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Brisbane vs St Kilda Tips - Lions climb closer to the eight with win over the Saints

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: 13 Jun 2024
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Jeremy Darke 13 Jun 2024
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  • Brisbane vs St Kilda expert predictions for Friday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Gabba, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
  • Lachie Neale anticipated to play a key role with 30+ disposals.
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Ryan gives his best Tips for Friday and Saturday's games.

Brisbane vs St Kilda, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Brisbane Lions revival will continue when they continue their dominance over the Saints with another win at the Gabba in what is predicted to be a tight match.
  • Brisbane vs St Kilda, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Team News
  • Brisbane Team List
  • St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • St Kilda Team News
  • St Kilda Team List
  • Brisbane vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

The Saints have done well over the past couple of weeks strangling their opponents with their possession footy and bogging down the corridor. This will play into Brisbane’s strength at the moment, moving the ball safely through the hands themselves relying on the expertise of the middles to get the ball inside 50.

If the script is correct, Brisbane will get on top of the Saints by a smaller margin as St Kilda have been difficult to rack big points against this season. As in their past few games, the Saints opposition middles have had to work the ball a lot and have had the leather in their hands more than their averages. 

Expect Lachie Neal to play a key part for Brisbane and get a heap of touches, as he has done anyway since the Lions have begun to lift themselves from their slump.

  • Brisbane have won their last 3 games against the Saints at the Gabba. 
  • The Saints have won just 2 of 8 away games this season
  • Lachie Neale is averaging 32.4 disposals in his last 5 matches. 
  • St Kilda’s opposition key followers have averaged over 30 disposals in their past three matches.

Head to Head 


Brisbane have had a stranglehold over St Kilda over the past 5 seasons, winning 6 of their past 7 games against the Saints, with their only blemish at Metricon during Covid. 

The Lions and Saints faced each other twice last season with the Lions claiming 28 and 12 point victories in rounds 15 and 24.

Brisbane Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/L/DLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-1-14-14-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$356-62-53-1

Against all the odds, Brisbane are starting to find their feet and are showing how well they sit as a club with a flurry of development players coming in this season and filling the boots of their injured stars. 

Despite a loss to their hoodoo Hawks, Brisbane have gone undefeated in 4 of their past 5 games with three wins and a draw. The Lions have been stable at the back with the young defensive core doing everything right for them. The return of Brandon Starcevich against the Bulldogs last week gave the Lions the experience in the backline to defeat the Western Bulldogs 114-71.

Lachie Neal was back to his spectacular best with 2 goals and a game-high 38 disposals which set the returning Eric Hipwood free to kick 6 goals and 2 behinds.

Brisbane Team News


Brisbane's injury list is diminishing as much as it can besides their four season-ending knee injuries.
No news is good news for the Lions right now. 

Brisbane Team List


B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester
HB: D.Wilmot, H.Andrews, B.Starcevich
C: J.Fletcher, C.Rayner, J.Berry
HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, H.McCluggage
F: K.Lohmann, J.Daniher, Z.Bailey
FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale - C

I/C: C.Ah Chee, L.Morris, C.McKenna, B.Reville, N.Answerth
EMG: D.Robertson, D.Fort, D.Joyce

No changes

St Kilda Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-31-41-4

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$463-105-70-1

St Kilda were like a boa constrictor and the Gold Coast Suns last weekend, strangling the suns and forcing them into wrong decision down the outside keeping possession in their forward half of the field for long periods in their 51-48 victory.

The Saints have now put together two strong performances in consecutive weeks that has salvaged their season which looked to be falling apart a month ago after just one win from their last 7 games. 

The Saints have conceded just 75.61 points per game which is the third-least of any side in the AFL. Their suffocating game plan has proven tough for their opponents to score, however, St Kilda need to find ways to move the ball forward and improve their percentage which is the fifth-worst in the AFL and why they sit in 14th on the ladder. 

St Kilda Team News


Dougal Howard suffered a hamstring strain and will be sidelined for the next month. 

St Kilda Team List


B: J.Battle, Z.Cordy, C.Wilkie
HB: A.Schoenmaker, R.Bonner, J.Sinclair
C: B.Hill, M.Windhager, M.Wood
HF: D.Butler, L.Henry, M.Owens
F: J.Higgins, M.King, A.Caminiti
FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Steele - C, P.Dow

I/C: Z.Jones, S.Ross, H.Clark, D.Wilson, C.Sharman
EMG: R.Byrnes, B.Paton, T.Campbell

IN: Z.Cordy, A.Schoenmaker, Z.Jones, C.Sharman
OUT: D.Howard (Injured), J.Webster (Injured), N.Wanganeen-Milera (Managed), T.Membrey (Omitted)

Brisbane vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 14?

You can watch the Brisbane vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 14?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane vs St Kilda AFL 2024 Round 14 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane site.

Verdict

Brisbane will overcome the tight defence of the Saints and get a 1-39 win with Lachie Neale getting 30+ disposals.
Best Bet1: Brisbane Lions 1-39 Winning Margin @116.00 at Betr - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Lachie Neale 30+ Disposals @-107.53 at Neds - 1 Unit
Brisbane Lions
1-39 Winning Margin
@116.00 - 3 Units
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Lachie Neale
30+ Disposals
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Brisbane v St Kilda