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Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs Tips - Injury ravaged Magpies to keep unbeaten streak alive

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 30 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 30 May 2024
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  • Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
  • Collingwood aims to consolidate their top 8 spot with a win over Western Bulldogs.
  • Both teams struggling with goal accuracy and injuries.
  • Predicted low-scoring game with Magpies' defense likely deciding the outcome.
Expired
Scott Pendlebury
John Noble (left) and Scott Pendlebury of the Magpies will have their work cut out for them against the Dogs. (Photo by Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction


The defending premiers Collingwood have slowly made their way back into the top 8 and will consolidate that spot with a win over the Western Bulldogs this Friday.
  • Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs, Round 12 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Collingwood Team News
  • Collingwood Team List
  • Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Western Bulldogs Team News
  • Western Bulldogs Team List
  • Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

Despite the Magpies having one of the longer injury lists in the AFL their squad has been able to hold a high standard of play especially through the middle and on the defensive end. With that said, both of these teams are having trouble with their Accuracy in front of Goal which together with injuries up front leads us to take the Under on the Game Total.

The expectation is that the game will be a tussle back and forth for the majority of the first half before the Pies kick into gear in the second half to keep the Dogs at bay.

  • Western Bulldogs are 9th and Collingwood 11th in the league in Accuracy (Goals per shot) 
  • Three of the top four Goalscorers for Collingwood are out injured
  • The Bulldogs are 5th worst in the AFL for Opposition Rebound 50’s
  • Collingwood are 4th in the League for Intercept Possessions

Head to Head 


These teams have met only 6 times since the beginning of the 2019 season with Collingwood holding a 4-2 advantage in the head to head. 

The Magpies also have the most recent success winning the only matchup of the 2023 season 89-77 at Marvel in Round 17 last year.

The Western Bulldogs hold the Handicap advantage having covered the spread in 4 of the last 6 games.

The Game Total went Over in last year's game but before that the Under hit in 5 straight matchups. 4 of 6 games have finished with Winning Margins of 1-39 points.

Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/L/DLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-0-23-21-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-39
40+
$05-64-32-0

Another draw for the defending Champs as they let a 25 point lead in the 4th quarter slip from their grasp against the Fremantle Dockers last weekend. The Pies are still undefeated since round 3 but have now two draws on the season which sees them sneak into the 8 ahead of the Dockers.

Collingwood are struggling with Accuracy in front of the sticks this season and sit at 11th in the AFL at 46.3% Goals/Shots.

Collingwood Team News


The Pies can’t take a trick on the injury front. With an already long list of players out a further few were added following the draw against Freo last weekend. 

Mason Cox will miss up to 6 weeks with an MCL injury. Joe Richards fractured his foot and will miss a comparable amount of time. Brody Mihocek reinjured his hamstring that had previously kept him out of the team and is now expected to be sidelined for up to a month.

Jack Bytel could return in round 12 from concussion but Will Hoskin-Elliot and Josh Eyre are at least another week away.

Collingwood Team List


B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, C.Dean
HB: I.Quaynor, J.Noble, O.Markov
C: J.Bytel, A.Johnson, J.Daicos
HF: B.Hill, N.Daicos, J.Howe
F: B.McCreery, P.Lipinski, B.Frampton
FOLL: D.Cameron, J.Crisp, L.Schultz

I/C: F.Macrae, S.Sidebottom, L.Sullivan, H.Harrison, W.Parker
EMG: N.Kreuger, E.Allan, T.Jiath

IN: O.Markov, J.Bytel, A.Johnson, J.Howe, F.Macrae
OUT: E.Allan (Omitted), S.Pendlebury (Injured), B.Mihocek (Injured), J.Richards (Injured), M.Cox (Injured)

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-32-34-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-39
40+
-$228-31-54-1

The Bulldogs have had a topsy turvy month of footy. After losing to the Hawks they went on to demolish the Tigers and beat the Giants by 5 goals. Their win streak was halted last week as the league leading Swans wrestled the game away from the Dogs in the 3rd, holding the margin for the rest of the game.

Western Bulldogs top the league in Possessions per game and move the ball around well within their team with the 2nd highest number of Uncontested Possessions. They are though having trouble converting that into points with a below average Accuracy in front of goal.

Western Bulldogs Team News


Aaron Naughton injured his knee in the Dogs loss to Sydney, he is expected to miss up to 6 weeks. Ed Richards and Anthony Scott both sustained concussions and will be sidelined for this game. James O’Donnell is expected to return from an illness.

Western Bulldogs Team List


B: L.Bramble, L.Jones, A.Keath
HB: T.Duryea, J.O’Donnell, B.Dale
C: J.Harmes, A.Treloar, B.Williams
HF: R.Garcia, R.Lobb, L.Vandermeer
F: S.Darcy, J.Ugle-Hagan, R.West
FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, H.Gallagher

I/C: C.Daniel, J.Freijah, J.Macrae, L.McNeil, R.Sanders
EMG: L.Cleary, B.Khamis, C.Poulter

IN: J.O’Donnell, R.Lobb, L.McNeil
OUT: A.Scott (Injured), A.Naughton (Injured), E.Richards (Injured)

Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 12 FAQ’s

How to watch Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 12?

You can watch the Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 12?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2024 Round 12 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood site.

Verdict

With 3 of the top 4 Collingwood Goalscorers out I have trouble seeing there being a lot of goals kicked from a team already struggling with Accuracy. The Dogs aren't much better themselves infront of goal and with any low total the Winning Margin should be kept under 40. The tip is the Pies defence to win the game for them.
Best Bet1: Collingwood 1-39 Winning Margin @5/4 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 170.5 Game Total @7/8 at Topsport - 2 Units
Collingwood 1-39
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@5/4 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 31 May 2024

Collingwood v Western Bulldogs