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Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans Tips - Swans expected to come out on top in battle of the birds

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Last updated: 13 Jun 2024
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Ryan Tucker 13 Jun 2024
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  • Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans expert predictions for Saturday’s AFL game
  • The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Sydney Swans expected to win against Adelaide Crows.
  • Adelaide suffers from inconsistency and defensive issues.
  • Historical match-ups favor Sydney with close win margins.
Ryan gives his best bets and Tips for Friday and Saturday's games.

Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction


Sydney will add to Adelaide’s miserable year with a solid victory in the City of Churches. 
  • Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans, Round 14 2024 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Adelaide Crows Team News
  • Adelaide Crows Team List
  • Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Swans Team News
  • Sydney Swans Team List
  • Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

The Crows are extremely inconsistent this season and are lacking in ability to stop their opponents getting away from them. None of their losses have been complete blowouts but there have been games where they have allowed the opposition to dictate terms for too long with the game essentially slipping out of their grasp.

Sydney are a team that take their chances and run with them, as we seen last weekend against the Cats. The slightest sliver of hope can turn into a cascading waterfall of goals if given the chance, which is exactly what Adelaide offer on the regular.

History tells us this match-up is usually not a blowout so the best bet here is the Swans 1-39.

  • Favourites are winning at a 63% rate this season with the 1-39 Winning Margin hitting at 72%
  • Adelaide allow the 2nd most Stoppage Clearances to their opposition per game at 27.8, Sydney allow the least at 20.3 per game
  • Since the beginning of May, the Under holds a 29-22 advantage in the Game Totals of all AFL games.
  • 4 of the 5 games for Sydney in which the Game Total has gone Under have been against teams currently in the bottom 8

Head to Head 


Since the beginning of the 2019 season these teams have met 5 times with Sydney winning the last 4 in a row. 

The single game played last season was a one point thriller that ended in controversy following a point that later showed to be a goal. The previous two games played each finished with 33 point margins in favour of the Swans with all 5 of the games played coming in with 1-39 Win Margins.

The Under hit in last year’s matchup but the Over holds the advantage 3-2 across the last five games.

Sydney have also covered the line on 3 occasions against the Crows in the same period.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-33-2

2024 Betting Trends
$10 MLOver/Under1-3940+
-$475-82-82-0

The Crows are up there as one of the most inconsistent teams of the season so far. Four weeks ago they pushed the defending premiers to within 4 points then blasted the Eagles by 99 to then turn around and lose back to back games against the other also-rans in Hawthorn and Richmond. 

Looking at the statistics from last weekend's game you would think Adelaide had won the game with them hitting their season averages in most spots. But it was their defence that failed to stop the Tigers from scoring, putting up little resistance to the second worst scoring team in the league.

Adelaide Crows Team News


Tex Walker and Izak Rankine will be given time to prove their fitness before teams are named later in the week. Elliot Himmelberg is still a week away with a facial injury whilst Kieran Strachan and Brayden Cook are expected to play despite their niggling injuries.

Adelaide Crows Team List


B: N.Murray, J.Butts, M.Hinge
HB: J.Borlase, M.Keane, W.Hamill
C: C.Jones, J.Soligo, L.Sholl
HF: B.Keays, D.Fogarty, J.Rachele
F: B.Dowling, L.Murphy, I.Rankine
FOLL: K.Strachan, R.Laird, J.Dawson - C

I/C: S.Berry, M.Michalanney, L.Nankervis, H.Schoenberg, B.Cook
EMG: B.Smith, C.Burgess, R.O’Brien

IN: N.Murray, I.Rankine, B.Cook
OUT: B.Smith (Omitted), C.Burgess (Omitted), N.McHenry (Omitted)

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
5-05-04-1

2024 Betting Trends
$10 ML
Over/Under
1-39
40+
$517-57-14-0

The Swans have lost only 1 game all season and come into this one against the Crows with an 8 game win streak. 

Last weekend against the Cats, Sydney were all but out of the game halfway through the second quarter as their opponent had built up a 35 point lead. But the red and white army barracked their team back into it and the lead was chipped away throughout the 3rd. 

Sydney then surged away in the final quarter, eventually winning the game by 30 points. 

Sydney Swans Team News


Robbie Fox is in line to make a return from a shoulder injury this weekend if he gets through training. Captain Callum Mills is still a week or two away from returning and with the run of form the team is in they could ease him back into the fray via VFL. Corey Warner is in the same boat and could line up for the reserves this weekend as he recovers from an ankle injury. 

Sydney Swans Team List


B: D.Rampe - C, T.McCartin, L.Melican
HB: O.Florent, H.Cunningham, N.Blakey
C: J.Lloyd, Ch.Warner, E.Gulden
HF: J.McInerney, L.McDonald, T.Adams
F: T.Papley, J.Amartey, W.Hayward
FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C: M.Roberts, J.Jordon, H.McLean, S.Wicks, B.Campbell
EMG: C.Cleary, R.Fox, P.Ladhams

Unchanged

Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans AFL 2024 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to watch Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans AFL 2024 Round 14?

You can watch the Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans AFL 2024 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans AFL 2024 Round 14?

To buy tickets to the Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans AFL 2024 Round 14 game check the AFL website or the official Adelaide Crows site.

Verdict

Considering the Swans last and only loss came against a struggling bottom dweller it wouldn't surprise me if this one got away from them. But all the numbers are pointing to a Sydney win with a solid but but extravagant margin.  
Best Bet1: Sydney 1-39 Winning Margin @100.00 at bet365 Australia - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Under 166.5 Game Total @-111.11 at PlayUP - 2 Units
Sydney 1-39
Winning Margin
@100.00 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365 Australia
Under 166.5
Game Total
@-111.11 - 2 Units
Bet at PlayUp
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