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Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers Tips - Lions roar again at Gabba

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Last updated: 16 May 2024
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Ryan Tucker 16 May 2024
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  • Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Gabba, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Brisbane predicted to win against Richmond taking advantage of theTigers injuries
  • Recent form and betting trends favor Brisbane Lions
Expired
Lachie Neale
Lachie Neale of the Lions (Photo by Russell Freeman/AFL Photos via Getty Images)

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction


Brisbane will take advantage of the raft of injuries to the Tigers squad and are expected to win big in this one. 
  • Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers, Round 10 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Brisbane Lions Team News
  • Brisbane Lions Team List
  • Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Richmond Tigers Team News
  • Richmond Tigers Team List
  • Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

There is a lot of history between these teams but right now you could say that they are almost at opposite ends of the spectrum. Brisbane are in a spot of poor form but they are still the team that pushed Collingwood to the brink in the 2023 Grand Final. Richmond still have a bevvy of good veterans on their team but the club is in a rebuilding phase and some more needs to be done before they are ready to compete again at the top.

Brisbane will relish the opportunity to stretch their legs a bit in this one and even though they are starting to improve will find it difficult to put a massive score on the Tiges

  • Richmond are averaging only 44 points over their last 3 games
  • The Lions have scored over 90 points only once so far this year
  • 6 straight games have gone Over the Game Total indicating an ideal opportunity to take the Under
  • Brisbane average the most Kicks of any team in the AFL at 232.6 per game, Richmond average the least at 197.4 per game

Head to Head 


Brisbane and Richmond have met in 6 regular season games and 3 finals games since the beginning of the 2019 season. 

The Tigers hold a 5-4 lead in the head to head across all games but it is the Lions with the most recent success having won 4 of the last 6 games including finals matchups in 2022 and 2020. 

The lone game played last season was also a win to Brisbane with a 134-53 scoreline.

6 straight and 7 of the last 9 games have gone Over the Game Total with the Winning Margin more often than not coming in between 1-39.

Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-2-13-22-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$373-62-41-1

The Lions were part of the second draw this season playing out a 90-all stalemate with Adelaide last weekend at the Adelaide Oval. It was a game though that Brisbane let slip from their grasp with the Crows booting 4 Goals to 1 in the 4th quarter to snatch the draw.

Brisbane had a better Efficiency Rate Inside 50 compared to their season average and also dominated Possession in the match but could not convert their dominance into points on the scoreboard. 

Brisbane Lions Team News


Noah Answerth has been sidelined with concussion but will prove his fitness to be up for selection in this one. Deven Robertson is also expected to play following a shoulder injury. Zach Bailey and Carter Michael are still about a week away.

Brisbane Lions Team List


B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester
HB: D.Wilmot, H.Andrews, C.McKenna
C: J.Fletcher, C.Rayner, J.Berry
HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, H.McCluggage
F: L.Morris, J.Daniher, C.Ah Chee
FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale - C

I/C: K.Lohmann, H.Sharp, S.Brain, B.Reville, N.Answerth
EMG: J.Prior, D.Fort, D.Joyce

IN: N.Answerth
OUT: J.Prior (Omitted)

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-51-42-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$493-61-50-3

It is just a bad year for Richmond, they have one win on the season - given it was against the league leading Swans but the rest of the games have been tough. 6 of their 8 losses have been by between 30 and 91 points with the playing group essentially giving up in games late that they are no chance of winning. 

Their last outing against the Bulldogs saw the Tigers have only 3 Marks Inside 50 and only 4 Contested Marks for the entire game.

Richmond Tigers Team News


The Tigers injury list is too long to even fit on the screen. Mo Rioli is looking at 8-10 weeks following a bad ankle injury sustained in the loss to the Bulldogs last weekend. A host of players will become available over the next few weeks including Sam Banks, Seth Campbell, Jack Graham, Jacob Hopper and James Trezise. 

Richmond are hopeful Dylan Grimes and Liam Baker will pass fitness tests and play this weekend.

Richmond Tigers Team List


B: B.Miller, N.Broad, T.Young
HB: N.Vlastuin, T.Brown, D.Rioli
C: H.Ralphsmith, M.Pickett, K.McIntosh
HF: R.Mansell, S.Bolton, T.Sonsie
F: M.Lefau, D.Martin, N.Balta
FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, D.Prestia, T.Dow

I/C: J.Short, S.Green, K.McAuliffe, M.Coulthard, N.Cumberland
EMG: K.Smith, J.Koschitzke, S.Ryan

IN: K.McIntosh, S.Green, K.McAuliffe, M.Coulthard
OUT: S.Banks (Injured), M.Rioli (Injured), J.Graham (Injured), S.Campbell (Injured)

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2024 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2024 Round 10?

You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2024 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2024 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2024 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.

Verdict

Brisbane are still not hitting their straps like last year, the win is inevitable but i am more inclined to a shorter margin and lower total.
Best Bet1: Brisbane 1-39 Winning Margin @8/5 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 170.5 Game Total @9/10 at Justbet - 2 Units
Brisbane 1-39
Winning Margin
@8/5 - 2 Units
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Under 170.5
Game Total
@9/10 - 2 Units
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