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Essendon vs Gold Coast Tips - Gold Coast still unable to win away from home as Essendon push for finals

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 08 Aug 2024

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Ryan Tucker 08 Aug 2024

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Essendon vs Gold Coast expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
The Bombers are in strong form, aiming for a finals spot, and excel in ball usage.
Essendon has a robust home record, nearly averaging 99 points at Marvel Stadium.

Ryan picks out the best 3 tips for AFL Saturday late window.

Essendon vs Gold Coast, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction

Gold Coast’s season is over and whilst they will be trying to get at least one win away from home this season it won’t be against a Bombers outfit hungry to make finals.

Essendon vs Gold Coast, Round 22 2024 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Essendon Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Essendon Team News
Essendon Team List
Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Gold Coast Team News
Gold Coast Team List
Essendon vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s

The Bombers have only dropped one game as the home team at Marvel this season averaging over 90 points at the ground this year. They are superior in ball usage and are the team leading the league in Uncontested Possessions.

The Suns have struggled all season away from home and just cannot score. With the chances of them making finals now gone it will be interesting to see if they open up to play a more expansive style of footy or if they wilt down and just see out the season.

My expectation is for the trends to continue as Essendon use the momentum from last week's win to catapult them to victory here.

Gold Coast average only 63.8 points per game away from home this season.
Essendon score an average of 98.8 as the home team at Marvel Stadium this year.
The Bombers lead the league in Uncontested Possessions averaging 237.7 per game
Gold Coast allow their opponents the most number of Intercept Possessions per game at 70.

Head to Head

The Bombers and Suns have played in 6 games against each other since the beginning of the 2019 season. Essendon hold a 4-1-1 lead in the head to head with the draw coming in the only match up of the 2020 season.

It was Gold Coast though who most recently tasted success with a 91-80 victory at home back in Round 12 this season.

Essendon are also 4-2 ATS across the same period with the Over hitting in the Game total in 4 of the 6 clashes.

The Winning Margin has stayed inbetween 1-39 in 3 of the 6 games including the last 2 in a row.

Essendon Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	4-1

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
$25	11-9	10-5	1-3

The Bombers pulled off a stunning comeback last weekend to pip the Dockers by 1 with only seconds remaining on the clock. It broke a 3 game losing streak for Essendon and was only their 2nd win in 6 games.

The victory keeps them in 9th, just two points out of the 8 thanks to the ANZAC day draw against Collingwood. After the Gold Coast they meet Sydney and Brisbane in one of the toughest draws of any team.

Essendon were able to limit their Turnovers in the win against the Dockers committing only 53 compared to their season average of 66.

Essendon Team News

Xavier Duursma pulled up with a hammy in the win over Freo and is now set to miss up to a month of footy.

Saad El-Hawli will test his ankle at training this week and could be a shot to be selected against the Suns.

Essendon Team List

B: J.Kelly, B.McKay, J.Laverde

HB: N.Martin, M.Redman, A.McGrath

C: N.Cox, D.Parish, A.Roberts

HF: J.Stringer, N.Caddy, S.Durham

F: K.Langford, H.Jones, D.Shiel

FOLL: S.Draper, J.Caldwell, Z.Merrett - C

I/C: B.Hobbs, J.Gresham, N.Bryan, A.Davey Jnr, J.Menzie

EMG: W.Setterfield, A.Perkins, P.Wright

IN: B.Hobbs

OUT: X.Duursma (Injured)

Gold Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	2-3

2024 Betting Trends

$10 ML	Over/Under	1-39	40+
-$58	10-10	6-9	3-2

The Suns suffered their third straight loss with a 97-87 defeat at the hands of the West Coast Eagles last weekend. With finals all but a mathematical conundrum heading into the game the team still had not won a road game since the Round 9 matchup with West Coast at the same ground in 2023.

The trend has continued and the Gold Coast will be left ruing what could have been their maiden finals season after a strong start and middle third of the season.

The Suns lost the Centre Clearance battle 14-8 in an otherwise very even contest across the park.

Gold Coast Team News

Veterans Levi Casboult and Sam Day will need to pass fitness tests to return to play after missing the past month of footy.

Touk Miller is still a week away with a wrist injury.

Gold Coast Team List

B: S.Collins, B.Uwland, C.Ballard

HB: A.Sexton, L.Weller, W.Powell

C: W.Graham, N.Anderson, S.Clohesy

HF: L.Johnston, J.Walter, B.Humphrey

F: B.Long, J.Witts - C, B.King

FOLL: M.Andrew, S.Flanders, M.Rowell

I/C: N.Holman, A.Davies, J.Rogers, C.Budarick, D.Swallow

EMG: S.Lemmens, D.Macpherson, N.Moyle

IN: J.Walter, A.Davies, J.Rogers, C.Budarick

OUT: J.Lukosius (Omitted), M.Rosas (Omitted), B.Fiorini (Omitted), J.Jeffrey (Omitted)

Essendon vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 22 FAQ’s

How to watch Essendon vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 22?

You can watch the Essendon vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 22 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Essendon vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 22?

To buy tickets to the Essendon vs Gold Coast AFL 2024 Round 22 game check the AFL website or the official Essendon site.

Verdict

Essendon v Gold Coast

The Bombers will just be more hungry in this one, they have momentum after a solid performance against the Dockers last weekend whilst the Suns still chase that elusive road win. Essendon to cover.