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Adelaide vs Richmond Tips - Crows tipped to continue Richmond’s heartache with big win at Adelaide Oval

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Last updated: 06 Jun 2024
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Ryan Tucker 06 Jun 2024
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  • Adelaide vs Richmond expert predictions for Thursday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Adelaide expected to win big against an injury-ridden Richmond team.
  • Richmond has used the most players in the league due to injuries.
  • Key trends: Adelaide's strong inside 50s and Richmond's weak defenses.
Expired
Tex Walker
Tex Walker of the Crows is in doubt for this matchup against the Tigers (Photo by Mark Brake/Getty Images)

Adelaide vs Richmond, Round 13 2024 - Expert Prediction


The Crows are expected to return to the winners circle in fashion with a big score predicted against the injury-ridden Tigers.
  • Adelaide vs Richmond, Round 13 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head
  • Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Adelaide Team News
  • Adelaide Team List
  • Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Richmond Team News
  • Richmond Team List
  • Adelaide vs Richmond AFL 2024 Round 13 FAQ’s

It is only halfway through the year but it seems both these clubs are already longing for the off-season. The Tigers have been absolutely smashed by injury with 40 players having been used so far this season, the most in the league. It isn’t completely over yet for Adelaide if they can string a couple of wins together and it will need to start now with the Swans up next before their Bye. 

With another couple of injuries sustained last weekend the Tigers could be trotting out a VFL team against the Crows which means Adelaide have a good chance to put a score on in this one. 

  • Adelaide average 51.8 Inside 50’s per game
  • Richmond allow the 2nd most Inside 50’s of any team in the AFL at 61.2 per game
  • The Tigers have lost 4 of their last 6 games by 40 points or more
  • Favourites are winning at a 65% rate this season

Head to Head

 
These two teams have met once per season over the last 5 years since the beginning of the 2019 campaign. Richmond hold a 3-2 Head to Head advantage including a victory in their lone match up last season 108-76.

4 of the last 5 games have gone Over the Game Total and the winner has covered in all 5 matchups. 

The Winning Margin has stayed between 1-39 points in 4 of the 5 most recent games between the Crows and Tigers

Adelaide Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
2-33-23-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$375-72-72-0

The Crows have had a tough year, again. Last weekend they met a determined Hawks outfit who stunned them from the get go scoring the first points of the game and never relinquishing the lead. 

Adelaide did ok in defence, matching the Hawks but it was the mids and forwards that let them down in this one losing the Clearances 39-29 coupled with a 43.9% Efficiency Inside 50.

Adelaide Team News


Matt Crouch injured his shoulder in the team’s loss to Hawthorn requiring surgery which will see him miss the rest of the season. Tex Walker was subbed at half-time in the same game with a recurrence of his back injury and is in doubt for this clash. Jordan Dawson played last weekend but looked hampered by a foot injury.

Elliot Himmelberg is expected to miss another few weeks following surgery on his cheekbone. Izak Rankine is still 2-3 weeks from returning but is progressing in his rehab from a hammy. 

Adelaide Team List


B: B. Smith, J. Butts, M. Hinge
HB: J. Borlase, M. Keane, M. Michalanney
C: C. Jones, J. Soligo, L. Sholl
HF: B. Keays, D. Fogarty, J. Rachele
FF: L. Murphy, C. Burgess, J. Dawson
FOLL: K. Strachan, R. Laird, H. Schoenberg

I/C: N. McHenry, B. Dowling, L. Nankervis, W. Hamill, S. Berry
EMG: Z. Taylor, L. Gollant, R. O’Brien

IN: K. Strachan, B. Dowling, N. McHenry, W. Hamill
OUT: R. O’Brien (omitted), M. Crouch (injured), T. Walker (injured), B. Cook (injured)

Richmond Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
0-52-32-3

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$794-81-70-4

The Tigers kept up with the Cats for the majority of last weekend’s matchup but ultimately ran out of steam with Geelong kicking away in the 4th quarter. Richmond at one stage led by 29 points and it looked like the Cats historical losing streak would continue. 

The second half though was a totally different story with Richmond allowing their opponents to kick 14.6 to their own 3.2, with all three of those goals coming in the 3rd term. 

Richmond Team News


Another tough loss and another suspected ACL injury, it is just not the Tigers year. Mykelti Lefau is the latest victim as Richmond now can count 5 ACL injuries so far in the first half of the season. Marlion Pickett also left the game against the Cats early and will miss a few weeks with a calf injury. 

Rhyan Mansell and Jack Graham got through their returns last weekend in some injury respite. 

Richmond Team List


B: B. Miller, N. Broad, N. Balta
HB: N. Vlastuin, T. Brown, D. Rioli
C: H.Ralphsmith, L. Baker, K. McIntosh
HF: J. Graham, R. Mansell, S. Campbell
FF: S. Bolton, S. Ryan, N. Cumberland
FOLL: T. Nankervis, T. Taranto, D. Prestia

I/C: T. Sonsie, J. Koschitzke, K. McAuliffe, T. Dow, J. Short
EMG: J. Blight, S. Banks, K. Smith

IN: S. Bolton, T. Taranto, D. Prestia, J. Koschitzke
OUT: D. Martin (managed), M. Lefau (injured), M. Pickett (injured), K. Smith (omitted)

Adelaide vs Richmond AFL 2024 Round 13 FAQ’s

How to watch Adelaide vs Richmond AFL 2024 Round 13?

You can watch the Adelaide vs Richmond AFL 2024 Round 13 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Adelaide vs Richmond AFL 2024 Round 13?

To buy tickets to the Adelaide vs Richmond AFL 2024 Round 13 game check the AFL website or the official Adelaide site.

Verdict

Richmond's injury list is almost longer than their squad, it is a tough ask for them to go to Adelaide and return with a win. The Crows meanwhile will need to keep up their scoring efforts to maintain a positive percentage in the event they can sneak into the 8. My best bet here is Crows 40+ 
Best Bet1: Adelaide 40+ Winning Margin @11/10 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 167.5 Game Total @9/10 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Adelaide 40+
Winning Margin
@11/10 - 2 Units
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Game Total
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Betting Slip | 06 Jun 2024

Adelaide v Richmond