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Fremantle vs Sydney Tips - Scores kept low in a tough defensive battle

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Last updated: 09 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 09 May 2024
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  • Fremantle vs Sydney expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Optus Stadium, with the bounce at 8:20 PM (AEST)
  • Sydney holds a better form with a dynamic scoring ability, predicted to handle the game better.
  • Form analysis, team news, and betting trends for both teams provided for an informed match prediction.
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Tom Papley
Tom Papley of the Swans (Photo by James Worsfold/Getty Images)

Fremantle vs Sydney, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction


Fremantle welcome the competition leaders Sydney to Optus Stadium in a game that is expected to be low scoring.
  • Fremantle vs Sydney, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Fremantle Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Fremantle Team News
  • Fremantle Team List
  • Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Team News
  • Sydney Team List
  • Fremantle vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

Freo smashed Richmond, Richmond beat Sydney - does that mean Freo smash Sydney? Probably not, footy is a weird sport and at the top level any team can win on their day. We invoke probability and rely on statistics and trends to form our opinions. 

Sydney are in the better form and have a wide array of skilled players that will look to break out of the Dockers lock-down defensive tactics. At some point in the game Freo will need to decide on whether they focus on restricting the Swans from scoring or to score themselves. It is here i believe the game can be won or lost and Sydney are more inclined to handle the situation better. 

Sydney average 56.9 Inside 50’s this season, the 3rd most in the AFL 
Fremantle allow the 3rd fewest Inside 50’s of any team at 49.6 per game
Both Sydney and Fremantle restrict their opponents to under 10 goals per game on average
The Swans are 2nd in the league in Spoils averaging 36.8 per game

Head to Head 


Fremantle and Sydney have met 7 times since the beginning of the 2019 season. The Dockers hold a 4-3 win advantage with the two games last year being split 1-1, the away team getting the win both times. 5 of those 7 games have been played at Optus Stadium where Sydney have won the last 2 straight. The Swans have also covered 4 of the last 7. 

Both games last season went Over the Game Total prior to that though the Under had hit in 4 of 5 games played. Only 1 of the previous 7 games has finished with a Margin of 40+ points.

Fremantle Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-33-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$93-54-31-0

Fremantle are well and truly back in the winners circle following a 4 game slide that culminated with an absolute thrashing at the hands of West Coast in the Perth Derby back in round 6. Since then they kicked away by 24 points against the Bulldogs and scored 44 points in the 4th quarter against the Tigers last weekend to win by 54.

The Dockers have greatly improved on their scoring ability this season with Josh Treacy and Jye Amiss on their way to becoming stalwarts in their positions. The midfielders in Andy Brayshaw, Hayden Young and Caleb Serong combined for 17 tackles last weekend in a consistent defensive effort. 

Fremantle Team News


Sean Darcy finished the game against the Tigers with calf tightness but is expected to play. Nathan O’Driscoll has not fully recovered from a knee injury and will now need to consult a specialist with a timetable yet to be confirmed. Sam Switkowski will need to pass concussion protocol to be up for selection.

Fremantle Team List


B: B.Walker, A.Pearce - C, J.Draper
HB: H.Chapman, L.Ryan, J.Clark
C: J.Sharp, A.Brayshaw, H.Young
HF: J.O’Meara, J.Treacy, M.Frederick
F: S.Switkowski, J.Amiss, T.Emmett
FOLL: L.Jackson, C.Serong, N.Fyfe

I/C: M.Walters, B.Banfield, M.Johnson, J.Aish, P.Voss
EMG: E.Hughes, C.Wagner, L.Reidy

IN: S.Switkowski, P.Voss
OUT: S.Darcy (Injured), C.Simpson (Omitted)

Sydney Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$324-45-12-0

The Swans climbed to the top of the AFL ladder following their Sydney Derby win over the GWS Giants last weekend. The Swans only loss funnily enough came against Richmond in round 3 by 3 points, the Tigers’ only win so far this season. Apart from that game though they have dominated their opponents winning by 22 or more points in each matchup.

Sydney are averaging the most Goal Scorers this season with 9.6 per game meaning they are sharing the ball and have a dynamic scoring ability.

Sydney Team News


Tom McCartin will miss this clash with concussion. Callum Mills has suffered a high grade calf injury meaning he will miss the next 2-3 months. 

Sydney Team List


B: A.Francis, D.Rampe - C, L.Melican
HB: H.Cunningham, O.Florent, N.Blakey
C: E.Gulden, Ch.Warner, J.Lloyd
HF: J.Jordon, L.McDonald, T.Adams
F: T.Papley, J.Amartey, W.Hayward
FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C: M.Roberts, J.McInerney, H.McLean, S.Wicks, R.Fox
EMG: C.Mitchell, P.Ladhams, B.Campbell

IN: A.Francis
OUT: T.McCartin (Injured)

Fremantle vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch Fremantle vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 9?

You can watch the Fremantle vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Fremantle vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the Fremantle vs Sydney AFL 2024 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Fremantle site.

Verdict

The best bet here is to the Under with both teams ranked highly in the league at restricting opposition Goals. If i was to take a side it would be Sydney on the back of their recent form both this season and previously at Optus Stadium.
Best Bet1: Under 155.5 Game Total @9/10 at Justbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Sydney 1-39 Winning Margin @6/5 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Under 155.5
Game Total
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Fremantle v Sydney