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Collingwood vs West Coast Tips - Magpies expected to run riot over Eagles at Marvel

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Last updated: 10 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 10 May 2024
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  • Collingwood vs West Coast expert predictions for Sunday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:00 PM (AEST)
  • The Pies defensive pressure, improved turnover rates and substantial tackling contributes to their strong performance
  • West Coast's reliance on young talents and 2-6 season record signals potential struggle against Collingwood's defense
Expired
Nick Daicos
Nick Daicos sealed the game for the Pies last week and will again feature heavily against the Eagles (Photo by Will Russell/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Collingwood vs West Coast, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction


Collingwood will continue their run up the competition ladder with a comfortable win over the West Coast Eagles this Sunday afternoon. 
  • Collingwood vs West Coast, Round 9 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Collingwood Team News
  • Collingwood Team List
  • West Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • West Coast Team News
  • West Coast Team List
  • Collingwood vs West Coast AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

The Pies have recovered from their 3 game losing streak to begin the season having won 4 and drawing 1 in their 5 games since then. Their ball movement is becoming more consistent as is their scoring, but it is the defensive pressure that is getting them across the line.

West Coast are building for their future and despite having some of the best veterans in the AFL are still relying on a number of young talents to get them through games, hence the 2-6 record on the season. They will have trouble breaking through the Collingwood defence to put any real scoring pressure on but expect them to at least get to 60.

  • Collingwood have reduced their average Opposition Total from 103 points over the first 3 rounds to 77.8 points in the last 5 games.
  • The Magpies lead the league in Tackles averaging 67.6 per game and had 88 tackles against Carlton last week.
  • West Coast have allowed their opposition to score 100 or more points in all but one of their losses this season.
  • West Coast give up the fewest Turnovers in the AFL with 60.1 per game, Collingwood are 7th in the same measure giving up 66.3 per game


Head to Head 


Collingwood and West Coast have a storied history. In 2018 the Eagles toppled the Magpies in the Qualifying Final and the Grand Final in what was their most recent premiership. From 2019 and onward they have played in 7 regular season matchups as well as an Elimination Final in 2020 won by Collingwood.

If you include the EF the winner has alternated between the Pies and Eagles since 2019 with no team winning back to back games. Collingwood won the lone matchup in 2023 with a score of 120-57.

The Game Total has gone over in 4 of the last 7 regular season games with the Winning Margin more often falling on the 1-39 side rather than 40+ (4-3).

The winning team has covered the spread in each of the last 7 regular season matchups.

Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$45-33-31-0

Collingwood were able to get one up over arch-rivals Carlton last weekend in front of a record regular season crowd for that matchup.

The Pies had 64 Inside 50’s in the game, blasting their season average of 52.8 and also only allowed their opponents 38 entries in a staunch defensive showing. 

Collingwood have regained touch with the top 8 and will look to continue to move up with a strong showing against the Eagles.

Collingwood Team News


Lachie Schultz has been suspended with Reef McInnes taking his spot at small forward. Brody Mihocek, Beau McCreery and Jamie Elliot are all injured which sees Finlay Macrae, Jack Bytek and Joe Richards join the team.

Collingwood Team List


B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, J.Howe
HB: I.Quaynor, J.Noble, O.Markov
C: S.Sidebottom, S.Pendlebury, J.Daicos
HF: H.Harrison, B.Frampton, R.McInnes
F: P.Lipinski, B.Hill, D.Cameron
FOLL: M.Cox, J.Crisp, N.Daicos

I/C: F.Macrae, J.Bytel, J.Richards, L.Sullivan, W.Hoskin-Elliott

IN: R.McInnes, F.Macrae, J.Bytel, J.Richards
OUT: L.Schultz (Suspension), B.Mihocek (Injured), B.McCreery (Injured), J.Elliott (Injured)


West Coast Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-34-14-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$95-32-30-3

West Coast were kept in last weekend’s game against Essendon not so much of their own doing but by the Bombers awful accuracy in front of goal (11.11). The Eagles led only once, in the second quarter and despite a gutsy effort to try and reduce the margin they were unable to leap the last hurdle.

West Coast bettered their season averages in Stoppage Clearances and Efficiency Inside 50 but were let down by poor Turnovers, which they also exceeded their season average in. 

West Coast Team News


Elliot Yeo, Jake Waterman and Noah Long are all out injured with Tyrell Dewar slotting into the forward line as cover in his debut game. Jayden Hunt and Ryan Maric will also play, joining the interchange bench.

West Coast Team List


B: J.Rotham, T.Barrass, L.Duggan - C
HB: B.Hough, J.McGovern, T.Cole
C: D.Sheed, T.Kelly, L.Edwards
HF: J.Petruccelle, L.Ryan, J.Cripps
F: T.Dewar, J.Darling, J.Williams
FOLL: B.Williams, R.Ginbey, H.Reid

I/C: J.Hunt, C.Chesser, A.Witherden, H.Johnston, R.Maric

IN: T.Dewar, J.Hunt, R.Maric
OUT: E.Yeo (Injured), J.Waterman (Injured), N.Long (Injured)

Collingwood vs West Coast AFL 2024 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch Collingwood vs West Coast AFL 2024 Round 9?

You can watch the Collingwood vs West Coast AFL 2024 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood vs West Coast AFL 2024 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood vs West Coast AFL 2024 Round 9 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood site.

Verdict

Collingwood are going to win, the question will just be by how much. Our predictive modelling has the margin a little lower than the books so we are following the data and taking the 1-39 Winning Margin which offers the best value. The Over/Under is especially even so far this year with 37-35 to the Under in all games played so far. With the Pies finding form the opportunity is greater for an Overs play here.
Best Bet1: Collingwood 1-39 Winning Margin @5/4 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 171.5 Game Total @9/10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Collingwood 1-39
Winning Margin
@5/4 - 2 Units
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Over 171.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 1 Unit
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