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Collingwood vs Port Adelaide Tips - Pies overPowered

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 19 Apr 2024
Jeremy Darke 19 Apr 2024
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  • Collingwood vs Port Adelaide expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 1:45 PM (AEST)
  • Power will win the territory battle and get the win as the dog.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
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Charlie Dixon, Collingwood, Port Adelaide
Charlie Dixon looking strong and tall for the Power. (Photo by James Elsby/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Collingwood vs Port Adelaide, Round 6 2024 - Expert Prediction


Port will take the chance on Saturday to stamp their authority on this season with a strong win over last year’s reigning Premiers, adding to the woes of the poor start to Collingwood’s season.
  • Collingwood vs Port Adelaide, Round 6 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Collingwood Team News
  • Collingwood Team List
  • Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Port Adelaide Team News
  • Port Adelaide Team List
  • Collingwood vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 6 FAQ’s

The bye can do remarkable things, especially for a Premiership hangover, but it is just hard to see the Pies coming out of their slump after such a poor performance in four of their first five games of the year. Collingwood lack energy and their execution is off and I am beginning to wonder if all of their narrow escapes in the finals were a good run of luck which has now turned. 

Port on the other side of things, have started the season with poise and have had no problem putting away lesser teams and showed last week against Freo that they have what it takes to hang in games and showed some clutch fourth-quarter play to get a slim victory.

The Power like to play the game inside their opponents 50 and this is where the mismatch is this game which will be the demise of the Pies who have not been giving themselves the opportunities in their opponents back-third. 

If Port have their way, they are going to spend a lot of time inside 50 and will reap the rewards, racking a good, chunky score against the Mapies this week and will go on to win as a $2.05 underdog away from home. If the narrative is correct then we will also see the Power surpass their team total of 81.5 points in the game.

  • Collingwood has lost both games they have payed at the MCG this season.
  • Port Adelaide lead the league with an average of 61 inside 50s per game.
  • Collingwood are the third-worst team in the AFL with just 47.8 inside 50s per game

Head to Head 


Collingwood have won the last 3 matches against Port that stretch over last year and the 2022 season. However, the Power had previously won the three matches prior so the teams are locked at 3-3 since the 2020 season.

The Magpies smashed Port by 71 points back in round 2, 2023, however, the Power made it much more interesting in round 19 with the lead changing 5 times in the final 15 minutes of the match with collingwood getting up 85-83.

Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-31-43-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$93-22-30-0

The bye could have been the best thing that happened to Collingwood after a horrendous start to their title defence. They got themselves out of trouble with a couple of wins before the week off, but they put in an awful performance in their five-point win against Hawthorn in round 4, after looking better in the Grand Final rematch against Brisbane the week earlier.

If you are playing the game outside your attacking 50 or not get quality ball in the area you are going to struggle and that is how things are going for the Pies. They are second-worst in the league with an average of  just 9.4 marks per game inside 50 and averaging just 47.8 balls in the area per game, which is third-worst in the AFL.

Collingwood Team News


Despite suffering a rib fracture in Gather Round, Scott Pendelbury is on track to play against Port this weekend.

Harry DeMattia looks to return next week after suffering a fractured finger.

Collingwood Team List


B: B.Maynard, J.Howe, B.Frampton
HB: J.Noble, J.Crisp, D.Moore - C
C: S.Sidebottom, S.Pendlebury, J.Daicos
HF: N.Daicos, P.Lipinski, B.Mihocek
F: B.McCreery, J.Elliott, M.Cox
FOLL: D.Cameron, L.Schultz, J.De Goey

I/C: I.Quaynor, T.Mitchell, B.Hill, R.McInnes, W.Hoskin-Elliott
EMG: F.Macrae, H.Harrison, O.Markov

No changes

Port Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-13-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$13-22-12-0

Port have started the season well, currently sitting third on the ladder with four wins from their opening five matches after getting a grinding victory over Fremantle in round 5, 66-63.

The Dockers strangled the Power for most of the night with the league’s best defence giving nothing away for free, but Port hung in there not letting Freo get away themselves, despite leading for most of the match. Charlie Dixon and Jason Horne-Francis kicked a couple of clutch goals at the death, winning it for the Power. 

The key for Port has been getting the ball inside 50 and keeping it there until the chances pop up, leading the league with an average of 61 inside 50s per game and 16 marks per game in the area, which uncoincidentally has them topping the AFL clearly with a 53.1% shooting efficiency.

Port Adelaide Team News


Brandon Zerk-Thatcher survived an injury scare with his shoulder and is cleared to play, while Travis Boak will undergo a late test to see if he is cleared of a back injury. 

Quinton Narkle will have further scans on his foot and will be out for an extended period.

Port Adelaide Team List


B: R.Burton, E.Ratugolea, B.Zerk-Thatcher
HB: L.Jones, A.Aliir, D.Houston
C: M.Bergman, O.Wines, W.Drew
HF: D.Byrne-Jones, M.Georgiades, C.Rozee - C
F: S.Powell-Pepper, T.Marshall, W.Rioli
FOLL: I.Soldo, J.Horne-Francis, Z.Butters

I/C: K.Farrell, J.Burgoyne, J.McEntee, J.Mead, J.Sweet
EMG: D.Williams, F.Evans, D.Visentini

IN: J.Sweet
OUT: C.Dixon (managed)

Collingwood vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 6 FAQ’s

How to watch Collingwood vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 6?

You can watch the Collingwood vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 6?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood vs Port Adelaide AFL 2024 Round 6 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood site.

Verdict

Port Adelaide come in as the away underdog and will walk out of the MCG victorious on the back of an overpowering territorial mismatch.
 
Charlie Dixon will kick a couple of goals as the Power go over their team total of 81.5 points in the match.
Best Bet1: Port Adelaide Money Line @21/20 at BlueBet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: P. Adelaide Over 81.5 Team Total @10/11 at Bet Right - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 20 Apr 2024

Collingwood v Port Adelaide