins, M.Duncan, S.De Koning, J.Cameron
OUT: B.Parfitt (Omitted), G.Rohan (Injured), C.Guthrie (Injured), M.O’Connor (Omitted)

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-41-43-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$166-44-42-0

Just like their opponents, the Giants have also lost their last 3 games and 4 of their past 5 games. 

The scoring has simply stopped for GWS succumbing to their long list of injuries that have occurred over the past few rounds. The Giants were able to battle fire with fire in the opening five rounds where they were undefeated, on the back of averaging 108 points per game during that time.

Over the past 3 rounds there has been a severe contrast in the ball flow of the Giants as they have struggled to get the ball into their 50 and finish the job, averaging just 58 points per game during that span. 

GWS Giants Team News


Leek Aleer should be cleared from concussion protocols this week in the only good news for the Giants.

Jack Buckley is out for 3 weeks with a calf strain, while Darcy Jones (hamstring) is set to miss two months and Josh Fahey is set for a four month stint on the sidelines with a foot injury.

These three fresh injuries adds to the long list of injuries for GWS over the past few weeks.

GWS Giants Team List


B: C.Idun, S.Taylor, H.Himmelberg
HB: L.Whitfield, L.Aleer, H.Perryman
C: N.Haynes, T.Green, F.Callaghan
HF: B.Daniels, A.Cadman, T.Bedford
F: T.Greene - C, J.Hogan, H.Thomas
FOLL: K.Briggs, C.Ward, S.Coniglio

I/C: T.McMullin, X.O’Halloran, R.Angwin, J.Riccardi, J.Peatling
EMG: C.Stone, J.Wehr, L.Keeffe

IN: L.Aleer, T.McMullin, R.Angwin, J.Peatling
OUT: J.Buckley (Injured), J.Wehr (Omitted), C.Stone (Omitted), D.Jones (Injured)

Geelong vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch Geelong vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 11?

You can watch the Geelong vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Geelong vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Geelong vs GWS Giants AFL 2024 Round 11 game check the AFL website or the official Geelong site.

Verdict

GWS will struggle again with their injuries and Geelong will take a comfortable win, covering the 12.5 points as favourites with the Game Total staying under 180.5
Best Bet1: Geelong -12.5 Handicap/Line @9/10 at PlayUP - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 180.5 Game Total @9/10 at Boombet - 2 Units
Geelong -12.5
Handicap/Line
@9/10 - 3 Units
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Bet at PlayUP
Under 180.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 25 May 2024

Geelong v Greater Western Sydney