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Carlton vs Geelong Tips - Cats running out lives after another defeat

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 20 Jun 2024
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Jeremy Darke 20 Jun 2024
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  • Carlton vs Geelong expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
  • Carlton looking like a strong contender with good form heading into the mid-season bye.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Why you SHOULDN'T back Geelong against Carlton on Friday night.

Carlton vs Geelong, Round 15 2024 - Expert Prediction


Carlton will get revenge for their round 7 loss to Geelong and hand them their sixth loss in seven games, beating them by a margin of 1-39.
  • Carlton vs Geelong, Round 15 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Carlton Team News
  • Carlton Team List
  • Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Geelong Team News
  • Geelong Team List
  • Carlton vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 15 FAQ’s

Carlton went into the mid-season bye winning 4 of their past 5 games against tough opposition while the Cats did the opposite wing just once in their past six. 

Both teams are likely to get some players back after the two week break, however it will not help the fortune of Geelong. Carlton have looked really strong and have found some good versatility up front with their attack becoming much wider than just Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay. 

Expect another high-scoring contest between the pair, like it was in round 7, but this time it will be the Blues who get the last laugh at the MCG.

  • Geelong have won just 1 of 4 matches against current top-eight teams.
  • 8 of 9 Carlton wins have been by a margin of 1-39.
  • Geelong allow their opponents 141.2 contested possessions per game, which is the most of any team in the AFL.
  • The past 2 games between Carlton and Geelong have gone Over the Game Total.

Head to Head 


Carlton and Geelong have played each other just one in each of the past 5 seasons and already once in 2024 with the Cats having a 4-2 record over the Blues.

The pair faced each other in round 7 this season in a highly entertaining match with Geelong keeping Carlton at bay and weathered a late comeback to win 118-105.

Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-14-13-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$438-58-31-1

After a slight lull Carlton have found their feet again and moved into second place on the ladder before their round 14 mid-season bye. The Blues have won 4 of the past 5 with all of their victories against top-eight teams at the time they played and their only loss was to Sydney, but by 52 points.

Over the past three matches against the Suns, Power and Bombers, the Blues have been firing in attack, averaging 101.6 points per game while holding their opponents to no more than 73 points.

Zac Williams' push forward has reaped big benefits for Michael Voss and the Blues with the Defender contributing well on the scorecard with 10 goals in the past 4 games for Carlton, finding himself free in his movements from a more defensive position. 

Carlton Team News


Orazio Fantasia, David Cuningham and Marc Pittonet are all tests this week after training well during the bye-week.

Carlton Team List


B: J.Boyd, J.Weitering, B.Kemp
HB: N.Newman, M.McGovern, A.Saad
C: O.Hollands, P.Cripps - C, B.Acres
HF: L.Fogarty, H.McKay, Z.Williams
F: M.Owies, C.Curnow, A.Cincotta
FOLL: T.De Koning, S.Walsh, G.Hewett

I/C: L.Cowan, M.Kennedy, E.Hollands, C.Durdin, O.Fantasia

EMG: J.Motlop, C.Marchbank, M.Pittonet

IN: O.Fantasia
OUT: J.Carroll (Omitted)

Geelong Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-40-53-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$107-67-41-1

Geelong have been hit hard by injury, as a lot of teams this season, but they have not fared well, losing 5 of their past 6 games with their only win against Richmond. The Cats still sit sixth on the ladder due to their 7-0 start to the year, although they only beat one current top-eight team during that span, which was Carlton. 

Geelong allow their opponents to win the contested possessions with the average against per game at 141.2. This has obviously hurt them at the stoppages where they are the worst team in the league giving up 43.2 clearances per game to their opponents.

Geelong Team News


Skipper Patrick Dangerfield is likely to return this week after recovering well through the bye-week. Ollie Henry is in the same situation as his captain and is also likely to return. 

Geelong Team List


B: J.Henry, S.De Koning, J.Kolodjashnij
HB: M.Duncan, T.Stewart, Z.Guthrie
C: Z.Tuohy, M.Holmes, M.O’Connor
HF: B.Close, J.Cameron, G.Miers
F: T.Stengle, T.Hawkins, O.Henry
FOLL: M.Blicavs, P.Dangerfield - C, T.Atkins

I/C: O.Dempsey, G.Rohan, O.Mullin, J.Clark, J.Bowes

EMG: R.Stanley, M.Hardie, L.Humphries

IN: Z.Tuohy, O.Henry, P.Dangerfield
OUT: S.Neale (Omitted), R.Stanley (Injured), T.Bruhn (Injured)

Carlton vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 15 FAQ’s

How to watch Carlton vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 15?

You can watch the Carlton vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 15 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Carlton vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 15?

To buy tickets to the Carlton vs Geelong AFL 2024 Round 15 game check the AFL website or the official Carlton site.

Verdict

This game will go over the Game Total of 172.5 with the Blues winning by a margin of 1-39.
Best Bet1: Carlton Winning Margin 1-39 @11/9 at Justbet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Over 172.5 Game Total @10/11 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Carlton
Winning Margin 1-39
@11/9 - 3 Units
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Bet at Justbet
Over 172.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 2 Units
Bet at PlayUp
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Bet at PlayUP

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Carlton v Geelong