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Carlton vs Collingwood Tips - Defending premiers continue unbeaten streak

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Last updated: 02 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 02 May 2024
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  • Carlton vs Collingwood expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
  • Collingwood could return to the top 8 with a win over Carlton.
  • Carlton known for keeping games close despite inconsistencies.
  • Match predicted to be a challenging but crucial one for both teams.
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Scott Pendelbury
Scott Pendlebury of the Magpies (Photo by Darrian Traynor/Getty Images)

Carlton vs Collingwood, Round 8 2024 - Expert Prediction


Collingwood will temporarily return to the top 8 with a win against Carlton as Underdogs this Friday. 
  • Carlton vs Collingwood, Round 8 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Carlton Team News
  • Carlton Team List
  • Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Collingwood Team News
  • Collingwood Team List
  • Carlton vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 8 FAQ’s

The Pies have turned their season around and are starting to look like the team that won the flag in 2023. Whilst there is still some kinks to work out, namely around Marking the footy where they currently rank last in the league, the forward pressure is coming together and they are climbing in the rankings of other statistical measures. 

Carlton are again living on the edge this year with 6 of their 7 games all finishing with margins of less than 20 points. They did well to win over GWS but failed to get on top of the Cats last weekend. The inconsistencies will continue this weekend as Collingwood are predicted run out winners in this battle.

  • Collingwood rank 5th in Hit Outs with 40.9 per game on average
  • Carlton are 5th worst in the league at Spoiling averaging only 28.6 per game compared to the league average 31.3
  • Collingwood average 79.6 Marks per game on the season, the least of any team in the AFL
  • The Magpies are tackled the least amount of times Inside 50 with their Opposition averaging only 8.1 tackles per game

Head to Head 


The Blues and Pies have met in 8 games the past 5 seasons since 2019. Collingwood have won 6 of the 8 but it was Carlton who had the most recent win in Round 20 last year 93-76.

5 of the last 8 games have gone Over the Game Total including the most recent match up last season. All 8 games have finished with a Winning Margin of 29 points or less.

Carlton Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-24-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
$281-04-21-0

Carlton looked to mount a big 4th quarter comeback against the undefeated competition leaders Geelong last round but fell flat at the final hurdle going down by just over 2 goals. The Blues had 66 Inside 50’s to the Cats 45 but failed to register enough majors to create the scoreboard pressure needed to win. 

They also dominated the stoppages outdoing both their opponent and season averages for Hitouts, Centre Clearances and Stoppage Clearances. Carlton will need to continue in the same vein if they are to have enough quality ball to match it with Collingwood.

Carlton Team News


The early news is that Carlton could welcome back a host of players from the injury list. Adam Cerra, David Cunningham and Orazio Fantasia will all be given time and will be up for selection if they make it through the tests through the week.

Mitch McGovern is still at least a week away while the rest of the crew in Lachie Fogarty, Caleb Marchbank, Jack Martin, Jesse Motlop and Adam Saad will look to return successively over the next 2-4 weeks.  

Carlton Team List


B: Z.Williams, Le.Young, L.Cowan
HB: A.Cincotta, J.Weitering, N.Newman
C: D.Cuningham, P.Cripps - C, B.Acres
HF: M.Cottrell, H.McKay, E.Hollands
F: M.Owies, C.Curnow, T.De Koning
FOLL: M.Pittonet, S.Walsh, G.Hewett

I/C: J.Boyd, M.Kennedy, O.Fantasia, C.Durdin, A.Cerra
EMG: B.Kemp, O.Hollands, J.Carroll

IN: A.Cincotta, D.Cuningham, O.Fantasia, A.Cerra
OUT: B.Kemp (Omitted), O.Hollands (Omitted), J.Binns (Omitted), J.Carroll (Omitted)

Collingwood Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-22-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$125-22-31-0

Collingwood started the season in the worst possible fashion for a defending premier losing their first 3 games in a row. Since then though they have not lost a game with 3 wins in a row only stopped by the ANZAC Day draw against the Bombers last Thursday.

The Pies had a lot less of the ball in the drawn game with their 318 Disposals significantly lower than the season average of 345. They were though much more efficient in front of goal with 54.7% Efficiency Inside 50 compared to their season number of 50.8%

Collingwood Team News


The Pies will need to test Jordan De Goey closer to game time to see if his groin can hold up following the ANZAC day clash. Tom Mitchell will also need to prove his fitness to be selected. 

Nathan Kreuger is expected to return after a calf injury. 

Collingwood Team List


B: B.Maynard, O.Markov, B.Frampton
HB: J.Howe, N.Daicos, D.Moore - C
C: S.Sidebottom, S.Pendlebury, J.Daicos
HF: H.Harrison, J.Noble, B.Mihocek
F: B.McCreery, J.Elliott, M.Cox
FOLL: D.Cameron, J.Crisp, L.Schultz

I/C: P.Lipinski, I.Quaynor, B.Hill, W.Hoskin-Elliott, L.Sullivan
EMG: F.Macrae, J.Bytel, C.Dean

IN: O.Markov, L.Sullivan
OUT: J.De Goey (Injured), T.Mitchell (Injured)

Carlton vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 8 FAQ’s

How to watch Carlton vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 8?

You can watch the Carlton vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 8 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Carlton vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 8?

To buy tickets to the Carlton vs Collingwood AFL 2024 Round 8 game check the AFL website or the official Carlton site.

Verdict

Collingwood are starting to return to form now and this game against Carlton will signal to the league just how good they are. Expect the Pies to put on a performance but the Blues to manage to find a way to keep it close, as they always do.
Best Bet1: Collingwood 1-39 Winning Margin @17/11 at Justbet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 178.5 Game Total @8/9 at PlayUP - 1 Unit
Collingwood 1-39
Winning Margin
@17/11 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 03 May 2024

Carlton v Collingwood