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Essendon vs North Melbourne Tips - Bombers fire against the Kangas

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 16 May 2024
Jeremy Darke 16 May 2024
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  • Essendon vs North Melbourne expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:10 PM (AEST)
  • The Bombers boast an undefeated streak in the last 5 rounds, including a recent win over GWS.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Essendon, North Melbourne
Sir Doug Nicholls Round launch. (Photo by Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Essendon vs North Melbourne, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction


Essendon is starting to jump into the conversation about being a contender this seasons and they will be out to stamp their authority on the league by crushing the Kangas bu 50+ points and covering the huge line. 
  • Essendon vs North Melbourne, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Essendon Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Essendon Team News
  • Essendon Team List
  • North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • North Melbourne Team News
  • North Melbourne Team List
  • Essendon vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

The Bombers got a solid $2.68 underdog win against GWS last weekend and have done all that is asked from them, going undefeated over the past 5 rounds. Their backline has looked solid and the link through the midfield has been smooth. Essendon have a chance to put up a big score against North Melbourne and they will take it.

Matt Guelfi returned to full stride against GWS last week and kicked three goals, so expect the small forward to kick at least two again against the Kangas. 

  • North Melbourne have failed to cover the line in their past 4 matches.
  • Essendon have covered the line in 4 of their past 5 matches.
  • North Melbourne averages 120 points against this season.
  • Matt Guelfi kicked 3 goals last week against GWS.

Head to Head 


Essendon have beaten North Melbourne in their past 10 encounters, as most teams in the AFL unfortunately for Kangas fans.

The Bombers and Kangaroos faced each other twice last season with Essendon getting up by the slim margins of 6 points in Round 12 and 9 points in Round 22.

Essendon Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/L/DLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-0-14-11-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$553-66-10-1

The Bombers have been the biggest surprise packet of the 2024 season for me. What they did last weekend against the Giants, beating GWS 82-62, highlights the improvements that they have made at the club in the offseason with Ben McKay coming in and playing his role as a key defender, boosting the back six as a whole. The Bombers held GWS to their lowest score of the season and found smooth ball through the midfield leading from both Nic Martin and Andrew McGrath.

In theory, the Bombers have now taken 6 points that they would not have expected at the start of the season with their win against the Giants and the draw against the Pies. If they continue to get wins over the mid-pack teams we should see Essendon play Finals Footy this season.

Essendon Team News


Jordan Ridley will undergo a late test on his injured quad, but looks in shape to make a return this week. 

Both Sam Draper (knee) and Xavier Duursma (quad) will be out for over a month with their respective injuries.

Essendon Team List


B: D.Heppell, B.McKay, J.Laverde
HB: N.Martin, M.Redman, A.McGrath
C: M.Guelfi, D.Parish, J.Kelly
HF: S.Durham, K.Langford, J.Stringer
F: H.Jones, P.Wright, A.Davey Jnr
FOLL: T.Goldstein, J.Caldwell, Z.Merrett - C

I/C (FROM): B.Hobbs, D.Shiel, J.Gresham, N.Cox, A.Perkins, N.Bryan, N.Caddy

IN: D.Shiel, N.Bryan, N.Caddy
OUT: Nil

North Melbourne Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-50-54-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$907-20-30-6

The Kangas took another big loss in Round 10, going down to the Gold Coast 120-52, at TIO Stadium in Darwin.

Their loss to the Suns was probably one of their worst this season with the Gold Coast controlling everything and really kicking away. North Melbourne have now conceded over 100 points in every game this season and the future looks very glum.

North Melbourne Team News


Young talent Colby McKercher suffered a foot injury last week and will miss this match, the extent of his injury is unknown at this time.

North Melbourne Team List


B: A.Corr, C.Comben, L.McDonald - C
HB: Z.Fisher, H.Sheezel, J.Archer
C: D.Tucker, L.Davies-Uniacke, B.Scott
HF: J.Stephenson, T.Powell, L.Shiels
F: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, C.Zurhaar
FOLL: T.Xerri, G.Wardlaw, J.Simpkin

I/C (FROM): M.Bergman, C.Taylor, H.Greenwood, T.Pink, D.Stephens, B.Drury, Z.Duursma

IN: J.Simpkin, M.Bergman, C.Taylor, T.Pink, D.Stephens, Z.Duursma
OUT: C.McKercher (Injured), W.Phillips (Omitted), R.Hardeman (Omitted)

Essendon vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Essendon vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the Essendon vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Essendon vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Essendon vs North Melbourne AFL 2024 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Essendon site.

Verdict

Matt Guelfi will be heavily involved up front for the Bombers and will kick at least two goals as Essendon get their biggest score of 114+ points and beat North Melbourne by 50 or more points.
Best Bet1: Essendon -49.5 Handicap/Line @20/21 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Essendon Over 113.5 Team Total @9/10 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Matt Guelfi 2+ Goals @23/20 at Neds - 1 Unit
Essendon -49.5
Handicap/Line
@20/21 - 2 Units
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Essendon Over 113.5
Team Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Matt Guelfi
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Essendon v North Melbourne